Romania Liga I

CFR 1907 Cluj Universitatea Cluj

The sharp market makes CFR 1907 Cluj the most likely outcome at 48% — fair odds of 2.10. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — CFR 1907 Cluj: LDWWL; Universitatea Cluj: WLLLW.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1/X Home or draw 74%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

Market probability (1 / X / 2) 48% / 26% / 26%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 50% / 25% / 25%
Fair odds (pick) 1.35
Market odds (Pinnacle) 2.01 / 3.51 / 3.57
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 2.60 / 3.70 / 4.30
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Pending

Match context

The last 5 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 3–1–1 (CFR 1907 Cluj wins – draws – Universitatea Cluj wins).

CFR 1907 Cluj scored 1 and conceded 1.6 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Universitatea Cluj scored 1.6 and conceded 2 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

CFR 1907 Cluj
L D W W L
avg 1 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)
Universitatea Cluj
W L L L W
avg 1.6 scored · 2 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
25 Apr 2026 CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 Universitatea Cluj
16 Mar 2026 Universitatea Cluj 2–1 CFR 1907 Cluj
07 Feb 2026 CFR 1907 Cluj 3–2 Universitatea Cluj
29 Sep 2025 Universitatea Cluj 2–2 CFR 1907 Cluj
03 May 2025 CFR 1907 Cluj 1–0 Universitatea Cluj

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/X · Home or draw
Odds when logged 1.28
Closing odds pending
Prediction CLV
Result Pending
Record hash — integrity fingerprint f7b97a3b5b7410ef

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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