We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1925 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II — New York RB II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Atlanta United II | 1.98 | 1.91 | 1.81 | +9.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cercle Brugge — St. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League | 1 · Cercle Brugge | 2.44 | 2.23 | 2.33 | +4.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Viborg — Aarhus · Danish Superliga | 1 · Viborg | 2.60 | 2.54 | 2.02 | +28.7% | Won | +1.60 | |
| Kladno — Vlašim · Czech FNL | 2 · Vlašim | 2.62 | 2.56 | 2.45 | +6.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dukla Praha — Slavia Praha II · Czech FNL | 1 · Dukla Praha | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.64 | +6.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Stal Rzeszów · Poland I Liga | 1 · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 1.73 | 1.69 | 1.77 | -2.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| JäPS — Haka · Ykkösliiga | 2 · Haka | 1.88 | 1.80 | 1.67 | +12.6% | Won | +0.88 | |
| VPS — Turku PS · Veikkausliiga | 1 · VPS | 1.75 | 1.71 | 1.70 | +2.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Qingdao Youth Island — Chongqing Tongliang Long · China Super League | 1 · Qingdao Youth Island | 2.33 | 2.17 | 2.07 | +12.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Shandong Luneng — Qingdao Jonoon · China Super League | 1 · Shandong Luneng | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.39 | +7.2% | Won | +0.49 | |
| Deportes Iquique — Deportes Copiapo · Chile Primera B | 1 · Deportes Iquique | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.93 | +1.0% | Won | +0.95 | |
| Rosario Central — Corinthians · Copa Libertadores | 1 · Rosario Central | 2.27 | 2.18 | 2.33 | -2.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vasco DA Gama — Olimpia · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Vasco DA Gama | 1.74 | 1.73 | 1.62 | +7.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mirassol — LDU de Quito · Copa Libertadores | 1 · Mirassol | 2.00 | 1.79 | 1.71 | +17.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| HK Kopavogur — Leiknir R. · 1. Deild | 1 · HK Kopavogur | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.49 | +5.4% | Won | +0.57 | |
| Fylkir — Afturelding · 1. Deild | 2 · Afturelding | 3.05 | 2.81 | 2.34 | +30.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vestri — IR Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 · IR Reykjavik | 2.70 | 2.47 | 2.39 | +13.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Grindavik — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 · Throttur Reykjavik | 1.70 | 1.62 | 1.51 | +12.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| PPJ — MyPa · Kakkonen | 1 · PPJ | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.35 | +7.4% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Santa Fe — River Plate · Copa Sudamericana | 2 · River Plate | 2.55 | 2.37 | 2.36 | +8.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Marcos de Arica — Union San Felipe · Chile Primera B | 1 · San Marcos de Arica | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.47 | +15.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Antofagasta — Santiago Wanderers · Chile Primera B | 1 · Antofagasta | 1.93 | 1.86 | 1.69 | +14.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cruzeiro — Flamengo · Copa Libertadores | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.05 | 2.92 | +16.4% | Won | +2.40 | |
| RB Bragantino — Atletico-MG · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · RB Bragantino | 2.18 | 2.13 | 2.02 | +7.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tigre — Atletico Torque · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Tigre | 2.13 | 2.04 | 1.83 | +16.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Recoleta — Rangers de Talca · Chile Primera B | 2 · Rangers de Talca | 3.15 | 3.04 | 2.76 | +14.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Palmeiras — Cerro Porteno · Copa Libertadores | 1 · Palmeiras | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportes Tolima — Independiente del Valle · Copa Libertadores | 2 · Independiente del Valle | 2.80 | 2.58 | 2.66 | +5.3% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — U. Catolica · Copa Libertadores | 1 · Estudiantes L.P. | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.74 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| D. Puerto Montt — Union Espanola · Chile Primera B | 1 · D. Puerto Montt | 2.47 | 2.27 | 2.15 | +14.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Fluminense — Independ. Rivadavia · Copa Libertadores | 1 · Fluminense | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.68 | +1.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Žalgiris II — Kauno Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Žalgiris II | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.93 | +3.6% | Won | +1.00 | |
| CSKA Sofia II — Hebar 1918 · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · CSKA Sofia II | 1.94 | 1.92 | 1.57 | +23.6% | Won | +0.94 | |
| Atlético Tembetary — General Caballero · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · Atlético Tembetary | 3.05 | 2.89 | 2.74 | +11.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Santa Clara — Nacional · Primeira Liga | 1 · Santa Clara | 2.15 | 2.00 | 1.93 | +11.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Fram Reykjavik — KR Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · KR Reykjavik | 2.33 | 2.32 | 2.16 | +7.9% | Won | +1.33 | |
| Beroe — Ludogorets II · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Beroe | 2.16 | 2.01 | 1.98 | +9.1% | Won | +1.16 | |
| Považská Bystrica — Zlaté Moravce · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Považská Bystrica | 2.35 | 2.32 | 1.97 | +19.3% | Won | +1.35 | |
| Karpaty — LNZ Cherkasy · Ukraine Premier League | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.88 | 2.63 | +19.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Universidad de Chile — Palestino · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Universidad de Chile | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.64 | +18.3% | Won | +0.94 | |
| Flamengo — Vitoria · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Flamengo | 1.30 | 1.24 | 1.26 | +3.2% | Won | +0.30 | |
| Club Nacional — Boston River · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Club Nacional | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.52 | +3.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Santos — Atletico Paranaense · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Santos | 2.45 | 2.27 | 2.13 | +15.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Alianza Valledupar — Bucaramanga · Primera A | 2 · Bucaramanga | 2.80 | 2.77 | 2.49 | +12.4% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Instituto Cordoba — Gimnasia M. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Instituto Cordoba | 1.83 | 1.68 | 1.93 | -5.2% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Independ. Rivadavia — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Independ. Rivadavia | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.71 | -4.7% | Won | +0.63 | |
| Gimnasia L.P. — Barracas Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Gimnasia L.P. | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.86 | -2.2% | Won | +0.82 | |
| Deportivo Riestra — Estudiantes L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.92 | 2.61 | 5.13 | -43.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Banfield — Belgrano Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Belgrano Cordoba | 2.68 | 2.63 | 2.50 | +7.2% | Won | +1.68 | |
| Atletico Tucuman — Sarmiento Junin · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Atletico Tucuman | 1.95 | 1.82 | 28.08 | -93.1% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.