We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1939 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Port II — Shandong Taishan II · China League Two | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.92 | 2.65 | +17.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Comerciantes Unidos — Cusco · Peru Liga 1 | 2 · Cusco | 2.63 | 2.56 | 2.65 | -0.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Leiknir R. — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 2 · Fylkir | 1.67 | 1.58 | 1.60 | +4.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Club Brugge KV — Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League | 1 · Club Brugge KV | 1.34 | 1.27 | 1.19 | +12.6% | Won | +0.34 | |
| Bray Wanderers — Finn Harps · First Division Ireland | 1 · Bray Wanderers | 1.42 | 1.31 | 1.26 | +12.7% | Won | +0.42 | |
| Cork City — Kerry · First Division Ireland | 1 · Cork City | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.44 | -0.7% | Won | +0.43 | |
| Shelbourne — St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division | 2 · St Patrick's Athl. | 2.35 | 2.27 | 2.19 | +7.3% | Won | +1.35 | |
| Galway United — Drogheda United · Premier Division | 1 · Galway United | 2.26 | 2.09 | 2.09 | +8.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Uta Arad — Rapid · Romania Liga I | 1 · Uta Arad | 2.63 | 2.60 | 3.01 | -12.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wisla Krakow — Wisla Plock · Ekstraklasa | 1 · Wisla Krakow | 2.00 | 1.88 | 1.75 | +14.3% | Won | +1.00 | |
| VfL Bochum — Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga | 1 · VfL Bochum | 2.45 | 2.42 | 2.23 | +9.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| MTK Budapest — Puskas Academy · Hungary NB I | 1 · MTK Budapest | 2.72 | 2.59 | 2.74 | -0.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cambuur — Excelsior · Eredivisie | 2 · Excelsior | 2.88 | 2.69 | 2.62 | +9.9% | Won | +1.88 | |
| SCR Altach — WSG Wattens · Austrian Bundesliga | 1 · SCR Altach | 2.20 | 2.12 | 1.76 | +25.0% | Won | +1.20 | |
| Sonderjyske — Viborg · Danish Superliga | 2 · Viborg | 2.33 | 2.25 | 1.82 | +28.0% | Won | +1.33 | |
| Waldhof Mannheim — Fortuna Düsseldorf · 3. Liga | 2 · Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.25 | 2.11 | 2.11 | +6.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| PEPO — MyPa · Kakkonen | 1 · PEPO | 1.38 | 1.26 | 1.23 | +12.2% | Won | +0.38 | |
| Kiffen — Union Plaani · Kakkonen | 1 · Kiffen | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.17 | +5.1% | Won | +0.23 | |
| Vlašim — Viktoria Žižkov · Czech FNL | 1 · Vlašim | 2.10 | 2.02 | 1.88 | +11.7% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Prostějov — Karviná · Czech FNL | 2 · Karviná | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.72 | +16.3% | Won | +1.00 | |
| Jonava — Ekranas · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Jonava | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.70 | +14.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| SJK — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | 1 · SJK | 2.35 | 2.30 | 2.01 | +16.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vysočina Jihlava — Příbram · Czech FNL | 1 · Vysočina Jihlava | 2.29 | 2.14 | 1.93 | +18.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| KuPS Akatemia — Inter Turku II · Ykkonen | 2 · Inter Turku II | 3.00 | 2.79 | 2.65 | +13.2% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Beijing Guoan — Sichuan Jiuniu · China Super League | 1 · Beijing Guoan | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.47 | -4.8% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Yongin City — Busan I Park · K League 2 | 2 · Busan I Park | 2.02 | 1.91 | 2.01 | +0.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Asan Mugunghwa — Ansan Greeners · K League 2 | 1 · Asan Mugunghwa | 1.58 | 1.57 | 1.52 | +3.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gyeongnam FC — Daegu FC · K League 2 | 2 · Daegu FC | 1.88 | 1.83 | 2.07 | -9.2% | Won | +0.88 | |
| Internacional de Bogota — Jaguares · Primera A | 1 · Internacional de Bogota | 1.72 | 1.66 | 1.52 | +13.2% | Won | +0.72 | |
| SalPa — JJK · Ykkonen | 2 · JJK | 3.50 | 3.27 | 3.20 | +9.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportes Tolima — Independiente Medellin · Primera A | 1 · Deportes Tolima | 2.14 | 2.04 | 2.11 | +1.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Valur Reykjavik — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Stjarnan | 2.67 | 2.57 | 2.69 | -0.7% | Won | +1.67 | |
| Deportivo Paraguayo — Central Ballester · Primera C | 1 · Deportivo Paraguayo | 2.90 | 2.79 | 2.81 | +3.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Claypole — Juventud Unida · Primera C | 1 · Claypole | 2.70 | 2.53 | 2.27 | +18.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Centro Español — Leones de Rosario · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.52 | +19.0% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Deportes Temuco — Deportes Copiapo · Chile Primera B | 1 · Deportes Temuco | 1.98 | 1.95 | 1.89 | +4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| LDU de Quito — Delfin SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · LDU de Quito | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.28 | +3.1% | Won | +0.32 | |
| Defensor Sporting — Cerro · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Defensor Sporting | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.70 | +9.4% | Won | +0.86 | |
| Celtic — Dundee · Scottish Premiership | 1 · Celtic | 1.24 | 1.21 | 1.14 | +8.8% | Won | +0.24 | |
| Cracovia Krakow — Pogon Szczecin · Ekstraklasa | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.88 | 3.31 | -4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Odense — Sonderjyske · Danish Superliga | 1 · Odense | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.30 | -8.7% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Panevėžys — Džiugas Telšiai · Lithuania A Lyga | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.29 | 3.11 | +9.3% | Won | +2.40 | |
| SJK — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 · HJK Helsinki | 2.23 | 2.19 | 2.06 | +8.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tukums II — JDFS Alberts · Latvia 1. Liga | 2 · JDFS Alberts | 1.40 | 1.34 | 1.28 | +9.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Transinvest 2 — Babrungas · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Babrungas | 1.28 | 1.20 | 1.19 | +7.6% | Won | +0.28 | |
| Bukovyna — LNZ Cherkasy · Ukraine Premier League | 2 · LNZ Cherkasy | 2.19 | 2.12 | 1.75 | +25.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Cienciano — Universitario · Peru Liga 1 | 1 · Cienciano | 2.62 | 2.55 | 2.30 | +13.9% | Won | +1.62 | |
| Leones del Norte — Barcelona SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 · Leones del Norte | 3.15 | 3.09 | 2.62 | +20.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| New York RB II — New England II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · New York RB II | 2.18 | 2.08 | 2.19 | -0.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportes Santa Cruz — Santiago Wanderers · Chile Primera B | 1 · Deportes Santa Cruz | 2.70 | 2.63 | 2.42 | +11.6% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.