Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Romania Liga I fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 11 |
| 4 | Rapid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 | Farul Constanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Botosani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 7 | Uta Arad | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Voluntari | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Universitatea Cluj | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Oţelul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | FCSB | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 2.6 | 40.8% | 0.1% |
| 2 | Universitatea Craiova | 3.7 | 20.4% | 0.2% |
| 3 | Rapid | 4.3 | 16% | 0.2% |
| 4 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 5.9 | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 6.3 | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| 6 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6.9 | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| 7 | FCSB | 7.4 | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| 8 | Arges Pitesti | 8.5 | 1.5% | 4.6% |
| 9 | Oţelul | 9.4 | 0.8% | 7.3% |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 9.7 | 0.6% | 8.4% |
| 11 | Farul Constanta | 10.5 | 0.4% | 12.9% |
| 12 | FC Botosani | 10.8 | 0.3% | 14.5% |
| 13 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 10.8 | 0.2% | 13% |
| 14 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11.3 | 0.2% | 18.3% |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 12.6 | 0.1% | 33.3% |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 15.1 | 0% | 80.4% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Romania Liga I is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Romania Liga I fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Romania Liga I match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.