We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1909 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima — UTC Cajamarca · Peru Liga 1 | 1 · Alianza Lima | 1.27 | 1.21 | 1.20 | +5.8% | Won | +0.27 | |
| Platense — Boca Juniors · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Boca Juniors | 2.32 | 2.20 | 2.20 | +5.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Everton de Vina — A. Italiano · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Everton de Vina | 2.07 | 2.04 | 1.97 | +5.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Toronto FC — New England Revolution · MLS | 1 · Toronto FC | 2.30 | 2.24 | 2.17 | +6.0% | Won | +1.30 | |
| Orlando City SC — FC Cincinnati · MLS | 1 · Orlando City SC | 2.23 | 2.21 | 2.14 | +4.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sporting JAX — Indy Eleven · USL Championship | 2 · Indy Eleven | 1.98 | 1.89 | 1.81 | +9.4% | Won | +0.98 | |
| Belgrano Cordoba — Independ. Rivadavia · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Belgrano Cordoba | 2.19 | 2.13 | 1.94 | +12.9% | Won | +1.19 | |
| Guayaquil City FC — Libertad · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · Guayaquil City FC | 2.15 | 2.09 | 2.01 | +7.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ceara — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Ceara | 2.35 | 2.27 | 2.18 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Paranaense — RB Bragantino · Brazil Serie A | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.13 | 3.20 | +6.2% | Won | +2.40 | |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas — FBC Melgar · Peru Liga 1 | 2 · FBC Melgar | 2.55 | 2.48 | 2.33 | +9.4% | Won | +1.55 | |
| Tristan Suarez — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional | 1 · Tristan Suarez | 2.15 | 2.02 | — | — | Won | +1.15 | |
| San Telmo — Deportivo Moron · Primera Nacional | 1 · San Telmo | 3.20 | 3.17 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Patronato — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional | 1 · Patronato | 2.62 | 2.52 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Maipu — Quilmes · Primera Nacional | 1 · Deportivo Maipu | 2.33 | 2.29 | — | — | Won | +1.33 | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar — Racing Cordoba · Primera Nacional | 1 · Ciudad de Bolívar | 2.65 | 2.63 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — Gimnasia L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Estudiantes L.P. | 2.14 | 1.97 | 1.97 | +8.6% | Won | +1.14 | |
| Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 1 · Sevilla | 2.41 | 2.38 | 2.34 | +3.0% | Won | +1.41 | |
| Fluminense — Palmeiras · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Fluminense | 2.98 | 2.83 | 2.79 | +6.8% | Won | +1.98 | |
| NK Osijek — NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Croatia HNL | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 | +13.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Manta FC — Leones del Norte · Ecuador LigaPro | 2 · Leones del Norte | 2.72 | 2.61 | 2.64 | +3.0% | Won | +1.72 | |
| Fortuna Sittard — Cambuur · Eredivisie | 1 · Fortuna Sittard | 1.93 | 1.81 | 1.69 | +14.2% | Won | +0.93 | |
| OH Leuven — Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League | 2 · Club Brugge KV | 1.52 | 1.45 | 1.40 | +8.6% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Gaziantep FK — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig | 2 · Alanyaspor | 3.02 | 2.92 | 2.79 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | 2 · Fenerbahçe | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.41 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Olimpija Ljubljana — Maribor · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 2 · Maribor | 2.18 | 2.12 | 2.06 | +5.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Widzew Łódź — Korona Kielce · Ekstraklasa | 1 · Widzew Łódź | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.99 | -2.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Plzen — Zlin · Czech Liga | 1 · Plzen | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.22 | +4.1% | Won | +0.27 | |
| ADT — Alianza Atletico · Peru Liga 1 | 1 · ADT | 2.23 | 2.11 | 2.01 | +10.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Alaves — Getafe · La Liga | X · Draw | 3.11 | 2.90 | 2.80 | +11.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Lorenzo — Union Santa Fe · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · San Lorenzo | 2.85 | 2.61 | 2.56 | +11.3% | Won | +1.85 | |
| Aldosivi — Tigre · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Tigre | 2.92 | 2.67 | 2.63 | +11.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Radnik Surdulica — Macva · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Radnik Surdulica | 1.75 | 1.69 | 1.61 | +8.7% | Won | +0.75 | |
| Kooteepee — KäPa · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Kooteepee | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.23 | +12.2% | Won | +0.38 | |
| Kortrijk — Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League | 1 · Kortrijk | 2.85 | 2.76 | 2.65 | +7.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Hanácká — Vysočina Jihlava · Czech FNL | 2 · Vysočina Jihlava | 3.15 | 2.99 | 2.73 | +15.4% | Won | +2.15 | |
| Slavia Sofia — Levski Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 2 · Levski Sofia | 1.48 | 1.39 | 1.41 | +5.0% | Won | +0.48 | |
| Skalica — FK Košice · Slovak Super Liga | 2 · FK Košice | 2.10 | 2.05 | 2.07 | +1.4% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Mariehamn — SJK · Veikkausliiga | 2 · SJK | 1.67 | 1.54 | 1.46 | +14.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Csikszereda — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · Romania Liga I | 2 · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 2.65 | 2.49 | 2.37 | +11.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Inter Bratislava — Galanta · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Inter Bratislava | 1.47 | 1.39 | 1.34 | +9.7% | Won | +0.47 | |
| Sparta Praha — Teplice · Czech Liga | 1 · Sparta Praha | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.33 | +5.3% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Verl — MSV Duisburg · 3. Liga | 1 · Verl | 2.45 | 2.20 | 2.35 | +4.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Willem II — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 2 · NEC Nijmegen | 1.63 | 1.54 | 1.52 | +7.2% | Won | +0.63 | |
| Juventud — Atletico Torque · Uruguay Primera Division | 2 · Atletico Torque | 3.00 | 2.89 | 3.00 | +0.0% | Won | +2.00 | |
| OLS — Rops · Ykkonen | 1 · OLS | 2.35 | 2.29 | 2.16 | +8.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cheltenham — Rotherham · League Two | 1 · Cheltenham | 3.00 | 2.83 | 2.75 | +9.1% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Barnet — Salford City · League Two | 2 · Salford City | 3.50 | 3.27 | 2.99 | +17.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Grimsby — Exeter City · League Two | 1 · Grimsby | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.74 | +6.3% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Crawley Town — Crewe · League Two | 2 · Crewe | 3.08 | 2.91 | 2.75 | +12.0% | Won | +2.08 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.