Denmark

Danish Superliga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Danish Superliga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 16:34 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Fri · 18:00 UTC	LyngbyRanders FC	44% 2.20 fair 2.25	25% 3.85 fair 4.03	31% 3.15 fair 3.24	Value expired
Sun · 13:00 UTC	OdenseSilkeborg	53% 1.85 fair 1.89	23% 4.20 fair 4.38	24% 4.00 fair 4.13	No value
Sun · 13:00 UTC	ViborgAC Horsens	64% 1.54 fair 1.56	20% 4.50 fair 5.05	16% 5.95 fair 6.19	No value
Sun · 15:00 UTC	FC NordsjaellandFC Midtjylland	43% 2.25 fair 2.33	24% 4.00 fair 4.10	33% 2.91 fair 3.06	No value
Sun · 17:00 UTC	BrondbyAarhus	45% 2.15 fair 2.22	25% 3.91 fair 3.98	30% 3.20 fair 3.35	No value
Mon · 18:00 UTC	SonderjyskeFC Copenhagen	14% 6.90 fair 7.04	18% 4.80 fair 5.55	68% 1.44 fair 1.48	No value

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
26 Oct	FC Copenhagen – Odense	1–1	19%
25 Oct	Aarhus – Viborg	2–1	41%
25 Oct	AC Horsens – Sonderjyske	5–1	38%
25 Oct	Silkeborg – FC Nordsjaelland	1–1	20%
25 Oct	FC Midtjylland – Lyngby	3–2	69%
23 Oct	Randers FC – Brondby	1–3	53%
19 Oct	Viborg – FC Midtjylland	1–2	40%
18 Oct	FC Copenhagen – Aarhus	1–1	22%
18 Oct	Odense – Brondby	2–1	31%
18 Oct	Lyngby – FC Nordsjaelland	3–3	24%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Danish Superliga

Across the matches we priced in Danish Superliga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.49%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 3.99%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Midtjylland	12	8	4	0	24	13	+11	28
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	26	12	+14	26
3	Viborg	12	6	2	4	19	12	+7	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	12	5	5	2	18	14	+4	20
5	Brondby	12	6	1	5	21	20	+1	19
6	AC Horsens	12	4	4	4	23	20	+3	16
7	Odense	12	3	5	4	11	16	-5	14
8	Aarhus	12	2	6	4	17	19	-2	12
9	Silkeborg	12	2	6	4	16	20	-4	12
10	Randers FC	12	3	2	7	12	19	-7	11
11	Lyngby	12	1	5	6	17	27	-10	8
12	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	17	29	-12	8

Team stats this season

72 matches this season: 3.08 goals per game, 57% over 2.5, 63% both teams scored. xG 3.05 per match (from 69 matches); 10.1 corners and 3.8 cards per match (from 72 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Sonderjyske	12	1.42	2.50	75%	58%	8%	1.14 / 1.84	9.7	1.8
AC Horsens	12	1.92	1.67	67%	75%	8%	1.55 / 1.64	9.4	2.3
Brondby	12	1.75	1.67	67%	67%	17%	1.61 / 1.46	10.9	2.2
Aarhus	12	1.42	1.58	67%	75%	8%	1.56 / 1.48	10.5	1.6
FC Copenhagen	12	2.17	1.00	58%	50%	42%	1.77 / 1.14	8.2	1.6
FC Midtjylland	12	2.00	1.08	58%	83%	17%	1.55 / 1.13	9.3	1.8
Lyngby	12	1.42	2.25	58%	75%	8%	1.64 / 1.66	9.7	2.3
Viborg	12	1.67	1.00	50%	50%	33%	1.67 / 1.23	10.8	1.3
Silkeborg	12	1.33	1.67	50%	67%	17%	1.14 / 1.69	10.3	1.6
Randers FC	12	1.00	1.58	50%	42%	25%	1.21 / 1.73	11.7	2.0
FC Nordsjaelland	12	1.50	1.17	42%	50%	42%	2.19 / 1.34	9.3	2.3
Odense	12	0.92	1.33	42%	58%	17%	1.27 / 1.95	11.8	2.2

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	FC Midtjylland	1.6	52.8%	0%
2	FC Copenhagen	1.7	44.8%	0%
3	Viborg	3.9	1.4%	0%
4	FC Nordsjaelland	4	0.9%	0%
5	Brondby	5.1	0.1%	0.1%
6	AC Horsens	6.6	0%	1.4%
7	Aarhus	7.5	0%	4.9%
8	Odense	7.5	0%	4.8%
9	Silkeborg	8.7	0%	14.4%
10	Randers FC	9.8	0%	36.1%
11	Lyngby	10.7	0%	63.6%
12	Sonderjyske	11	0%	74.7%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Danish Superliga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Danish Superliga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Danish Superliga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Danish Superliga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Danish Superliga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit