Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Romania Liga I fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 39 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 33 | +29 | 76 |
| 2 | Universitatea Cluj | 39 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 72 |
| 3 | FCSB | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 68 | 50 | +18 | 68 |
| 4 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 60 | 45 | +15 | 68 |
| 5 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 58 | 40 | +18 | 66 |
| 6 | Rapid | 39 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 44 | +8 | 59 |
| 7 | Arges Pitesti | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 57 |
| 8 | Uta Arad | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 56 |
| 9 | Oţelul | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 46 | +10 | 55 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Csikszereda | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 48 |
| 12 | Farul Constanta | 40 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 41 |
| 13 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 40 |
| 14 | AFC Hermannstadt | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 37 |
| 15 | Unirea Slobozia | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 31 |
| 16 | Metaloglobus | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 21 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 3.4 | 29.6% | 0.3% |
| 2 | FCSB | 4.2 | 20.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 4.4 | 16.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | Universitatea Cluj | 5 | 13.2% | 0.9% |
| 5 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 6.4 | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| 6 | Rapid | 6.8 | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| 7 | Oţelul | 8.1 | 2.8% | 6.2% |
| 8 | Arges Pitesti | 8.5 | 2.1% | 6.6% |
| 9 | Uta Arad | 9.8 | 0.8% | 12.4% |
| 10 | FC Voluntari | 10.5 | 0.8% | 17.1% |
| 11 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11.1 | 0.3% | 20.8% |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 11.3 | 0.4% | 23% |
| 13 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11.4 | 0.4% | 23.5% |
| 14 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11.5 | 0.3% | 25.3% |
| 15 | Csikszereda | 11.7 | 0.2% | 27.6% |
| 16 | Farul Constanta | 12.1 | 0.2% | 30.1% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Romania Liga I is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Romania Liga I fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Romania Liga I match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.