每场 China League Two 赛事的公允、无水位概率,博彩公司出错时的 value 标记,以及积分榜——基于尖锐市场数据,而不是凭感觉。
该联赛目前没有即将审计的比赛。audit 持续运行——请稍后再看。
根据 TipsAudit 数据集中的比赛重建——并非官方积分榜。球队显示的比赛场次可能不同,且不区分附加赛或保级赛阶段。官方排名请使用联赛官方来源。
| # | 球队 | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 2 | Langfang Glory City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 4 | Rizhao Yuqi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 | Guangdong Mingtu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Dalian Kewei | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | BIT | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Xi'an Ronghai | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Qingdao Red Lions | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 | Dalian Yingbo B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 5 |
| 16 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Shenzhen 2028 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 4 |
| 19 | Shandong Taishan II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 4 |
| 20 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Shanghai Second | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Xiamen Feilu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 23 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 24 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
| # | 球队 | 平均排名 | 夺冠概率 | 降级概率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xi'an Ronghai | 2.3 | 41.7% | 0% |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan II | 3.5 | 20.8% | 0% |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 3.5 | 19.5% | 0% |
| 4 | Langfang Glory City | 5 | 8.4% | 0% |
| 5 | Shenzhen 2028 | 5.6 | 5.9% | 0% |
| 6 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 8.3 | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| 7 | Shanghai Port II | 9.4 | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 8 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 9.6 | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 11.2 | 0.2% | 1.6% |
| 10 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 11.4 | 0.1% | 1.4% |
| 11 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 12.7 | 0.1% | 4.3% |
| 12 | Changchun Xidu | 12.8 | 0.2% | 4.5% |
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 15.2 | 0% | 11.5% |
| 14 | Rizhao Yuqi | 15.2 | 0% | 14.1% |
| 15 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 15.9 | 0% | 15.4% |
| 16 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 16.4 | 0% | 18.2% |
| 17 | Qingdao Red Lions | 16.5 | 0% | 21.1% |
| 18 | Xiamen Feilu | 17.1 | 0% | 22.5% |
| 19 | BIT | 17.1 | 0.1% | 28.2% |
| 20 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 17.2 | 0% | 22.9% |
| 21 | Shanghai Second | 18 | 0% | 29.2% |
| 22 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 18.4 | 0% | 31.8% |
| 23 | Dalian Yingbo B | 18.6 | 0% | 34.3% |
| 24 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 19.1 | 0% | 38% |
阅读说明:我们使用基于历史结果构建的球队实力评级,将剩余赛季完整重演数千次。这些是概率,不是预测——我们的研究表明,任何模型都无法在单场比赛中战胜博彩市场。不过,放在完整赛季的尺度上,结果分布仍然具有参考价值。随着真实赛果不断出现,每周更新。
China League Two 最尖锐的公开预测,就是剔除水位后的投注市场。我们发布的正是这个——每场 China League Two 赛事的公允概率和公允赔率——并且只标记软性博彩公司定价失真的比赛。没有任何 tipster 能稳定战胜收盘线,我们也不假装可以。
我们发布的是 audit,不是 tips。对于每场 China League Two 比赛,你都能看到公允价格和诚实的 value 检查;每条预测都会在开赛前记录,并在公开记录中结算,无论胜负。