每场 China League Two 赛事的公允、无水位概率,博彩公司出错时的 value 标记,以及积分榜——基于尖锐市场数据,而不是凭感觉。
该联赛目前没有即将审计的比赛。audit 持续运行——请稍后再看。
根据 TipsAudit 数据集中的比赛重建——并非官方积分榜。球队显示的比赛场次可能不同,且不区分附加赛或保级赛阶段。官方排名请使用联赛官方来源。
| # | 球队 | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan II | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 21 | +15 | 48 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 22 | +12 | 48 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port II | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 23 | +17 | 46 |
| 4 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Xi'an Ronghai | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 24 | +12 | 45 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | +4 | 43 |
| 7 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 41 |
| 8 | Langfang Glory City | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 26 | +9 | 39 |
| 10 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Rizhao Yuqi | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 34 |
| 12 | Guangdong Mingtu | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Dalian Kewei | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 32 |
| 14 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | BIT | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 26 |
| 18 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 26 |
| 19 | Xiamen Feilu | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 25 |
| 20 | Wuxi Wugou | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 21 | Dalian Yingbo B | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 22 | Qingdao Red Lions | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 20 |
| 23 | Guangxi Hengchen | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 24 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
| 25 | Changchun Xidu | 26 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 19 |
| 26 | Shanghai Second | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 13 |
| 27 | Hainan Star | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 28 | Quanzhou Yassin | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 |
| 29 | Guangxi Lanhang | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 2 |
| # | 球队 | 平均排名 | 夺冠概率 | 降级概率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xi'an Ronghai | 2.3 | 41.7% | 0% |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan II | 3.5 | 20.8% | 0% |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 3.5 | 19.5% | 0% |
| 4 | Langfang Glory City | 5 | 8.4% | 0% |
| 5 | Shenzhen 2028 | 5.6 | 5.9% | 0% |
| 6 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 8.3 | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| 7 | Shanghai Port II | 9.4 | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 8 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 9.6 | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 11.2 | 0.2% | 1.6% |
| 10 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 11.4 | 0.1% | 1.4% |
| 11 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 12.7 | 0.1% | 4.3% |
| 12 | Changchun Xidu | 12.8 | 0.2% | 4.5% |
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 15.2 | 0% | 11.5% |
| 14 | Rizhao Yuqi | 15.2 | 0% | 14.1% |
| 15 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 15.9 | 0% | 15.4% |
| 16 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 16.4 | 0% | 18.2% |
| 17 | Qingdao Red Lions | 16.5 | 0% | 21.1% |
| 18 | Xiamen Feilu | 17.1 | 0% | 22.5% |
| 19 | BIT | 17.1 | 0.1% | 28.2% |
| 20 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 17.2 | 0% | 22.9% |
| 21 | Shanghai Second | 18 | 0% | 29.2% |
| 22 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 18.4 | 0% | 31.8% |
| 23 | Dalian Yingbo B | 18.6 | 0% | 34.3% |
| 24 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 19.1 | 0% | 38% |
阅读说明:我们使用基于历史结果构建的球队实力评级,将剩余赛季完整重演数千次。这些是概率,不是预测——我们的研究表明,任何模型都无法在单场比赛中战胜博彩市场。不过,放在完整赛季的尺度上,结果分布仍然具有参考价值。随着真实赛果不断出现,每周更新。
China League Two 最尖锐的公开预测,就是剔除水位后的投注市场。我们发布的正是这个——每场 China League Two 赛事的公允概率和公允赔率——并且只标记软性博彩公司定价失真的比赛。没有任何 tipster 能稳定战胜收盘线,我们也不假装可以。
我们发布的是 audit,不是 tips。对于每场 China League Two 比赛,你都能看到公允价格和诚实的 value 检查;每条预测都会在开赛前记录,并在公开记录中结算,无论胜负。