Eksperimen pra-registrasi · kertas, tanpa uang
Apakah value flags kami mengalahkan closing line pada harga milik bookmaker sendiri?
AutoBet menguji sinyal kami pada harga Betfair Exchange, di mana edge tidak bertahan. Eksperimen ini mengujinya di tempat yang seharusnya: pada soft bookmaker yang menampilkan harga. Ini pengukuran di kertas: soft bookmaker tidak bisa dipasang taruhan otomatis, dan tidak ada dana yang dipertaruhkan.
Keputusan berdasarkan aturan yang didaftarkan sebelumnya (first 300 takeable settled flags, tercapai pada 17 Okt 2026, 08.25 UTC): average closing line value pada harga bandar +0.57% (interval 95% -0.50% hingga +1.64%).
Hasil: tidak konklusif; interval 95% mencakup nol.
Pemeriksaan sensitivitas: flag sebagaimana adanya saat 300 pertama kali tercapai (17 Okt 2026, 01.25 UTC), termasuk 8 flag yang kemudian dibatalkan karena acuannya adalah bursa, bukan Pinnacle: CLV +0.49% (interval 95% -0.55% hingga +1.53%), tidak meyakinkan.
Setelah titik keputusan (deskriptif, bukan bagian dari tes): 592 flag yang dapat dipilih lagi terselesaikan, rata-rata CLV pada harga bandar +1.18% (interval 95% +0.40% hingga +1.96%).
Semua flag hingga saat ini (deskriptif)
Angka ini mencakup semua flag sejauh ini. Keputusan hanya memakai 300 flag yang dapat dipilih pertama, sesuai aturan yang dibekukan; flag setelah titik itu menjelaskan tes, bukan mengubah keputusan.
| Flag dalam uji | 1227 |
| Diambil, menunggu hasil | 212 |
| Diselesaikan | 995 |
| Diambil dan terselesaikan, hingga saat ini | 892 (keputusan memakai 300 pertama) |
| Coverage | 90% |
| CLV pada harga bookmaker | +0.97% [+0.34, +1.60] |
| CLV pada harga flag | +1.69% (n=995) |
| Return flat-stake | -0.6% |
Flag terbaru
| Pertandingan | Pilihan | Bookmaker | Harga flag | Dibaca ulang | Fair close | CLV | Hasil |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City – Sydney (1) · A-LeagueGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 2.12 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Barnsley – Oxford United (1) · League OneCodere (IT) | 1 | Codere (IT) | 2.70 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Stockport County – AFC Wimbledon (1) · League OneUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.32 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Barcelona – Alaves (1) · La LigaUnibet (SE) | 1 | Unibet (SE) | 1.14 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Cremonese – Benevento (X) · Serie BCoolbet | X | Coolbet | 3.40 | 3.40 | — | — | pending |
| Sampdoria – Virtus Entella (X) · Serie BCoolbet | X | Coolbet | 3.30 | 3.30 | — | — | pending |
| 1. FC Köln – Union Berlin (1) · DFB PokalUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.81 | 1.79 | 1.79 | -0.1% | menang |
| Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen (1) · DFB Pokal1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.35 | +0.5% | menang |
| Juan Pablo II College – Sport Huancayo (2) · Peru Liga 1SBO | 2 | SBO | 2.23 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Nürnberg (1) · DFB PokalTipico | 1 | Tipico | 1.17 | 1.17 | — | — | pending |
| Bayern München – 1. FC Magdeburg (1) · DFB Pokal1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.05 | 1.05 | — | — | pending |
| Abha – Al-Ittihad FC (2) · Saudi Pro League1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 1.76 | 1.76 | — | — | pending |
| Gornik Zabrze – Legia Warszawa (1) · EkstraklasaUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.16 | 2.16 | — | — | pending |
| Brann – Molde (2) · Eliteserien1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 2.21 | 2.21 | — | — | pending |
| FC Lugano – FC Basel 1893 (1) · Swiss Super LeagueUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.68 | 1.68 | — | — | pending |
| Feyenoord – Inter (2) · UEFA Champions League1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 1.75 | 1.75 | — | — | pending |
| Mansfield Town – Notts County (1) · League OneUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.85 | 1.85 | — | — | pending |
| Al-Fayha – Al-Faisaly FC (2) · Saudi Pro LeagueUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.85 | 2.85 | — | — | pending |
| IF Brommapojkarna – BK Hacken (2) · AllsvenskanGTbets | 2 | GTbets | 1.78 | 1.78 | — | — | pending |
| Lecce – Genoa (1) · Serie AUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.88 | 2.88 | — | — | pending |
| Luton – Doncaster (1) · League OneUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.1% | menang |
| Deportivo Riestra – Talleres Cordoba (1) · Argentina Liga ProfesionalUnibet (SE) | 1 | Unibet (SE) | 2.20 | 2.20 | — | — | pending |
| Mito Hollyhock – Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2) · J1 LeagueCoolbet | 2 | Coolbet | 1.48 | 1.48 | — | — | pending |
| Jeonbuk Motors – Daejeon Citizen (2) · K League 1LeoVegas (SE) | 2 | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85 | 2.70 | — | — | pending |
| Annecy – Montpellier (1) · Ligue 2Unibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 3.25 | 3.25 | — | — | pending |
| Levante – Atletico Madrid (2) · La LigaUnibet (SE) | 2 | Unibet (SE) | 1.67 | 1.67 | — | — | pending |
| FC Anyang – Bucheon FC 1995 (1) · K League 1LeoVegas (SE) | 1 | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02 | 2.02 | — | — | pending |
| Raków Częstochowa – Pogon Szczecin (2) · EkstraklasaUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 3.05 | 3.05 | — | — | pending |
| Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart (2) · UEFA Champions League1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 2.93 | 2.93 | — | — | pending |
| Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP (2) · UEFA Champions LeagueCodere (IT) | 2 | Codere (IT) | 2.00 | 2.00 | — | — | pending |
| Manchester United – AS Roma (2) · UEFA Champions League1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 2.94 | 2.94 | — | — | pending |
| Bodo/Glimt – Lille (1) · UEFA Champions LeagueCodere (IT) | 1 | Codere (IT) | 1.94 | 1.94 | — | — | pending |
| Lask Linz – Slovan Bratislava (1) · UEFA Champions LeagueGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 1.52 | 1.52 | — | — | pending |
| Barcelona – Aston Villa (1) · UEFA Champions LeagueGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 1.29 | 1.29 | — | — | pending |
| Juve Stabia – Hellas Verona (1) · Serie BCodere (IT) | 1 | Codere (IT) | 3.00 | 2.90 | — | — | pending |
| Atletico-MG – Cruzeiro (2) · Brazil Serie AGTbets | 2 | GTbets | 2.83 | 2.83 | — | — | pending |
| Botafogo SP – Sport Recife (2) · Brazil Serie BUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.88 | 2.88 | — | — | pending |
| Burgos – Castellón (2) · Segunda DivisionCoolbet | 2 | Coolbet | 2.20 | 2.20 | — | — | pending |
| Virtus Entella – Avellino (X) · Serie BCoolbet | X | Coolbet | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.24 | +4.9% | menang |
| FBC Melgar – Comerciantes Unidos (1) · Peru Liga 1William Hill | 1 | William Hill | 1.29 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Academico Viseu – Rio Ave (1) · Primeira LigaGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 2.06 | 2.06 | — | — | pending |
| IFK Goteborg – Djurgardens IF (2) · AllsvenskanGTbets | 2 | GTbets | 2.06 | 2.06 | — | — | pending |
| Gremio – Atletico Paranaense (2) · Brazil Serie AUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.80 | 2.75 | — | — | pending |
| Manchester City – Brighton (1) · EFL CupUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.67 | 1.67 | — | — | pending |
| Vasco DA Gama – Flamengo (2) · Brazil Serie AUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.04 | 2.04 | — | — | pending |
| Cuiaba – São Bernardo (1) · Brazil Serie BCoolbet | 1 | Coolbet | 1.78 | 1.78 | — | — | pending |
| New England Revolution – New York Red Bulls (1) · MLSLeoVegas (SE) | 1 | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00 | 2.00 | — | — | pending |
| Laval – Boulogne (2) · Ligue 2Unibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 3.00 | 3.00 | — | — | pending |
| Tenerife – FC Andorra (1) · Segunda DivisionUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.43 | 2.43 | — | — | pending |
| Newells Old Boys – Union Santa Fe (1) · Argentina Liga ProfesionalNordic Bet | 1 | Nordic Bet | 2.12 | 2.12 | — | — | pending |
| Bradford – Huddersfield (2) · League OneUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.75 | 2.75 | — | — | pending |
| Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley (1) · League OneUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.55 | +9.5% | menang |
| Kocaelispor – Rizespor (1) · Süper Lig1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 2.76 | 2.76 | — | — | pending |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Alanyaspor (2) · Süper LigUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.88 | 2.95 | — | — | pending |
| Norwich – Watford (1) · ChampionshipBetOnline.ag | 1 | BetOnline.ag | 1.62 | 1.62 | — | — | pending |
| Havelse – FC Ingolstadt 04 (2) · 3. LigaUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 1.89 | 1.89 | — | — | pending |
| Fortuna Köln – Würzburger Kickers (1) · 3. LigaUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.17 | 2.17 | — | — | pending |
| Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş (2) · Süper LigGTbets | 2 | GTbets | 1.79 | 1.79 | — | — | pending |
| FC Copenhagen – Odense (1) · Danish SuperligaGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -1.0% | kalah |
| Shrewsbury – Gillingham (1) · League TwoUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.20 | 2.20 | — | — | pending |
| Accrington ST – Northampton (1) · League TwoUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.40 | 2.23 | — | — | pending |
| Oviedo – Las Palmas (1) · Segunda DivisionUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.00 | 1.88 | — | — | pending |
| Valladolid – Leganes (1) · Segunda Division1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.94 | 1.94 | — | — | pending |
| AD Ceuta FC – Sporting Gijon (1) · Segunda DivisionNordic Bet | 1 | Nordic Bet | 2.85 | 2.85 | — | — | pending |
| Santa Clara – Benfica (2) · Primeira LigaGTbets | 2 | GTbets | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.37 | -2.9% | menang |
| Casa Pia – Sporting CP (2) · Primeira LigaMarathonbet | 2 | Marathonbet | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | — | pending |
| Inter Turku – HJK Helsinki (1) · VeikkausliigaCoolbet | 1 | Coolbet | 2.45 | 2.45 | — | — | pending |
| FC Juarez – Club Queretaro (2) · Liga MXBetOnline.ag | 2 | BetOnline.ag | 2.43 | 2.43 | — | — | pending |
| Fagiano Okayama – FC Tokyo (2) · J1 LeagueLeoVegas (SE) | 2 | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17 | 2.17 | — | — | pending |
| Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund (1) · Bundesliga1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.40 | 1.40 | — | — | pending |
| Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen (2) · EredivisieUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 3.45 | 3.45 | — | — | pending |
| SK Beveren – Union St. Gilloise (2) · Jupiler Pro LeagueUnibet (SE) | 2 | Unibet (SE) | 1.55 | 1.55 | — | — | pending |
| SC Braga – Famalicao (1) · Primeira LigaGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 1.72 | 1.72 | — | — | pending |
| Atromitos – Volos NFC (1) · Greek Super LeagueBetsson | 1 | Betsson | 1.88 | 1.88 | — | — | pending |
| Newcastle – Everton (2) · Premier League1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 3.23 | 3.23 | — | — | pending |
| Padova – Sudtirol (2) · Serie BUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 3.20 | 3.20 | 4.25 | -24.7% | kalah |
| Platense – Central Cordoba de Santiago (1) · Argentina Liga ProfesionalUnibet (SE) | 1 | Unibet (SE) | 1.83 | 1.83 | — | — | pending |
| Deportivo La Coruna – Osasuna (1) · La Liga1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 2.28 | tidak dibaca ulang | — | — | pending |
| Udinese – AS Roma (2) · Serie A1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 1.63 | 1.63 | — | — | pending |
| Velez Sarsfield – San Lorenzo (1) · Argentina Liga Profesional1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 2.07 | 1.99 | — | — | pending |
| Sassuolo – Fiorentina (2) · Serie A1xBet | 2 | 1xBet | 2.83 | 2.83 | — | — | pending |
| Atalanta – Parma (1) · Serie A1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.50 | 1.50 | — | — | pending |
| Boulogne – Reims (X) · Ligue 2Coolbet | X | Coolbet | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.39 | -2.7% | menang |
| Toronto FC – DC United (1) · MLSBetOnline.ag | 1 | BetOnline.ag | 2.03 | 2.03 | — | — | pending |
| New York City FC – Atlanta United FC (1) · MLSGTbets | 1 | GTbets | 1.89 | 1.89 | — | — | pending |
| Inter Miami – FC Cincinnati (1) · MLS1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.61 | 1.61 | — | — | pending |
| Bournemouth – Leeds (1) · Premier League1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 2.24 | 2.24 | — | — | pending |
| Estac Troyes – Le Mans (2) · Ligue 1LeoVegas (SE) | 2 | LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50 | 3.50 | — | — | pending |
| CF Pachuca – Tigres UANL (1) · Liga MXUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 2.40 | 2.40 | — | — | pending |
| Cruz Azul – Leon (1) · Liga MXUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.74 | 1.74 | — | — | pending |
| AC Milan – Bologna (1) · Serie A1xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 1.69 | 1.69 | — | — | pending |
| Colo Colo – Universidad de Concepcion (1) · Primera Division ChileLeoVegas (SE) | 1 | LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36 | 1.32 | — | — | pending |
| Atletico San Luis – Atlas (2) · Liga MXUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.95 | 2.95 | — | — | pending |
| Lorient – Stade Brestois 29 (1) · Ligue 11xBet | 1 | 1xBet | 2.73 | 2.73 | — | — | pending |
| ST Johnstone – Motherwell (2) · Scottish PremiershipUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.88 | 2.80 | — | — | pending |
| Hoffenheim II – FC Viktoria Köln (1) · 3. LigaTipico | 1 | Tipico | 2.80 | 2.80 | — | — | pending |
| Ajax – AZ Alkmaar (1) · EredivisieUnibet (NL) | 1 | Unibet (NL) | 1.97 | 1.97 | — | — | pending |
| Cercle Brugge – Antwerp (1) · Jupiler Pro LeagueUnibet (SE) | 1 | Unibet (SE) | 2.02 | 2.02 | — | — | pending |
| Telstar – Utrecht (2) · EredivisieUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.48 | 2.48 | — | — | pending |
| Levadiakos – Aris Thessalonikis (2) · Greek Super LeagueUnibet (NL) | 2 | Unibet (NL) | 2.10 | 2.10 | — | — | pending |
Tampilkan 100 sinyal terbaru
Berdasarkan kekuatan flag dan bookmaker
| Edge setidaknya 3% | n=252 | +1.49% |
| Edge di bawah 3% | n=640 | +0.77% |
| Unibet (NL) | n=292 | +1.40% |
| 1xBet | n=158 | +0.67% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | n=106 | +2.09% |
| Coolbet | n=101 | -0.24% |
| GTbets | n=59 | +3.39% |
| Unibet (SE) | n=48 | +1.19% |
| BetOnline.ag | n=32 | -1.31% |
| Codere (IT) | n=23 | -0.20% |
Aturan yang dibekukan
- Populasi: setiap sinyal value (rule flag-v2) yang dicatat langsung dari 5 Okt 2026, 07.20 UTC, tidak termasuk pertandingan Piala Dunia dan Nations League.
- Harga masuk: harga pertama dari bandar yang sama pada pilihan yang sama yang kami amati dalam 60 menit setelah sinyal dan sebelum kick-off, terakhir diperbarui oleh bandar paling lambat 90 menit sebelumnya. Sinyal tanpa harga seperti itu tidak bisa diambil: itu dihitung dalam cakupan, bukan dalam imbal hasil.
- Untuk menaikkan cakupan, sekitar 30 menit setelah setiap sinyal kami membaca ulang harga pertandingan itu sekali.
- Taruhan: 1 unit, flat. Hasil: hasil resmi 1X2; void dikecualikan.
- Ukuran utama: rata-rata closing line value dari harga masuk terhadap close Pinnacle tanpa margin, dengan interval 95%.
- Keputusan pada 300 sinyal yang bisa diambil dan telah settled atau 31 Desember 2026: berhasil jika interval di atas nol, gagal jika di bawah nol, selain itu tidak konklusif. Tidak ada penghentian dini.
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