K League 1

Bucheon FC 1995 Jeonbuk Motors

The sharp market makes Jeonbuk Motors the most likely outcome at 54% — fair odds of 1.85. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Bucheon FC 1995: DWDLL; Jeonbuk Motors: LDWDL.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

X/2 Draw or away 80%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

Market probability (1 / X / 2) 20% / 26% / 54%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 37% / 28% / 35%
Fair odds (pick) 1.25
Market odds (Pinnacle) 4.54 / 3.65 / 1.79
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 4.75 / 3.65 / 1.84
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Lost · 1

Match context

The last 2 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 1–1–0 (Bucheon FC 1995 wins – draws – Jeonbuk Motors wins).

Bucheon FC 1995 scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Jeonbuk Motors scored 0.6 and conceded 0.8 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Bucheon FC 1995
D W D L L
avg 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded (last 5)
Jeonbuk Motors
L D W D L
avg 0.6 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
13 May 2026 Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Jeonbuk Motors
01 Mar 2026 Jeonbuk Motors 2–3 Bucheon FC 1995

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick X/2 · Draw or away
Odds when logged 1.20
Closing odds 1.20
Prediction CLV +0.0%
Result Lost
Record hash — integrity fingerprint 79f0a91b5c5ec5e8

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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