We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1945 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen — Heart Of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership | 2 · Heart Of Midlothian | 1.94 | 1.85 | 2.29 | -15.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Zurich — Servette FC · Swiss Super League | 2 · Servette FC | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.84 | +3.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FC Basel 1893 — Lausanne · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Basel 1893 | 2.30 | 2.11 | 1.90 | +21.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lyngby — Aarhus · Danish Superliga | 2 · Aarhus | 2.02 | 1.91 | 2.49 | -18.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Leevon / PPK — Rēzekne FA · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · Leevon / PPK | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.15 | +8.7% | Won | +0.25 | |
| Riga FC II — Metta / LU · Latvia 1. Liga | 2 · Metta / LU | 1.25 | 1.18 | 1.10 | +13.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Ekranas — Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Ekranas | 3.04 | 2.76 | 2.43 | +25.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vojvodina — Macva · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Vojvodina | 1.10 | 1.07 | 1.09 | +0.9% | Won | +0.10 | |
| Slovan Bratislava — Podbrezová · Slovak Super Liga | 1 · Slovan Bratislava | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.45 | +2.1% | Won | +0.48 | |
| FC Voluntari — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I | 2 · Uta Arad | 2.75 | 2.72 | 2.62 | +5.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków — Lech Poznan · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Lech Poznan | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.11 | -12.3% | Won | +0.85 | |
| WSG Wattens — Sturm Graz · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 · Sturm Graz | 2.08 | 1.95 | 1.81 | +14.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lahti — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Lahti | 1.85 | 1.67 | 1.55 | +19.4% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas — Beroe · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 2.10 | 1.99 | 1.83 | +14.8% | Won | +1.10 | |
| TPV — Rops · Ykkonen | 2 · Rops | 1.70 | 1.65 | 1.62 | +4.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atyrau — Zhetysu · Kazakhstan Premier League | 2 · Zhetysu | 3.30 | 3.14 | 2.84 | +16.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Pogoń Siedlce — Nieciecza · Poland I Liga | 2 · Nieciecza | 2.55 | 2.41 | 2.22 | +14.9% | Won | +1.55 | |
| Arka Gdynia — Stal Rzeszów · Poland I Liga | 1 · Arka Gdynia | 2.25 | 2.09 | 1.74 | +29.3% | Won | +1.25 | |
| Resistencia — Tacuary · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · Resistencia | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.99 | +11.6% | Won | +1.22 | |
| HPS — HIFK Helsinki · Kakkonen | 2 · HIFK Helsinki | 1.87 | 1.70 | 1.55 | +20.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| BFC Daugavpils — FS Jelgava · Latvia Virsliga | 1 · BFC Daugavpils | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.11 | -0.5% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Piast Gliwice — Wisla Krakow · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Wisla Krakow | 3.15 | 3.02 | 2.94 | +7.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Turku PS — Mariehamn · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Turku PS | 1.61 | 1.58 | 1.57 | +2.5% | Won | +0.61 | |
| Skanste — Mārupe · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · Skanste | 2.74 | 2.68 | 2.41 | +13.7% | Won | +1.74 | |
| Kauno Žalgiris II — Atmosfera · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Atmosfera | 1.72 | 1.57 | 1.49 | +15.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dalian Yingbo B — Shanghai Port II · China League Two | 2 · Shanghai Port II | 2.37 | 2.21 | 1.85 | +28.1% | Won | +1.37 | |
| Jeonbuk Motors — FC Seoul · K League 1 | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.12 | 3.22 | +0.9% | Won | +2.25 | |
| Gangwon FC — Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1 | 1 · Gangwon FC | 1.58 | 1.55 | 1.56 | +1.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Qingdao Red Lions — Rizhao Yuqi · China League Two | 2 · Rizhao Yuqi | 3.10 | 3.05 | 2.99 | +3.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Garliava — Neptūną Klaipėda · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Garliava | 3.00 | 2.98 | 2.65 | +13.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Xi'an Ronghai — BIT · China League Two | 1 · Xi'an Ronghai | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.23 | +8.1% | Won | +0.33 | |
| Los Angeles FC II — Colorado Rapids II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Los Angeles FC II | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.50 | +14.0% | Won | +0.71 | |
| Ventura County — North Texas · MLS Next Pro | 2 · North Texas | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.94 | +5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Fortaleza FC — Deportivo Pereira · Primera A | 1 · Fortaleza FC | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.43 | +11.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Antonio — Indy Eleven · USL Championship | 1 · San Antonio | 2.28 | 2.06 | 2.16 | +5.6% | Won | +1.28 | |
| Minnesota United II — Portland Timbers II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Minnesota United II | 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.49 | +12.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Inter Miami II — Chattanooga · MLS Next Pro | 2 · Chattanooga | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.35 | +5.2% | Won | +0.42 | |
| Atlanta United II — Carolina Core · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Atlanta United II | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.47 | +6.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| General Caballero — Benjamín Aceval · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · General Caballero | 2.26 | 2.24 | 2.07 | +9.2% | Won | +1.26 | |
| Bodo/Glimt — Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 1 · Bodo/Glimt | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.25 | +8.8% | Won | +0.36 | |
| Treaty United — Longford Town · First Division Ireland | 1 · Treaty United | 2.65 | 2.51 | 2.50 | +6.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dinamo Zagreb — NK Slaven Belupo · Croatia HNL | 1 · Dinamo Zagreb | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.22 | +0.0% | Won | +0.22 | |
| Valerenga — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien | 1 · Valerenga | 1.76 | 1.72 | 1.59 | +10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wisla Plock — Widzew Łódź · Ekstraklasa | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.74 | 2.81 | +8.5% | Won | +2.05 | |
| Super Nova 2 — Riga Mariners · Latvia 1. Liga | 2 · Riga Mariners | 1.62 | 1.52 | 1.43 | +13.3% | Won | +0.62 | |
| Karviná — Vlašim · Czech FNL | 1 · Karviná | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.63 | +11.7% | Won | +0.82 | |
| Hegelmann II — Minija · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Minija | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.06 | +11.3% | Won | +0.18 | |
| Slavia Sofia — Lokomotiv Sofia · Bulgaria First League | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.28 | 3.02 | +12.6% | Won | +2.40 | |
| Kooteepee — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Kooteepee | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +5.4% | Won | +0.37 | |
| Zorya Luhansk — Kolos Kovalivka · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Zorya Luhansk | 2.73 | 2.71 | 2.42 | +12.8% | Won | +1.73 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.