← All predictions today
Romania

Romania Liga I predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Romania Liga I fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)
How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account)

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time Match 1X2 Value
RapidCsikszereda
 77% fair 1.30 16% fair 6.28 7% fair 14.36 Not checked yet

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

DateMatchScoreMarket gave this result
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – Universitatea Craiova 0–5 61%
CFR 1907 Cluj – Dinamo Bucuresti 2–2 23%
Farul Constanta – Oţelul 4–3 49%
FCSB – Rapid 4–1 40%
Arges Pitesti – Uta Arad 0–1 32%
Csikszereda – FC Voluntari 2–1 31%
Corvinul Hunedoara – Universitatea Cluj 0–3 35%
FC Botosani – Petrolul Ploiesti 1–3 24%
FC Voluntari – FCSB 1–2 62%
Universitatea Cluj – Arges Pitesti 2–2 24%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Romania Liga I

Across the matches we priced in Romania Liga I, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.06%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 5.15%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 13 9 3 1 29 9 +20 30
2 Universitatea Craiova 13 9 2 2 32 9 +23 29
3 Rapid 13 8 3 2 21 13 +8 27
4 Petrolul Ploiesti 13 7 2 4 18 17 +1 23
5 Universitatea Cluj 13 7 1 5 25 20 +5 22
6 FCSB 13 6 3 4 20 19 +1 21
7 Farul Constanta 13 5 5 3 21 20 +1 20
8 Uta Arad 13 5 3 5 16 17 -1 18
9 CFR 1907 Cluj 13 5 2 6 19 20 -1 17
10 Corvinul Hunedoara 13 4 4 5 14 16 -2 16
11 FC Botosani 13 3 5 5 17 17 +0 14
12 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 13 3 5 5 8 18 -10 14
13 Arges Pitesti 13 3 3 7 8 14 -6 12
14 Oţelul 13 2 5 6 15 21 -6 11
15 FC Voluntari 13 2 2 9 13 29 -16 8
16 Csikszereda 13 1 2 10 9 26 -17 5

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 27 Oct 2026

# Player Team Goals Assists
1 S. Elisor Universitatea Craiova 7 0
1 A. Dumiter FC Botosani 7 0
3 J. Lukić Universitatea Cluj 6 3
3 A. Aliev Universitatea Cluj 6 2
3 A. Cordea CFR 1907 Cluj 6 2

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

104 matches this season: 2.74 goals per game, 50% over 2.5, 48% both teams scored. xG 3.24 per match (from 72 matches); 9.3 corners and 4.6 cards per match (from 104 matches with statistics).

TeamMPGFGA Over 2.5BTTSClean sheets xG for / against CornersCards
Universitatea Cluj 131.921.54 85%62%23% 1.54 / 1.62 10.52.7
FC Voluntari 131.002.23 77%62%15% 1.36 / 2.62 8.42.2
CFR 1907 Cluj 131.461.54 69%54%31% 1.53 / 2.01 9.51.6
FCSB 131.541.46 62%54%31% 2.13 / 1.39 10.22.1
Universitatea Craiova 132.460.69 54%31%62% 2.06 / 0.82 7.61.9
Dinamo Bucuresti 132.230.69 54%54%39% 2.37 / 0.97 9.52.9
Farul Constanta 131.621.54 54%62%23% 1.44 / 1.73 8.51.6
Petrolul Ploiesti 131.381.31 46%46%31% 1.27 / 1.84 8.62.6
FC Botosani 131.311.31 46%54%39% 2.03 / 1.88 9.72.9
Uta Arad 131.231.31 46%39%39% 1.66 / 1.71 10.12.3
Oţelul 131.151.62 46%62%8% 1.38 / 1.64 9.52.2
Csikszereda 130.692.00 46%46%8% 0.93 / 2.05 7.22.5
Rapid 131.621.00 39%54%39% 1.68 / 1.30 10.42.5
Corvinul Hunedoara 131.081.23 39%31%31% 1.79 / 1.43 9.22.4
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 130.621.38 23%31%31% 1.10 / 1.75 9.91.9
Arges Pitesti 130.621.08 15%31%23% 1.52 / 1.21 9.82.5

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

# Team Avg. finish P(title) P(relegation)
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1.9 47.2% 0%
2 Universitatea Craiova 2.2 37% 0%
3 Rapid 3.2 12.2% 0%
4 Universitatea Cluj 5 2.1% 0%
5 FCSB 5.9 0.8% 0%
6 Petrolul Ploiesti 6.5 0.5% 0.1%
7 CFR 1907 Cluj 7.3 0.1% 0.2%
8 Farul Constanta 8.2 0% 0.6%
9 Uta Arad 8.3 0.1% 0.7%
10 Corvinul Hunedoara 10.4 0% 4%
11 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 11.1 0% 8%
12 FC Botosani 11.6 0% 10%
13 Arges Pitesti 12.1 0% 14.7%
14 Oţelul 12.7 0% 23.1%
15 FC Voluntari 14.3 0% 57.9%
16 Csikszereda 15.2 0% 80.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Romania Liga I predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Romania Liga I is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Romania Liga I fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Romania Liga I betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Romania Liga I match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit

Found this useful? Send it to a friend who bets.