How yesterday's audited matches settled — prediction and value-bet results side by side, with closing line value. Nothing hidden.
| Match | Prediction result | Value-bet result | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares — Fortaleza FC · Primera A | Won | — | — |
| Defensa Y Justicia — Gimnasia M. · Argentina Liga Profesional | Won | Won +1.31u | +13.2% |
| UTC Cajamarca — Juan Pablo II College · Peru Liga 1 | Lost | — | — |
| Newells Old Boys — Velez Sarsfield · Argentina Liga Profesional | Won | Won +2.10u | +6.5% |
| Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga | Won | — | — |
| Benevento — Hellas Verona · Serie B | Lost | Lost -1.00u | +5.8% |
| Pisa — Virtus Entella · Serie B | Lost | Lost -1.00u | +1.6% |
| West Ham — Wrexham · Championship | Won | — | — |
| St Patrick's Athl. — Shamrock Rovers · Premier Division | Won | Won +1.12u | -13.8% |
| Rennes — Marseille · Ligue 1 | Won | Lost -1.00u | -10.4% |
| Puszcza Niepołomice — ŁKS Łódź · Poland I Liga | Won | — | — |
| KV Mechelen — Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League | Won | Won +1.03u | +11.5% |
| Kerry — Bray Wanderers · First Division Ireland | Won | — | — |
| Wexford — Finn Harps · First Division Ireland | Lost | — | — |
| UCD — Athlone Town · First Division Ireland | Won | — | — |
| Cork City — Cobh Ramblers · First Division Ireland | Lost | — | — |
| Shelbourne — Derry City · Premier Division | Won | — | — |
| Galway United — Bohemians · Premier Division | Won | Won +1.07u | +17.6% |
| Drogheda United — Sligo Rovers · Premier Division | Won | — | — |
| Waterford — Dundalk · Premier Division | Lost | Lost -1.00u | +25.0% |
| Venezia — Fiorentina · Serie A | Won | Won +1.70u | +2.7% |
| Burgos — AD Ceuta FC · Segunda Division | Won | Won +0.84u | +15.0% |
| Union Berlin — FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | Won | Lost -1.00u | -8.0% |
| Wisla Krakow — Jagiellonia · Ekstraklasa | Won | Lost -1.00u | +9.8% |
| Brinje-Grosuplje — Nafta · Slovenia PrvaLiga | Won | Lost -1.00u | +1.7% |
| AZ Alkmaar — Willem II · Eredivisie | Lost | Lost -1.00u | +1.7% |
| Csikszereda — Dinamo Bucuresti · Romania Liga I | Won | — | — |
| Rodez — Grenoble · Ligue 2 | Lost | — | — |
| Nancy — Reims · Ligue 2 | Won | — | — |
| Clermont Foot — Boulogne · Ligue 2 | Won | — | — |
| Dijon — Laval · Ligue 2 | Won | Won +1.07u | +0.0% |
| Montpellier — PAU · Ligue 2 | Won | — | — |
| Ried — Red Bull Salzburg · Austrian Bundesliga | Lost | — | — |
| Empoli — Arezzo · Serie B | Lost | — | — |
| Beşiktaş — Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig | Won | — | — |
| FC Copenhagen — AC Horsens · Danish Superliga | Won | Won +0.37u | +4.6% |
| FC Viktoria Köln — Hansa Rostock · 3. Liga | Won | Won +2.10u | +7.3% |
| BK Hacken — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan | Lost | Lost -1.00u | +15.5% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga | Won | — | — |
| 1. FC Nürnberg — Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga | Won | Lost -1.00u | +3.9% |
| Táborsko — Kladno · Czech FNL | Lost | — | — |
| Ústí nad Labem — Vysočina Jihlava · Czech FNL | Lost | — | — |
| Příbram — Baník Ostrava II · Czech FNL | Won | Won +2.15u | +8.6% |
| Dukla Praha — Vlašim · Czech FNL | Won | — | — |
| Polonia Warszawa — Polonia Bytom · Poland I Liga | Lost | — | — |
| Raków Częstochowa — Motor Lublin · Ekstraklasa | Won | — | — |
| KäPa — PK-35 · Ykkösliiga | Won | — | — |
| FC jazz — KPV-j · Ykkonen | Won | — | — |
| Kooteepee — JäPS · Ykkösliiga | Won | Won +0.43u | +5.9% |
| Třinec — Karviná · Czech FNL | Lost | Lost -1.00u | +8.9% |
| Pohronie — Liptovský Mikuláš · Slovakia 2. Liga | Won | Lost -1.00u | +23.1% |
| Transinvest 2 — Hegelmann II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | Won | — | — |
| Babrungas — Atmosfera · Lithuania 1 Lyga | Won | Won +0.74u | +0.0% |
| Riga — Auda · Latvia Virsliga | Lost | — | — |
| Farul Constanta — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I | Won | — | — |
| Neptūną Klaipėda — Jonava · Lithuania 1 Lyga | Won | — | — |
| Ogre United — FK Liepaja · Latvia Virsliga | Lost | — | — |
| Kolos Kovalivka — Karpaty · Ukraine Premier League | Won | — | — |
| Independiente del Valle — Flamengo · Copa Libertadores | Won | Won +1.95u | +13.0% |
| Cienciano — Atletico Torque · Copa Sudamericana | Won | Won +0.70u | +14.1% |
| Sport Recife — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | Won | — | — |
Every row was logged before kick-off and is part of our public, immutable record. Track Record →
The sharp betting market with the bookmaker margin removed is generally the strongest publicly available forecast of a football match — across tens of thousands of matches, no public model, AI or tipster has been shown to beat it consistently. That is exactly what we publish here: the fair probability for every match playing today, updated as the market moves.
We do not sell tips. We show the fair price for each match and flag the few games where a softer bookmaker is mispricing a result. What you do with that is your own decision — we publish an audit, not a tip sheet, and our full record is open including the losses.
We strip the margin out of the sharpest odds to get the true probability, then flag any match where another bookmaker offers a higher price than that fair value — never on long shots, which are systematically overpriced. Most days there are only a handful, and often none.