Ukraine Premier League

Bukovyna Dynamo Kyiv

The sharp market makes Dynamo Kyiv the most likely outcome at 65% — fair odds of 1.54. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — Bukovyna: LDDWL; Dynamo Kyiv: WLWWL.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

2 Away win 65%
Market probability (1 / X / 2) 13% / 22% / 65%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 47% / 26% / 26%
Fair odds (pick) 1.54
Market odds (Pinnacle) 6.30 / 4.04 / 1.49
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 8.50 / 4.60 / 1.51
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Lost · 1

Match context

Bukovyna scored 1 and conceded 1.2 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Dynamo Kyiv scored 1 and conceded 1.2 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

Bukovyna
L D D W L
avg 1 scored · 1.2 conceded (last 5)
Dynamo Kyiv
W L W W L
avg 1 scored · 1.2 conceded (last 5)

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 2 · Away win
Odds when logged 1.49
Closing odds 1.49
Prediction CLV +0.0%
Result Lost
Record hash — integrity fingerprint 9b1050d4b7e3f3d7

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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