Slovakia 2. Liga

Inter Bratislava Žilina II

The sharp market makes Inter Bratislava the most likely outcome at 56% — fair odds of 1.79. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Inter Bratislava: LWLLL; Žilina II: LWLDL.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1 Home win 56%
Market probability (1 / X / 2) 56% / 23% / 21%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 52% / 25% / 23%
Fair odds (pick) 1.79
Market odds (Pinnacle) 1.70 / 3.78 / 4.17
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 1.73 / 3.80 / 4.75
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Pending

Match context

The last 2 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 2–0–0 (Inter Bratislava wins – draws – Žilina II wins).

Inter Bratislava scored 0.6 and conceded 1.6 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Žilina II scored 1.8 and conceded 2.4 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Inter Bratislava
L W L L L
avg 0.6 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)
Žilina II
L W L D L
avg 1.8 scored · 2.4 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
28 Mar 2026 Žilina II 1–2 Inter Bratislava
05 Sep 2025 Inter Bratislava 1–0 Žilina II

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1 · Home win
Odds when logged 1.70
Closing odds pending
Prediction CLV
Result Pending
Record hash — integrity fingerprint d6fae3498567cf4d

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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