60/100 · C TipsAudit 信任分 — 证据不足
Puskás Tippek 已完成 99 条可验证推荐的审计。实测命中率:69%(声称:未说明)。平注 ROI:+17.0%。Closing line value:+25.2%。结论:跑赢收盘价。
@puskastippek · 242 订阅者
数字如何逐步收窄:233 从公开频道收集到的帖子 → 99 可与真实赛事实盘结算的唯一推荐 → 17 具有已验证收盘价的部分,只有在这部分上才能计算 CLV。
结论: 跑赢收盘价
此徽章实时读取本页面上的审计数据。记录变更时数字会变化,这正是它与营销贴纸的区别。任何在此被审计的人都可在任何渠道使用它,无需征求我们的许可。
| 日期 | 比赛 | 推荐 | 赔率 | CLV | 结果 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin — Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 1X DC | 1.91 | — | 输 | |
| Como — RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 1X DC | 1.68 | — | 赢 | |
| Bayern München — Bodø/Glimt · UEFA Champions League | YES BTTS | 2.09 | — | 输 | |
| Como — RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | — | — | 赢 | |
| Bayern Munich — Bodø/Glimt · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | — | — | 赢 | |
| Manchester United — Sabah · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | — | — | 赢 | |
| Derby County — West Bromwich · Championship | X2 DC | 1.68 | — | 赢 | |
| VfB Stuttgart — Viking Stavanger · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | 1.70 | +38.2% | 赢 | |
| VfB Stuttgart — Viking Stavanger · UEFA Champions League | OVER OU25 | 1.70 | — | 赢 | |
| Barcelona — Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | 2.08 | +92.6% | 赢 | |
| AEK Athén — LASK · UEFA Champions League | 1X DC | 1.79 | — | 赢 | |
| Elche — Real Sociedad · La Liga | X2 DC | 1.72 | — | 赢 | |
| Midtjylland — Nordsjaelland · Danish Superliga | X2 DC | 1.82 | — | 赢 | |
| Panathinaikosz — PAOK · Greek Super League | 1X DC | 1.62 | — | 赢 | |
| Győr — Kispest-Honvéd · Hungary NB I | OVER OU25 | 1.79 | — | 赢 | |
| Arsenal — Chelsea · Premier League | 1X DC | 1.75 | — | 赢 | |
| Schalke — Bayern München · Bundesliga | 2 1X2 | 1.71 | +40.2% | 输 | |
| Hull City — Aston Villa · Premier League | 1X DC | 1.83 | — | 赢 | |
| Schalke — Bayern München · Bundesliga | OVER OU25 | 1.71 | — | 输 | |
| Mönchengladbach — Elversberg · Bundesliga | OVER OU25 | 2.15 | — | 赢 | |
| FC Porto — Moreirense · Primeira Liga | 1 1X2 | 1.63 | +44.2% | 赢 | |
| Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga | UNDER OU25 | 1.84 | — | 赢 | |
| Ipswich — Liverpool · Premier League | 2 1X2 | — | — | 赢 | |
| Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga | 1 1X2 | — | — | 赢 | |
| Anderlecht — Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League | 1 1X2 | 1.67 | — | 赢 | |
| Burnley — Middlesbrough · Championship | X2 DC | 1.66 | — | 赢 | |
| Celtic — Aberdeen · Scottish Premiership | 1 1X2 | 1.87 | +49.6% | 赢 | |
| Grasshoppers — St. Gallen · Swiss Super League | X2 DC | 1.61 | — | 输 | |
| KR — Víkingur Reykjavík · Urvalsdeild | OVER OU25 | 1.67 | — | 输 | |
| Benfica — Estoril · Primeira Liga | 1X DC | 1.92 | — | 赢 | |
| Breidablik — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | 1X DC | 1.87 | — | 输 | |
| Breidablik — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | OVER OU25 | 1.87 | — | 输 | |
| Beşiktaş — Çorum · Süper Lig | 1X DC | 1.78 | — | 赢 | |
| Salzburg — Austria Wien · Austrian Bundesliga | 1 1X2 | 1.81 | — | 赢 | |
| Manchester United — Ipswich · Premier League | YES BTTS | 1.50 | — | 赢 | |
| Kisvárda — Győr · Hungary NB I | X2 DC | 1.76 | — | 赢 | |
| Freiburg — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 1 1X2 | 1.90 | -5.5% | 赢 | |
| Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga | X2 DC | 1.72 | — | 赢 | |
| Lorient — Troyes · Ligue 1 | 1 1X2 | 1.91 | — | 输 | |
| Újpest — Vasas · Hungary NB I | 1X DC | 1.67 | — | 赢 |
信任分(0–100)仅基于可衡量内容计算:已验证推荐的 closing line value、已验证样本的规模和时间跨度,以及宣传主张与实际结果之间的差距。其设计刻意保守——如果没有足够多的已验证推荐,任何记录都不能被视为可信,无论表面看起来多好。大多数 tipster 的评分为 C(证据不足),因为大多数记录根本无法验证。要获得高分,需要数百个具有正 CLV 的已验证推荐;要得到 F,则需要主张与现实之间存在可测量的矛盾,而不只是结果差。
99 个已结算推荐只是很小的样本——远不足以证明任何能力。把本页上的任何百分比都当作天气,而不是气候。 为什么样本量很重要 →
我们核实过的推荐,其平均收盘赔率价值为 +25.2%。CLV 对比的是推荐价格与最优收盘价格——这是选盘无法伪造的唯一指标。 CLV 是什么意思 →
We cannot say yet. Puskás Tippek has 99 settled public picks in our audit; closing line value could be measured on 17 of them (+25.2%), which is too few for a verdict either way. Trust score 60/100 (C). Treat any advertised ROI as unverified until the measurable sample grows.
Puskás Tippek's average CLV is +25.2%, measured on 17 picks where we could compare the advertised price with Pinnacle's closing price on the same market. CLV above zero means the picks consistently beat the closing line; it is the only tipster metric that converges within a few hundred picks, unlike ROI.
We read 233 public picks from Puskás Tippek's channel. 99 were matched to a fixture and settled on the official result; 71 were on sports or leagues outside our coverage (not counted as failures); the rest could not be verified. Only settled picks enter the win rate and ROI — a tipster's own record is never taken at face value.
我们读取每个 tipster 公布的推荐,在开赛前按时间戳记录,关联到真实赛事,并以最终结果结算。命中率和 ROI 使用 tipster 报出的赔率。CLV 将其成交价格与 sharp 收盘价对比——这是与真实 edge 关联最强的指标。我们只统计可独立验证的推荐,并公布亏损。我们与任何 tipster 均无关联。
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