Measured margin · updated hourly

Betfair — real bookmaker margin

We measure the margin Betfair actually builds into its 1X2 football prices — not the one it advertises. 2,241 matches in the last 30 days, every price taken from our own odds snapshots. We have no commercial relationship with Betfair or any other bookmaker.

Último cálculo:

Margin (30 days) 7.78%
Rank 15 of 35
vs sharp benchmark +1.31pp

Pinnacle 6.47%

vs market average −0.74pp

8.52%

What that margin costs you

At a 7.78% margin, every 100 units you stake with Betfair carry an expected cost of 7.78 units before any skill is involved. Someone staking 100 units a month pays roughly 93 units a year in margin alone — 73 units more per year than at the cheapest bookmaker we track (Matchbook, 1.72%).

Margin over the last 90 days

Each point is the average margin of the matches whose last pre-match price we captured that week (weeks with fewer than 10 matches are hidden). The most recent point can still move slightly as late prices arrive.

0.0% 3.0% 6.1% 9.1% 12.2% Pinnacle Week of 2026-06-15: 7.39% (n=97) 2026-06-15 Week of 2026-06-22: 5.64% (n=95) Week of 2026-06-29: 7.00% (n=88) Week of 2026-07-06: 5.24% (n=77) Week of 2026-07-13: 5.52% (n=77) Week of 2026-07-20: 8.37% (n=362) Week of 2026-07-27: 8.81% (n=452) Week of 2026-08-03: 8.72% (n=463) Week of 2026-08-10: 7.55% (n=519) Week of 2026-08-17: 10.05% (n=345) Week of 2026-08-24: 10.15% (n=381) Week of 2026-08-31: 6.66% (n=603) Week of 2026-09-07: 6.29% (n=809) 2026-09-07

Margin by competition, last 30 days, leagues with at least 20 priced matches. 'Market avg' is the average margin of all bookmakers we track on that league — how Betfair compares to its peers, not just to itself.

Cheapest leagues at Betfair

Liga Margem média Market avg n
Championship 1.01% 7.44% 41
Premier League 1.26% 5.86% 22
Jupiler Pro League 1.59% 7.78% 20
League One 1.81% 7.84% 36
Ligue 1 1.94% 6.00% 23

Most expensive leagues at Betfair

Liga Margem média Market avg n
China League Two 11.48% 10.86% 31
Ukraine Premier League 11.31% 8.78% 24
Paraguay Division Intermedia 11.11% 11.37% 37
Bulgaria Second League 11.07% 11.23% 43
MLS Next Pro 11.02% 10.66% 73

Frequently asked

What is Betfair's real margin on 1X2 football odds?

Measured from 2,241 matches in the last 30 days, Betfair's average 1X2 margin is 7.78%. That means the implied probabilities of its home/draw/away prices add up to about 107.8% instead of 100%; the excess is the bookmaker's built-in fee.

Is Betfair cheaper or more expensive than the sharp benchmark?

Betfair's margin of 7.78% is 1.31 percentage points above the sharp benchmark's 6.47% over the same matches. Among the 35 bookmakers we track with enough data, Betfair ranks #15; the cheapest is Matchbook at 1.72%.

Which leagues is Betfair most expensive on?

On the matches we priced in the last 30 days, Betfair's highest margins were on China League Two (11.48%) and its lowest on Championship (1.01%). Smaller competitions almost always carry a higher margin at every bookmaker.

Como medimos isto

Para cada partida, pegamos as odds 1X2 mais recentes de cada casa de apostas nas nossas próprias capturas de odds, convertemo-las em probabilidades implícitas (1 dividido pelas odds) e somamos tudo. Um mercado justo soma exatamente 100%; qualquer valor acima disso é a margem da casa — a taxa embutida que você paga em cada aposta. Fazemos a média dessa margem em todas as partidas que a casa precificou nos últimos 30 dias. Ninguém nos paga por posicionamento e nenhum acordo de afiliado reorganiza esta tabela: é aritmética sobre preços capturados, recalculada diariamente.

Por que isso importa

TipsAudit has no affiliate, sponsorship or advertising relationship with Betfair or with any bookmaker. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to open an account anywhere; it is a measurement of what the prices cost.

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