Serbia Super Liga

Vojvodina Železničar Pančevo

The sharp market makes Vojvodina the most likely outcome at 63% — fair odds of 1.58. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Vojvodina: LWWLL; Železničar Pančevo: DDLLW.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1 Home win 63%
Market probability (1 / X / 2) 63% / 20% / 17%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 54% / 24% / 22%
Fair odds (pick) 1.58
Market odds (Pinnacle) 1.51 / 4.26 / 4.91
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 1.55 / 4.50 / 5.75
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Won · 1

Match context

The last 5 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 1–3–1 (Vojvodina wins – draws – Železničar Pančevo wins).

Vojvodina scored 1.2 and conceded 2 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Železničar Pančevo scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Vojvodina
L W W L L
avg 1.2 scored · 2 conceded (last 5)
Železničar Pančevo
D D L L W
avg 0.8 scored · 1.6 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
26 Apr 2026 Vojvodina 0–0 Železničar Pančevo
28 Feb 2026 Železničar Pančevo 2–0 Vojvodina
27 Sep 2025 Vojvodina 1–1 Železničar Pančevo
17 Feb 2025 Železničar Pančevo 1–1 Vojvodina
14 Sep 2024 Vojvodina 2–0 Železničar Pančevo

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1 · Home win
Odds when logged 1.51
Closing odds 1.61
Prediction CLV -6.2%
Result Won
Record hash — integrity fingerprint 24110c9638f31d6d

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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