We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
20 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1949 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann II — Minija · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Minija | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.06 | +11.3% | Won | +0.18 | |
| Slavia Sofia — Lokomotiv Sofia · Bulgaria First League | X · Draw | 3.40 | 3.28 | 3.02 | +12.6% | Won | +2.40 | |
| Kooteepee — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Kooteepee | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +5.4% | Won | +0.37 | |
| Zorya Luhansk — Kolos Kovalivka · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Zorya Luhansk | 2.73 | 2.71 | 2.42 | +12.8% | Won | +1.73 | |
| Caracas FC — Santa Fe · Copa Sudamericana | 2 · Santa Fe | 2.77 | 2.47 | 2.31 | +19.9% | Won | +1.77 | |
| O'Higgins — Boca Juniors · Copa Sudamericana | 2 · Boca Juniors | 2.08 | 2.07 | 1.93 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Coritiba — Cruzeiro · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Coritiba | 3.34 | 3.27 | 3.39 | -1.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Independiente — Newells Old Boys · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Independiente | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.61 | +10.6% | Won | +0.78 | |
| Central Cordoba de Santiago — Atletico Tucuman · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Atletico Tucuman | 2.82 | 2.52 | 2.44 | +15.6% | Won | +1.82 | |
| Gremio — Bolívar · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Gremio | 1.54 | 1.46 | 1.45 | +6.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Talleres Cordoba — Velez Sarsfield · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 2.98 | 2.73 | 2.93 | +1.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Independ. Rivadavia — Huracan · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Independ. Rivadavia | 2.33 | 2.14 | 1.92 | +21.4% | Won | +1.33 | |
| JIPPO — JäPS · Ykkösliiga | 1 · JIPPO | 1.67 | 1.58 | 1.48 | +12.8% | Won | +0.67 | |
| RB Bragantino — Sporting Cristal · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · RB Bragantino | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.27 | +12.6% | Won | +0.43 | |
| Vitoria — Palmeiras · Brazil Serie A | X · Draw | 3.50 | 3.29 | 3.15 | +11.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Instituto Cordoba — Platense · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Instituto Cordoba | 2.18 | 2.05 | 2.08 | +4.8% | Won | +1.18 | |
| Union Santa Fe — Lanus · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Union Santa Fe | 2.48 | 2.43 | — | — | Won | +1.48 | |
| Tigre — Belgrano Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Tigre | 2.78 | 2.54 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Defensa Y Justicia — Deportivo Riestra · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Defensa Y Justicia | 2.28 | 2.17 | 2.72 | -16.2% | Won | +1.28 | |
| Boca Juniors — Estudiantes L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.12 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Throttur Reykjavik — Afturelding · 1. Deild | 2 · Afturelding | 2.85 | 2.82 | 2.64 | +8.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Grindavik — Leiknir R. · 1. Deild | 2 · Leiknir R. | 3.05 | 3.01 | 2.85 | +7.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Barracas Central — Aldosivi · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Barracas Central | 2.45 | 2.41 | 2.41 | +1.7% | Won | +1.45 | |
| MP — KäPa · Ykkösliiga | 1 · MP | 2.30 | 2.19 | 2.01 | +14.4% | Won | +1.30 | |
| Fortaleza EC — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Fortaleza EC | 1.89 | 1.74 | 1.95 | -3.1% | Won | +0.89 | |
| Juventude — Avai · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Juventude | 1.68 | 1.61 | 1.70 | -1.2% | Won | +0.68 | |
| Ponte Preta — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Athletic Club | 2.24 | 2.20 | 2.09 | +7.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tigre — Club Nacional · Copa Sudamericana | 1 · Tigre | 2.28 | 2.19 | 2.21 | +3.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Lorenzo — Gimnasia M. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · San Lorenzo | 2.22 | 2.09 | 1.96 | +13.3% | Won | +1.22 | |
| Banfield — Sarmiento Junin · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 · Banfield | 2.21 | 2.07 | 2.23 | -0.9% | Won | +1.21 | |
| Atlético Tembetary — Resistencia · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 2 · Resistencia | 3.40 | 3.16 | 2.94 | +15.6% | Won | +2.40 | |
| Ægir — Njardvik · 1. Deild | 2 · Njardvik | 1.60 | 1.43 | 1.44 | +11.1% | Won | +0.60 | |
| Dobrudzha — Pirin Blagoevgrad · Bulgaria Second League | 1 · Dobrudzha | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.62 | +9.9% | Won | +0.78 | |
| Dainava — Transinvest 2 · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Dainava | 1.27 | 1.24 | 1.18 | +7.6% | Won | +0.27 | |
| Sport Recife — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Sport Recife | 2.00 | 1.98 | 2.24 | -10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| CRB — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1 · CRB | 1.96 | 1.87 | 2.00 | -2.0% | Won | +0.96 | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Atletico Goianiense | 2.38 | 2.13 | 2.07 | +15.0% | Won | +1.38 | |
| KA Akureyri — Thor Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1 · KA Akureyri | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.71 | +2.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sportivo Barracas — El Porvenir · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.76 | 2.25 | +24.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Zaglebie Lubin — Piast Gliwice · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Piast Gliwice | 2.45 | 2.43 | 2.82 | -13.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Orebro SK — Oddevold · Superettan | 1 · Orebro SK | 3.05 | 3.02 | 2.82 | +8.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Stabaek — hodd · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Stabaek | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.36 | +6.6% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Rosenborg — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 1 · Rosenborg | 1.80 | 1.74 | 1.55 | +16.1% | Won | +0.80 | |
| Metta / LU — Tukums II · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · Metta / LU | 1.11 | 1.04 | 1.03 | +7.8% | Won | +0.11 | |
| Opava — Karviná · Czech FNL | 2 · Karviná | 2.90 | 2.74 | 2.53 | +14.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tukums — Rīgas FS · Latvia Virsliga | 2 · Rīgas FS | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +5.6% | Won | +0.32 | |
| Once Caldas — Cucuta · Primera A | 1 · Once Caldas | 1.56 | 1.46 | 1.44 | +8.3% | Won | +0.56 | |
| Concepción — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile | 2 · O'Higgins | 3.05 | 2.95 | 3.00 | +1.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito · Ecuador LigaPro | X · Draw | 3.26 | 3.22 | 3.12 | +4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Necaxa — Monterrey · Liga MX | 2 · Monterrey | 2.27 | 2.22 | 2.13 | +6.6% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.