Ykkösliiga

Kooteepee EIF

Our verdict

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

The numbers

1 Home win 59% · 1.58
Market probability (1 / X / 2) 59% / 23% / 18%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 44% / 30% / 26%
Pick 1 — Home win (59%)
Fair odds (pick) 1.70
Market odds (Pinnacle) 1.58 / 4.03 / 5.18
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 1.58 / 4.10 / 5.00
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Status Won · 1

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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