Superettan

Landskrona BoIS Oddevold

The sharp market makes Landskrona BoIS the most likely outcome at 39% — fair odds of 2.58. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Landskrona BoIS: WLLLW; Oddevold: WDDLD.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1/2 Home or away 74%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

Market probability (1 / X / 2) 39% / 26% / 35%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 41% / 29% / 30%
Fair odds (pick) 1.35
Market odds (Pinnacle) 2.45 / 3.57 / 2.69
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 2.47 / 3.70 / 2.82
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Lost · X

Match context

The last 1 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 0–1–0 (Landskrona BoIS wins – draws – Oddevold wins).

Landskrona BoIS scored 0.6 and conceded 1 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Oddevold scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Landskrona BoIS
W L L L W
avg 0.6 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)
Oddevold
W D D L D
avg 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
09 May 2026 Oddevold 1–1 Landskrona BoIS

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/2 · Home or away
Odds when logged 1.28
Closing odds 1.30
Prediction CLV -1.5%
Result Lost
Record hash — integrity fingerprint 189dc3d28e6da526

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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