Danish Superliga

Silkeborg Odense

The sharp market makes Odense the most likely outcome at 41% — fair odds of 2.41. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Silkeborg: LDLLW; Odense: WLLDL.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1/2 Home or away 75%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

Market probability (1 / X / 2) 33% / 25% / 41%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 39% / 27% / 34%
Fair odds (pick) 1.34
Market odds (Pinnacle) 2.83 / 3.67 / 2.30
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 2.80 / 3.85 / 2.95
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Won · 1

Match context

The last 4 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 3–1–0 (Silkeborg wins – draws – Odense wins).

Silkeborg scored 1.2 and conceded 2.8 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Odense scored 1 and conceded 1.4 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Silkeborg
L D L L W
avg 1.2 scored · 2.8 conceded (last 5)
Odense
W L L D L
avg 1 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
03 May 2026 Odense 2–3 Silkeborg
12 Apr 2026 Silkeborg 3–1 Odense
07 Nov 2025 Odense 1–1 Silkeborg
14 Sep 2025 Silkeborg 2–1 Odense

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/2 · Home or away
Odds when logged 1.27
Closing odds 1.32
Prediction CLV -3.6%
Result Won
Record hash — integrity fingerprint df1dcd238373d46c

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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