We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya — Kryvbas KR · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Kyzyl-Zhar — Kaisar · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.23 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Zhetysu — Kaspiy · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Hangzhou Greentown — Wuhan Three Towns · China Super League | 1 | 1.67 | 1.97 | -15.2% | Won | |
| Jiangxi Liansheng — Shandong Taishan II · China League Two | X/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Okzhetpes — Zhenys · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.26 | +1.4% | Won | |
| Chornomorets — Obolon'-Brovar · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.35 | -6.6% | Won | |
| Wuhan Three Towns II — Nantong Haimen Codion · China League Two | X/2 | 1.31 | 1.32 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Changchun Xidu — Guangdong Mingtu · China League Two | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.5% | Won | |
| Rizhao Yuqi — Yichun Grand Tiger · China League Two VALUE → | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.18 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Flamengo — Independiente del Valle · Copa Libertadores VALUE → | 1 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.8% | Lost | |
| Atletico Torque — Cienciano · Copa Sudamericana | 1 | 1.64 | 1.52 | +7.9% | Won | |
| Bucaramanga — Independiente Medellin · Primera A | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.30 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Malaga — Villarreal · La Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.33 | -5.4% | Won | |
| Real Sociedad — Bournemouth · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Celtic — Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1.69 | 1.71 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Juventus — NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1 | 1.27 | 1.21 | +5.0% | Won | |
| Plzen — Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Beşiktaş — Marseille · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Crystal Palace — Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1.45 | 1.46 | -0.7% | Won | |
| AFC Wimbledon — Milton Keynes Dons · League One | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.5% | Lost | |
| Železničar Pančevo — FK Crvena Zvezda · Serbia Super Liga VALUE → | 2 | 1.39 | 1.41 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Real Betis — Getafe · La Liga | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.11 | +8.1% | Won | |
| OFI — 1899 Hoffenheim · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 2 | 1.41 | 1.33 | +6.0% | Lost | |
| Levski Sofia — Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Atyrau — Ordabasy · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 2 | 1.44 | 1.43 | +0.7% | Won | |
| FC Astana — Kairat Almaty · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -1.3% | Won | |
| FK Tobol Kostanay — Yelimay Semey · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.25 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Internacional de Bogota — Atletico Nacional · Primera A | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.14 | +8.9% | Won | |
| Corinthians — Estudiantes L.P. · Copa Libertadores | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.23 | -3.5% | Lost | |
| Birmingham Legion — New Mexico United · USL Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.31 | -2.6% | Lost | |
| Once Caldas — Deportes Tolima · Primera A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.33 | -8.5% | Won | |
| Real Monarchs — Minnesota United II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.16 | +2.1% | Lost | |
| Botafogo — Gremio · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Atletico-MG — Santos · Copa Sudamericana | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.20 | +1.7% | Won | |
| LDU de Quito — Palmeiras · Copa Libertadores VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.41 | -4.3% | Won | |
| Hartford Athletic — Sporting JAX · USL Championship | 1 | 1.56 | 1.54 | +1.3% | Won | |
| Coquimbo Unido — Huachipato · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.65 | 1.46 | +13.0% | Lost | |
| Barcelona — Racing Santander · La Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.08 | 1.07 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Sturm Graz — Rennes · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Sunderland — AZ Alkmaar · UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1.72 | 1.51 | +13.9% | Won | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus — Jagiellonia · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1 | 1.37 | 1.34 | +2.2% | Won | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva — Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.30 | -3.2% | Lost | |
| Bayer Leverkusen — Celje · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1 | 1.19 | 1.05 | +13.3% | Won | |
| Anderlecht — Lyon · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.9% | Won | |
| AC Milan — Benfica · UEFA Europa League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.32 | -1.2% | Won | |
| San Martin S.J. — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.28 | -6.1% | Won | |
| Deportivo La Coruna — Sevilla · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.46 | -6.2% | Lost | |
| Atletico Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga | 1 | 1.46 | 1.33 | +9.8% | Won | |
| Waldhof Mannheim — Rot-Weiß Essen · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.31 | -4.9% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.