Milline bookmaker võtab väikseima lõike? Arvutame iga jälgitava bookmakeri tegeliku 1X2 marginaali, lähtudes viimase 30 päeva jooksul hinnastatud 2,760 mängust — live-oddside, mitte turundusväidete põhjal.
Viimati arvutatud:
| # | Bookmaker | Keskm. marginaal | Kulu 100 panuse kohta | Valimisse võetud mängud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange | -0.03% | −-0.03 | 1,051 |
| 2 | Matchbook | 1.74% | −1.74 | 572 |
| 3 | Coolbet | 5.43% | −5.43 | 699 |
| 4 | BetOnline.ag | 5.50% | −5.50 | 694 |
| 5 | GTbets | 5.51% | −5.51 | 303 |
| 6 | BetAnything | 5.82% | −5.82 | 247 |
| 7 | Marathon Bet | 6.23% | −6.23 | 723 |
| 8 | Everygame | 6.47% | −6.47 | 104 |
| 9 | Pinnacle sharp benchmark | 6.48% | −6.48 | 2,374 |
| 10 | Unibet (SE) | 6.82% | −6.82 | 828 |
| 11 | Dafabet | 6.99% | −6.99 | 1,501 |
| 12 | Unibet (NL) | 7.14% | −7.14 | 816 |
| 13 | Codere (IT) | 7.32% | −7.32 | 737 |
| 14 | 1xBet | 7.60% | −7.60 | 2,331 |
| 15 | Betfair | 7.83% | −7.83 | 2,273 |
| 16 | Betsson | 7.97% | −7.97 | 716 |
| 17 | Nordic Bet | 8.01% | −8.01 | 724 |
| 18 | Tipico | 8.04% | −8.04 | 655 |
| 19 | Betano | 8.31% | −8.31 | 1,601 |
| 20 | Superbet | 8.63% | −8.63 | 1,187 |
| 21 | Suprabets | 8.83% | −8.83 | 246 |
| 22 | MyBookie.ag | 9.04% | −9.04 | 54 |
| 23 | 10Bet | 9.06% | −9.06 | 1,055 |
| 24 | Winamax (DE) | 9.24% | −9.24 | 685 |
| 25 | 888sport | 9.69% | −9.69 | 1,148 |
| 26 | Bet365 | 9.79% | −9.79 | 1,621 |
| 27 | Marathonbet | 9.90% | −9.90 | 1,623 |
| 28 | Unibet | 10.56% | −10.56 | 1,371 |
| 29 | William Hill | 10.58% | −10.58 | 2,264 |
| 30 | BetVictor | 10.98% | −10.98 | 1,387 |
| 31 | Winamax (FR) | 11.05% | −11.05 | 666 |
| 32 | LeoVegas (SE) | 11.12% | −11.12 | 842 |
| 33 | Betclic (FR) | 11.48% | −11.48 | 575 |
| 34 | PMU (FR) | 12.15% | −12.15 | 645 |
| 35 | Unibet (FR) | 12.26% | −12.26 | 727 |
| 36 | SBO | 14.73% | −14.73 | 1,041 |
Turukeskmine marginaal erineb liigiti — väiksemad liigad lähevad kallimaks. „Odavaim book“ on selle liiga madalaima keskmise marginaaliga bookmaker (vähemalt 20 mängu).
| Liiga | Turukeskm. marginaal | Odavaim book | Valimisse võetud mängud |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 5.75% | Matchbook 1.47% | 31 |
| UEFA Champions League | 5.76% | 1xBet 1.78% | 36 |
| Premier League | 5.92% | Matchbook 1.21% | 30 |
| Ligue 1 | 6.01% | 1xBet 1.85% | 27 |
| MLS | 6.11% | Betfair Exchange 0.02% | 104 |
| Bundesliga | 6.16% | 1xBet 2.66% | 27 |
| Serie A | 6.19% | Matchbook 1.29% | 30 |
| Argentina Liga Profesional | 7.10% | Betfair Exchange -0.12% | 78 |
| Liga MX | 7.13% | Betfair Exchange -0.09% | 45 |
| Primera A | 7.25% | Betfair Exchange -0.05% | 55 |
| Championship | 7.44% | Betfair 1.01% | 57 |
| Czech Liga | 7.44% | Betfair Exchange -0.04% | 40 |
| Süper Lig | 7.52% | Coolbet 4.76% | 21 |
| Brazil Serie A | 7.64% | Betfair Exchange 0.03% | 59 |
| Eredivisie | 7.67% | Betfair 2.76% | 30 |
| Jupiler Pro League | 7.81% | Betfair 1.95% | 23 |
| Primera Division Chile | 7.84% | Betfair Exchange -0.08% | 42 |
| League One | 7.84% | Matchbook 1.15% | 49 |
| K League 1 | 7.87% | Pinnacle 3.53% | 36 |
| Brazil Serie B | 8.03% | Matchbook 2.16% | 34 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 8.05% | Pinnacle 3.57% | 23 |
| Scottish Premiership | 8.07% | Coolbet 5.81% | 22 |
| Romania Liga I | 8.08% | Betfair Exchange 0.01% | 40 |
| Superettan | 8.09% | Betfair Exchange 0.04% | 45 |
| Slovak Super Liga | 8.09% | Betfair Exchange 0.03% | 30 |
| Peru Liga 1 | 8.10% | Betfair Exchange 0.01% | 45 |
| Allsvenskan | 8.15% | 1xBet 6.69% | 20 |
| Bulgaria First League | 8.17% | Betfair Exchange -0.10% | 35 |
| Ligue 2 | 8.22% | Pinnacle 4.58% | 23 |
| Primeira Liga | 8.35% | Pinnacle 5.03% | 22 |
| League Two | 8.46% | Matchbook 2.05% | 48 |
| Croatia HNL | 8.55% | Betfair Exchange 0.04% | 25 |
| Primera Nacional | 8.63% | Betfair Exchange -0.04% | 96 |
| Hungary NB I | 8.63% | Betfair Exchange 0.02% | 24 |
| Ukraine Premier League | 8.70% | 1xBet 5.19% | 32 |
| Serie B | 8.72% | Matchbook 1.44% | 24 |
| Ekstraklasa | 8.75% | Pinnacle 5.17% | 24 |
| Segunda Division | 8.80% | Matchbook 2.10% | 25 |
| Norway 1. Division | 8.98% | Pinnacle 5.43% | 32 |
| K League 2 | 8.98% | Betfair Exchange 0.08% | 39 |
| Uruguay Primera Division | 9.03% | Betfair Exchange 0.06% | 39 |
| Slovenia PrvaLiga | 9.13% | Betfair Exchange 0.09% | 24 |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 9.17% | Betfair Exchange -0.17% | 47 |
| 3. Liga | 9.52% | Pinnacle 6.09% | 30 |
| Ykkonen | 9.55% | Betfair Exchange -0.12% | 24 |
| Kazakhstan Premier League | 9.61% | Betfair Exchange 0.02% | 39 |
| 1. Deild | 9.63% | Betfair Exchange 0.01% | 34 |
| Serbia Super Liga | 9.69% | Betfair Exchange 0.00% | 35 |
| USL Championship | 9.70% | Pinnacle 5.29% | 58 |
| Chile Primera B | 9.71% | Betfair Exchange 0.04% | 47 |
| Latvia Virsliga | 9.86% | Betfair Exchange -0.01% | 21 |
| Poland I Liga | 10.12% | Pinnacle 5.60% | 45 |
| Czech FNL | 10.31% | Dafabet 7.14% | 40 |
| Ykkösliiga | 10.34% | Pinnacle 5.70% | 25 |
| Urvalsdeild | 10.36% | Pinnacle 5.76% | 23 |
| Slovakia 2. Liga | 10.40% | Dafabet 7.11% | 40 |
| MLS Next Pro | 10.66% | Dafabet 7.04% | 80 |
| First Division Ireland | 10.78% | Pinnacle 5.23% | 20 |
| China League Two | 10.83% | 1xBet 10.29% | 31 |
| Latvia 1. Liga | 11.04% | 1xBet 10.50% | 22 |
| Primera B Metropolitana | 11.14% | Dafabet 7.20% | 53 |
| Bulgaria Second League | 11.24% | Dafabet 9.82% | 50 |
| Paraguay Division Intermedia | 11.35% | Dafabet 8.08% | 40 |
| Lithuania 1 Lyga | 11.43% | Betfair Exchange -0.24% | 40 |
| Hungary NB II | 11.56% | Dafabet 8.01% | 28 |
| Primera C | 11.67% | Dafabet 7.14% | 55 |
Iga mängu puhul võtame iga bookmakeri kõige värskemad 1X2 koefitsiendid meie enda odds-snapshottidest, teisendame need implitsiitseteks tõenäosusteks (1 jagatud koefitsiendiga) ja summeerime. Aus turg annab kokku täpselt 100%; kõik üle selle on bookmakeri marginaal — sisseehitatud tasu, mida maksad iga panuse pealt. Keskmistame selle marginaali kõigi mängude lõikes, mida bookmaker viimase 30 päeva jooksul hindas. Keegi ei maksa meile tabelis koha eest ja ükski partnerlus ei muuda järjestust: see on salvestatud hindade aritmeetika, mida arvutame iga päev uuesti.
Marginaal on panustamise suurim kontrollitav kulu. Panustades 7% marginaaliga asemel 3% marginaaliga maksad igalt panuselt enam kui kahekordset tasu — vahe, mida ükski valikute oskus realistlikult ei kompenseeri. Enne kui küsid „kellele peaksin panustama?”, küsi „kui palju see book minult küsib?”