Finland

Ykkösliiga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Ykkösliiga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	KäPa – Rops	1–1 (penalties)	—
22 Oct	Rops – KäPa	1–1	26%
17 Oct	PK-35 – SJK Akatemia	3–2	83%
17 Oct	MP – JäPS	1–2	25%
17 Oct	JIPPO – Haka	2–1	30%
17 Oct	EIF – KäPa	3–2	32%
17 Oct	Kooteepee – Klubi-04	0–0	22%
11 Oct	SJK Akatemia – Kooteepee	4–3	11%
09 Oct	KäPa – MP	1–1	24%
09 Oct	JäPS – JIPPO	0–4	51%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 26 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kooteepee	27	18	5	4	48	26	+22	59
2	PK-35	27	15	7	5	44	23	+21	52
3	Haka	27	14	5	8	51	31	+20	47
4	JIPPO	27	13	8	6	38	22	+16	47
5	JäPS	27	12	2	13	25	41	-16	38
6	EIF	27	9	5	13	32	46	-14	32
7	MP	27	8	6	13	29	38	-9	30
8	Klubi-04	27	6	9	12	37	37	+0	27
9	KäPa	27	6	7	14	33	49	-16	25
10	SJK Akatemia	27	3	8	16	23	47	-24	17

Team stats this season

137 matches this season: 2.66 goals per game, 48% over 2.5, 47% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
KäPa	29	1.21	1.76	66%	72%	10%
Haka	27	1.89	1.15	63%	56%	33%
PK-35	27	1.63	0.85	52%	37%	48%
JäPS	27	0.93	1.52	52%	30%	41%
Kooteepee	27	1.78	0.96	48%	44%	48%
EIF	27	1.19	1.70	48%	41%	30%
JIPPO	27	1.41	0.81	41%	41%	41%
MP	27	1.07	1.41	41%	52%	22%
Klubi-04	27	1.37	1.37	37%	52%	15%
SJK Akatemia	27	0.85	1.74	37%	44%	15%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	JIPPO	2.5	38.6%	0.1%
2	PK-35	2.9	26%	0.4%
3	Haka	4	12.4%	1.7%
4	MP	4.2	9.2%	2.3%
5	JäPS	4.3	8.2%	2.7%
6	Kooteepee	5.2	4.6%	5.8%
7	Klubi-04	7.4	0.3%	32.7%
8	EIF	7.5	0.4%	33.9%
9	SJK Akatemia	8.4	0.2%	58.1%
10	KäPa	8.6	0.1%	62.3%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Ykkösliiga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Ykkösliiga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Ykkösliiga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Ykkösliiga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Ykkösliiga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit