We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1932 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Valledupar — Bucaramanga · Primera A | 2 · Bucaramanga | 2.80 | 2.77 | 2.49 | +12.4% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Instituto Cordoba — Gimnasia M. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Instituto Cordoba | 1.83 | 1.68 | 1.93 | -5.2% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Independ. Rivadavia — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Independ. Rivadavia | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.71 | -4.7% | Won | +0.63 | |
| Gimnasia L.P. — Barracas Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Gimnasia L.P. | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.86 | -2.2% | Won | +0.82 | |
| Deportivo Riestra — Estudiantes L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.92 | 2.61 | 5.13 | -43.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Banfield — Belgrano Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Belgrano Cordoba | 2.68 | 2.63 | 2.50 | +7.2% | Won | +1.68 | |
| Atletico Tucuman — Sarmiento Junin · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Atletico Tucuman | 1.95 | 1.82 | 28.08 | -93.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Argentinos JRS — Racing Club · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Argentinos JRS | 2.42 | 2.24 | 2.17 | +11.5% | Won | +1.42 | |
| Union Santa Fe — Central Cordoba de Santiago · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Union Santa Fe | 1.55 | 1.46 | 1.51 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Talleres Cordoba — Lanus · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.97 | 2.83 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Lorenzo — Huracan · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.78 | 2.64 | 3.94 | -29.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nautico Recife — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Nautico Recife | 2.38 | 2.29 | 2.76 | -13.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Bravo — Brinje-Grosuplje · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1 · Bravo | 1.88 | 1.87 | 1.79 | +5.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| IA Akranes — Thor Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1 · IA Akranes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.44 | +4.2% | Won | +0.50 | |
| Vikingur Reykjavik — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild | 1 · Vikingur Reykjavik | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.37 | -0.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Alemannia Aachen — Verl · 3. Liga | 2 · Verl | 3.20 | 2.93 | 3.24 | -1.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kristiansund BK — Molde · Eliteserien | 2 · Molde | 1.87 | 1.79 | 1.66 | +12.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Soroksar — Diosgyori VTK · Hungary NB II | 2 · Diosgyori VTK | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.73 | +6.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Austria Vienna — Lask Linz · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 · Lask Linz | 2.19 | 2.17 | 1.85 | +18.4% | Won | +1.19 | |
| FC Porto — Alverca · Primeira Liga | 1 · FC Porto | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.8% | Won | +0.21 | |
| Concepción — Universidad de Concepcion · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Concepción | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.97 | -1.0% | Won | +0.95 | |
| Philadelphia Union II — FC Cincinnati II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Philadelphia Union II | 1.64 | 1.59 | 1.52 | +7.9% | Won | +0.64 | |
| Cherno More Varna — Ludogorets · Bulgaria First League | 2 · Ludogorets | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.73 | +2.9% | Won | +0.78 | |
| Banga — Suduva Marijampole · Lithuania A Lyga | 1 · Banga | 2.60 | 2.54 | 2.59 | +0.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC jazz — OLS · Ykkonen | 1 · FC jazz | 3.30 | 3.07 | 2.84 | +16.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Veres Rivne — Dynamo Kyiv · Ukraine Premier League | 2 · Dynamo Kyiv | 1.37 | 1.27 | 1.30 | +5.4% | Won | +0.37 | |
| Žilina — Skalica · Slovak Super Liga | 1 · Žilina | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.59 | +10.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Rangers — Hibernian · Scottish Premiership | 1 · Rangers | 1.70 | 1.58 | 1.41 | +20.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Haugesund — Raufoss · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Haugesund | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.31 | +3.8% | Won | +0.36 | |
| Ham-Kam — Aalesund · Eliteserien | 1 · Ham-Kam | 2.20 | 2.15 | 2.15 | +2.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Sion — FC Vaduz · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Sion | 1.53 | 1.46 | 1.55 | -1.3% | Won | +0.53 | |
| FC Basel 1893 — FC Thun · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Basel 1893 | 2.12 | 2.03 | 2.20 | -3.6% | Won | +1.12 | |
| FC Saarbrücken — Rot-Weiß Essen · 3. Liga | 1 · FC Saarbrücken | 2.66 | 2.38 | 2.71 | -1.8% | Won | +1.66 | |
| Halmstad — Gais · Allsvenskan | 2 · Gais | 1.85 | 1.74 | 1.65 | +12.1% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Yelimay Semey — Irtysh · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · Yelimay Semey | 1.86 | 1.84 | 1.68 | +10.7% | Won | +0.86 | |
| Heart Of Midlothian — Dundee Utd · Scottish Premiership | 1 · Heart Of Midlothian | 1.55 | 1.43 | 1.78 | -12.9% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Charleroi — OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League | 1 · Charleroi | 2.04 | 1.89 | 1.80 | +13.3% | Won | +1.04 | |
| Athletic Club — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Criciuma | 2.64 | 2.44 | 2.55 | +3.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cruzeiro — Mirassol · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Cruzeiro | 1.79 | 1.73 | 1.68 | +6.5% | Won | +0.79 | |
| FC Astana — Okzhetpes · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · FC Astana | 1.80 | 1.63 | 1.50 | +20.0% | Won | +0.80 | |
| FS Jelgava — Auda · Latvia Virsliga | 2 · Auda | 2.32 | 2.24 | 2.06 | +12.6% | Won | +1.32 | |
| Super Nova — FK Liepaja · Latvia Virsliga | 2 · FK Liepaja | 2.10 | 2.03 | 1.93 | +8.8% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Sportivo Carapeguá — Fernando De La Mora · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 2 · Fernando De La Mora | 2.90 | 2.84 | 2.57 | +12.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Baník Ostrava II — Táborsko · Czech FNL | 2 · Táborsko | 2.90 | 2.79 | 2.60 | +11.5% | Won | +1.90 | |
| ŁKS Łódź — Chrobry Głogów · Poland I Liga | 1 · ŁKS Łódź | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.71 | +4.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kilmarnock — Celtic · Scottish Premiership | 2 · Celtic | 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.37 | +4.4% | Won | +0.43 | |
| FC Lugano — FC Zurich · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Lugano | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.46 | +4.1% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Shandong Luneng — Tianjin Teda · China Super League | 1 · Shandong Luneng | 1.75 | 1.66 | 2.24 | -21.9% | Won | +0.75 | |
| Malmo FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan | 1 · Malmo FF | 1.61 | 1.60 | 1.49 | +8.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Henan Jianye — Qingdao Youth Island · China Super League | 1 · Henan Jianye | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.57 | +5.1% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.