We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1872 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna — Elche · La Liga | X · Draw | 3.39 | 3.06 | 2.96 | +14.5% | Won | +2.39 | |
| FCSB — FC Botosani · Romania Liga I | 1 · FCSB | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.49 | +4.0% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Samsunspor — Göztepe · Süper Lig | 1 · Samsunspor | 2.35 | 2.20 | 2.11 | +11.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Atletico Tucuman · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Atletico Tucuman | 3.20 | 2.97 | 2.85 | +12.3% | Won | +2.20 | |
| Sporting Gijon — Sabadell · Segunda Division | 1 · Sporting Gijon | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.81 | +4.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Universitatea Cluj — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I | 1 · Universitatea Cluj | 2.05 | 2.03 | 1.97 | +4.1% | Won | +1.05 | |
| Slovan Bratislava II — Humenné · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Slovan Bratislava II | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.88 | +7.4% | Won | +1.02 | |
| Polessya — Zorya Luhansk · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Polessya | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.47 | +4.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gnistan — Ilves · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Gnistan | 2.48 | 2.44 | 2.27 | +9.3% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Seattle Sounders — Vancouver Whitecaps · MLS | 2 · Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.96 | +3.1% | Won | +1.02 | |
| Santos Laguna — Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 2 · Guadalajara Chivas | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.53 | +2.6% | Won | +0.57 | |
| Barracas Central — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Rosario Central | 2.58 | 2.43 | 2.48 | +4.0% | Won | +1.58 | |
| CRB — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.33 | 3.14 | +8.3% | Won | +2.40 | |
| America Mineiro — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.15 | 3.12 | 2.98 | +5.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mirassol — Flamengo · Brazil Serie A | 2 · Flamengo | 2.00 | 1.84 | 1.79 | +11.7% | Won | +1.00 | |
| Vitoria — Botafogo · Brazil Serie A | X · Draw | 3.50 | 3.21 | 3.09 | +13.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| River Plate — Argentinos JRS · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · River Plate | 2.49 | 2.29 | 1.98 | +25.8% | Won | +1.49 | |
| Chicago Fire II — Orlando City II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Chicago Fire II | 1.68 | 1.66 | 1.58 | +6.3% | Won | +0.68 | |
| Coquimbo Unido — U. Catolica · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Coquimbo Unido | 2.40 | 2.30 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gimnasia M. — Talleres Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.98 | 2.94 | 2.81 | +6.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga | 1 · Celta Vigo | 2.15 | 2.10 | 2.09 | +2.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Orense SC — Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · Orense SC | 2.07 | 2.01 | 1.92 | +7.8% | Won | +1.07 | |
| Cobresal — Concepción · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Cobresal | 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.57 | +8.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vasco DA Gama — Santos · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Vasco DA Gama | 2.25 | 2.09 | 1.95 | +15.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Beşiktaş — Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 1 · Beşiktaş | 1.41 | 1.37 | 1.34 | +5.2% | Won | +0.41 | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Dunav Ruse · Bulgaria First League | 1 · Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1.85 | 1.74 | 1.68 | +10.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Koper — Bravo · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1 · Koper | 1.85 | 1.77 | 1.70 | +8.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Slovan Liberec — Slavia Praha · Czech Liga | 2 · Slavia Praha | 1.93 | 1.85 | 1.76 | +9.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| KR Reykjavik — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild | 1 · KR Reykjavik | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.51 | +1.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sarmiento Junin — Huracan · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Huracan | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.68 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Central Cordoba de Santiago — Instituto Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Instituto Cordoba | 2.38 | 2.19 | 2.17 | +9.7% | Won | +1.38 | |
| Lommel United — Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League | 2 · Charleroi | 2.48 | 2.28 | 2.25 | +10.2% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Fredrikstad — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien | 1 · Fredrikstad | 2.02 | 1.95 | 1.89 | +6.9% | Won | +1.02 | |
| KV Mechelen — Standard Liege · Jupiler Pro League | 2 · Standard Liege | 3.04 | 2.90 | 2.65 | +14.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| CSKA Sofia — Botev Vratsa · Bulgaria First League | 1 · CSKA Sofia | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.27 | +6.3% | Won | +0.35 | |
| Brinje-Grosuplje — Mura · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1 · Brinje-Grosuplje | 2.38 | 2.34 | 2.23 | +6.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Randers FC — FC Copenhagen · Danish Superliga | 2 · FC Copenhagen | 1.98 | 1.82 | 1.76 | +12.5% | Won | +0.98 | |
| Corvinul Hunedoara — CFR 1907 Cluj · Romania Liga I | 1 · Corvinul Hunedoara | 2.85 | 2.76 | 2.61 | +9.2% | Won | +1.85 | |
| Zbrojovka Brno — Hradec Králové · Czech Liga | 1 · Zbrojovka Brno | 2.60 | 2.36 | — | — | Won | +1.60 | |
| WSG Wattens — Red Bull Salzburg · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 · Red Bull Salzburg | 1.71 | 1.58 | 1.47 | +16.3% | Won | +0.71 | |
| TSV Hartberg — Austria Vienna · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 · Austria Vienna | 2.22 | 2.10 | 2.24 | -0.9% | Won | +1.22 | |
| Burnley — West Ham · Championship | 2 · West Ham | 2.58 | 2.43 | 2.31 | +11.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Raufoss — Asane · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Raufoss | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.84 | +8.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kongsvinger — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Kongsvinger | 2.08 | 2.03 | 1.95 | +6.7% | Won | +1.08 | |
| Molde — Tromso · Eliteserien | 1 · Molde | 2.33 | 2.30 | 2.25 | +3.6% | Won | +1.33 | |
| Ajax — Heerenveen · Eredivisie | 1 · Ajax | 1.65 | 1.49 | 1.47 | +12.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Debreceni VSC — Gyori ETO FC · Hungary NB I | 2 · Gyori ETO FC | 2.12 | 2.11 | 2.02 | +5.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gais — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan | 1 · Gais | 2.45 | 2.23 | 2.16 | +13.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lahti — KuPS · Veikkausliiga | 2 · KuPS | 2.66 | 2.55 | 2.73 | -2.6% | Won | +1.66 | |
| Lyngby — FC Midtjylland · Danish Superliga | 2 · FC Midtjylland | 1.82 | 1.76 | 1.80 | +1.1% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.