Serbia

Serbia Super Liga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Serbia Super Liga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 08:15 UTC · prices older than 6 hours may have moved: re-check at your bookmaker

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Wed · 14:00 UTC	Radnicki 1923Železničar Pančevo	41% 2.36 fair 2.43	27% 3.40 fair 3.67	32% 2.99 fair 3.17	No value

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	OFK Beograd – FK Crvena Zvezda	0–1	65%
24 Oct	Mladost Lucani – Vojvodina	1–1	22%
24 Oct	FK Partizan – Cukaricki	0–2	19%
23 Oct	IMT Novi Beograd – Železničar Pančevo	0–1	35%
23 Oct	Radnicki 1923 – Radnik Surdulica	1–0	52%
23 Oct	Zemun – Macva	1–0	33%
23 Oct	Radnicki NIS – Novi Pazar	0–2	32%
18 Oct	Železničar Pančevo – FK Partizan	1–0	41%
18 Oct	FK Crvena Zvezda – Mladost Lucani	5–1	94%
18 Oct	Novi Pazar – IMT Novi Beograd	1–2	33%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Serbia Super Liga

Across the matches we priced in Serbia Super Liga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 10.43%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is 1xBet at 5.28%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

1xBet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	13	12	1	0	33	4	+29	37
2	Vojvodina	13	9	2	2	28	12	+16	29
3	Železničar Pančevo	12	7	2	3	19	10	+9	23
4	IMT Novi Beograd	13	6	3	4	15	9	+6	21
5	Radnicki 1923	12	6	2	4	18	14	+4	20
6	Cukaricki	13	5	3	5	19	20	-1	18
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12	18	-6	18
8	Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17	17	+0	17
9	Novi Pazar	13	4	4	5	13	14	-1	16
10	FK Partizan	12	3	2	7	18	22	-4	11
11	OFK Beograd	13	2	5	6	14	23	-9	11
12	Macva	13	2	4	7	9	21	-12	10
13	Radnicki NIS	12	2	2	8	7	20	-13	8
14	Zemun	13	1	3	9	7	25	-18	6

Team stats this season

89 matches this season: 2.57 goals per game, 47% over 2.5, 43% both teams scored. xG 3.13 per match (from 56 matches); 9.0 corners and 5.6 cards per match (from 89 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
FK Partizan	12	1.50	1.83	67%	67%	8%	1.72 / 1.48	8.9	3.0
FK Crvena Zvezda	13	2.54	0.31	62%	31%	69%	2.97 / 0.79	8.7	2.2
Cukaricki	13	1.46	1.54	62%	39%	39%	1.45 / 1.62	9.1	2.9
Vojvodina	13	2.15	0.92	54%	54%	39%	2.54 / 1.51	10.3	2.4
Zemun	13	0.54	1.92	54%	31%	8%	0.58 / 2.91	7.9	3.2
Železničar Pančevo	12	1.58	0.83	50%	42%	42%	2.03 / 1.07	8.5	3.1
Radnicki 1923	12	1.50	1.17	50%	25%	42%	1.38 / 1.44	11.0	2.8
Radnik Surdulica	13	1.31	1.31	46%	54%	31%	1.40 / 1.40	9.3	3.2
OFK Beograd	13	1.08	1.77	46%	54%	23%	1.10 / 1.47	8.0	2.5
Radnicki NIS	12	0.58	1.67	42%	33%	17%	1.26 / 1.35	8.8	3.3
Mladost Lucani	13	0.92	1.38	39%	46%	39%	1.05 / 2.19	9.8	2.2
Macva	13	0.69	1.62	39%	46%	23%	0.62 / 2.02	7.6	3.1
IMT Novi Beograd	13	1.15	0.69	31%	39%	39%	1.58 / 0.94	8.5	2.7
Novi Pazar	13	1.00	1.08	23%	39%	39%	1.69 / 1.95	9.5	2.7

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	1	96.5%	0%
2	Vojvodina	2.2	3.4%	0%
3	Železničar Pančevo	4.1	0.1%	0%
4	IMT Novi Beograd	5.1	0%	0%
5	Radnicki 1923	5.9	0%	0.1%
6	Mladost Lucani	7	0%	0.6%
7	Cukaricki	7.1	0%	0.7%
8	Radnik Surdulica	7.7	0%	1.2%
9	Novi Pazar	8.2	0%	1.7%
10	FK Partizan	8.9	0%	4.7%
11	OFK Beograd	10.8	0%	18.1%
12	Macva	11.5	0%	32.5%
13	Radnicki NIS	12.5	0%	60.5%
14	Zemun	13.2	0%	79.9%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Serbia Super Liga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Serbia Super Liga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Serbia Super Liga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Serbia Super Liga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Serbia Super Liga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit