Independent tipster audit: claimed vs. real, measured

ROI is flat-stakes on the tipster's own quoted odds, counted only on picks where the tipster gave odds, and shown from 100 such picks (below that, the cell shows how many so far). CLV (closing line value) is measured against the sharp closing market where available, the strongest objective measure of skill; a verdict needs 30 picks with a measurable closing price. Ordered by CLV; positions are numbered only when a tipster beats the closing line with 95% confidence.

Not rated yet

These channels have fewer than 15 settled public picks in our audit, so we give them no score, no grade and no verdict yet. Treat any advertised record as unverified.

• TOSS_KING AJAYA (0 settled of 91 read)
• Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт| (7 settled of 47 read)
• BSStrategy / Pinnacle Pre Odds Drops (1 settled of 34 read)
• InPlayMatch (0 settled of 12 read)
• A M A N V E R M A™🏆🏆🏆 (0 settled of 4 read)

Our own channel (not ranked)

Since 12 October 2026 our Telegram channel posts fair prices, not picks. The picks listed here are the ones we graded, measured with exactly the same method as every other channel; we do not rank or grade ourselves, and they are not in the counts above.

61 settled picks · win rate 51% · CLV +2.7% (95% interval +0.8% to +4.8%, measured on 61) · Last graded pick: 23 Jun 2026 →

How we audit

We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.

Holding others to a standard only counts if we meet it. This audit is operated by TIPSAUDIT LLC, the scores are computed from the method above, and anyone graded here can challenge their figures and have the correction published — including when the correction favours them. Who operates this →

These tipsters are well known, but their actual picks are sold (Tipstrr, paid Telegram, Substack) or their public posts are marketing only. That means we cannot log their picks before kick-off and measure real CLV. We list them for transparency — with an honest note that their record can't be independently checked the way ours can.

Also listed, with no published figures: Asian Handicap King, Brooklyn's Turkish Football, ELITE TIPSTER CLUB⚽️📊, Football First, JK Diegos Draw Betting System, Neil Macs Soccer Betting Edge, Net Gains Football, PinnacleBets, PinnacleProBets, ProfitGR, Real FC Tips, Scottish Confidential, SlavsTips, The Low Service, TipingMaster, TipMan Football

ROI as shown on the tipster's own platform (Tipstrr) on 25 Jun 2026, over a period the tipster chose. We have not updated it since, and we cannot independently verify it, because their actual picks are paywalled and not logged before kick-off against the closing market.

Read: why a tipster's ROI lies → · Tipstrr review: read the ROI table before you pay →

Frequently asked