Ykkösliiga

Kooteepee PK-35

The sharp market makes Kooteepee the most likely outcome at 50% — fair odds of 2.01. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Kooteepee: WDWWL; PK-35: WWWWD.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1/X Home or draw 77%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

Market probability (1 / X / 2) 50% / 28% / 23%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 34% / 19% / 47%
Fair odds (pick) 1.29
Market odds (Pinnacle) 1.88 / 3.37 / 4.15
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 1.95 / 3.32 / 3.96
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Lost · 2

Match context

The last 1 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 1–0–0 (Kooteepee wins – draws – PK-35 wins).

Kooteepee scored 2.8 and conceded 1.4 across their last 5 matches in our results database; PK-35 scored 2.8 and conceded 0.6 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Market-relevant trends

Kooteepee is averaging 2.8 goals scored over its last 5 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Kooteepee here.
PK-35 has won its last 4 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on PK-35 here.

We show the trend and whether it is already in the price. Most sites show the streak and let you assume you should bet it.

Why this price?

Kooteepee
W D W W L
avg 2.8 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)
PK-35
W W W W D
avg 2.8 scored · 0.6 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
24 Apr 2026 PK-35 0–1 Kooteepee

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/X · Home or draw
Odds when logged 1.21
Closing odds 1.18
Prediction CLV +2.1%
Result Lost
Record hash — integrity fingerprint d9b3a9a507506e47

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

Found this useful? Send it to a friend who bets.