China League Two

Shandong Taishan II Dalian Yingbo B

The sharp market makes Shandong Taishan II the most likely outcome at 55% — fair odds of 1.80. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Shandong Taishan II: WDDWW; Dalian Yingbo B: DLLLD.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1 Home win 55%
Market probability (1 / X / 2) 55% / 28% / 17%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 57% / 24% / 19%
Fair odds (pick) 1.80
Market odds (Pinnacle) 1.70 / 3.17 / 4.96
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 1.75 / 3.60 / 5.31
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Lost · 2

Match context

The last 1 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 0–0–1 (Shandong Taishan II wins – draws – Dalian Yingbo B wins).

Shandong Taishan II scored 1.8 and conceded 1 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Dalian Yingbo B scored 0.4 and conceded 1.2 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Market-relevant trends

Shandong Taishan II is unbeaten in its last 5 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Shandong Taishan II here.
Dalian Yingbo B is winless in its last 5 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Dalian Yingbo B here.

We show the trend and whether it is already in the price. Most sites show the streak and let you assume you should bet it.

Why this price?

Shandong Taishan II
W D D W W
avg 1.8 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)
Dalian Yingbo B
D L L L D
avg 0.4 scored · 1.2 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
27 May 2026 Dalian Yingbo B 2–0 Shandong Taishan II

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1 · Home win
Odds when logged 1.70
Closing odds 1.70
Prediction CLV +0.0%
Result Lost
Record hash — integrity fingerprint d417763fb90c6ac8

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

Found this useful? Send it to a friend who bets.