China

China League Two predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every China League Two fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 06:30 UTC Guangzhou Dandelion – Changchun Xidu
Sat · 06:30 UTC Dalian Yingbo B – Guangdong Mingtu
Sat · 06:30 UTC Shangyu Pterosaur – Tai'an Tiankuang
Sat · 06:30 UTC Chengdu Rongcheng II – BIT
Sat · 06:30 UTC Xiamen Feilu – Nantong Haimen Codion
Sat · 06:30 UTC Yichun Grand Tiger – Shanghai Second
Sat · 06:30 UTC Wuhan Three Towns II – Qingdao Red Lions
Sat · 06:30 UTC Rizhao Yuqi – Hubei Chufeng Heli
Sun · 06:30 UTC Shandong Taishan II – Shenzhen 2028
Sun · 06:30 UTC Dalian Kewei – Jiangxi Liansheng

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
26 Oct	Shandong Taishan II – Jiangxi Liansheng	2–1	55%
25 Oct	Guangdong Mingtu – Changchun Xidu	0–0	33%
25 Oct	Nantong Haimen Codion – Wuhan Three Towns II	3–0	44%
25 Oct	Shenzhen 2028 – Dalian Kewei	1–1	28%
25 Oct	Hubei Chufeng Heli – Shanghai Second	1–1	28%
24 Oct	Yichun Grand Tiger – Rizhao Yuqi	0–0	33%
24 Oct	Guizhou Zhucheng – Xi'an Ronghai	1–0	51%
24 Oct	Tai'an Tiankuang – Chengdu Rongcheng II	3–1	43%
24 Oct	Guangzhou Dandelion – Dalian Yingbo B	1–2	15%
24 Oct	BIT – Xiamen Feilu	2–2	23%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on China League Two

Across the matches we priced in China League Two, the market's average 1X2 margin is 11.35%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Dafabet at 10.05%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Dafabet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — computed from our own settled results · 2026 season

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan II	28	14	7	7	37	24	+13	49
2	Dalian Kewei	28	12	13	3	29	18	+11	49
3	Shanghai Port II	27	14	6	7	42	24	+18	48
4	Xi'an Ronghai	27	14	5	8	32	20	+12	47
5	Guizhou Zhucheng	27	14	4	9	35	23	+12	46
6	Nantong Haimen Codion	28	10	12	6	36	24	+12	42
7	Shenzhen 2028	28	11	9	8	40	31	+9	42
8	Langfang Glory City	28	9	14	5	30	34	-4	41
9	Hubei Chufeng Heli	28	10	10	8	34	28	+6	40
10	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	10	9	9	31	27	+4	39
11	Jiangxi Liansheng	28	11	6	11	29	26	+3	39
12	Xiamen Feilu	28	9	10	9	37	33	+4	37
13	Dalian Yingbo B	27	8	13	6	27	23	+4	37
14	Guangdong Mingtu	28	7	15	6	27	23	+4	36
15	Rizhao Yuqi	28	6	16	6	18	21	-3	34
16	Qingdao Red Lions	28	7	12	9	26	26	+0	33
17	Changchun Xidu	27	6	14	7	21	30	-9	32
18	Shangyu Pterosaur	28	7	10	11	23	40	-17	31
19	Guangzhou Dandelion	28	7	9	12	28	35	-7	30
20	Wuhan Three Towns II	28	6	9	13	25	32	-7	27
21	Yichun Grand Tiger	27	5	12	10	18	30	-12	27
22	Chengdu Rongcheng II	28	5	10	13	23	35	-12	25
23	BIT	28	4	11	13	25	47	-22	23
24	Shanghai Second	28	3	12	13	26	45	-19	21

Team stats this season

333 matches this season: 2.10 goals per game, 37% over 2.5, 46% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Shenzhen 2028	28	1.43	1.11	50%	54%	25%
Xiamen Feilu	28	1.32	1.18	50%	43%	39%
Shanghai Port II	27	1.56	0.89	48%	48%	44%
Guangzhou Dandelion	28	1.00	1.25	46%	54%	32%
Shandong Taishan II	28	1.32	0.86	43%	50%	36%
Nantong Haimen Codion	28	1.29	0.86	43%	50%	43%
Tai'an Tiankuang	28	1.11	0.96	43%	50%	29%
Shanghai Second	28	0.93	1.61	43%	68%	11%
BIT	28	0.89	1.68	43%	61%	18%
Hubei Chufeng Heli	28	1.21	1.00	39%	50%	36%
Guizhou Zhucheng	27	1.30	0.85	37%	33%	48%
Changchun Xidu	27	0.78	1.11	37%	48%	33%
Langfang Glory City	28	1.07	1.21	36%	50%	39%
Jiangxi Liansheng	28	1.04	0.93	36%	43%	36%
Shangyu Pterosaur	28	0.82	1.43	36%	39%	29%
Xi'an Ronghai	27	1.19	0.74	33%	30%	48%
Dalian Kewei	28	1.04	0.64	32%	39%	57%
Guangdong Mingtu	28	0.96	0.82	32%	46%	46%
Wuhan Three Towns II	28	0.89	1.14	32%	43%	25%
Dalian Yingbo B	27	1.00	0.85	30%	48%	37%
Chengdu Rongcheng II	28	0.82	1.25	29%	46%	21%
Rizhao Yuqi	28	0.64	0.75	29%	29%	61%
Yichun Grand Tiger	27	0.67	1.11	26%	44%	30%
Qingdao Red Lions	28	0.93	0.93	21%	43%	29%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Xi'an Ronghai	2.3	41.7%	0%
2	Shandong Taishan II	3.5	20.8%	0%
3	Dalian Kewei	3.5	19.5%	0%
4	Langfang Glory City	5	8.4%	0%
5	Shenzhen 2028	5.6	5.9%	0%
6	Guizhou Zhucheng	8.3	1.3%	0.1%
7	Shanghai Port II	9.4	0.9%	0.3%
8	Tai'an Tiankuang	9.6	0.7%	0.6%
9	Guangdong Mingtu	11.2	0.2%	1.6%
10	Hubei Chufeng Heli	11.4	0.1%	1.4%
11	Jiangxi Liansheng	12.7	0.1%	4.3%
12	Changchun Xidu	12.8	0.2%	4.5%
13	Wuhan Three Towns II	15.2	0%	11.5%
14	Rizhao Yuqi	15.2	0%	14.1%
15	Shangyu Pterosaur	15.9	0%	15.4%
16	Chengdu Rongcheng II	16.4	0%	18.2%
17	Qingdao Red Lions	16.5	0%	21.1%
18	Xiamen Feilu	17.1	0%	22.5%
19	BIT	17.1	0.1%	28.2%
20	Guangzhou Dandelion	17.2	0%	22.9%
21	Shanghai Second	18	0%	29.2%
22	Nantong Haimen Codion	18.4	0%	31.8%
23	Dalian Yingbo B	18.6	0%	34.3%
24	Yichun Grand Tiger	19.1	0%	38%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best China League Two predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for China League Two is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every China League Two fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer China League Two betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each China League Two match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit