Ukraine

Ukraine Premier League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Ukraine Premier League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 16:00 UTC Zorya Luhansk – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Sat · 16:00 UTC Karpaty – Kudrivka
Sat · 16:00 UTC Kolos Kovalivka – Polessya
Sat · 16:00 UTC Shakhtar Donetsk – Obolon'-Brovar
Sat · 16:00 UTC Kryvbas KR – Dynamo Kyiv
Sat · 16:00 UTC Veres Rivne – Chornomorets
Sat · 16:00 UTC LNZ Cherkasy – FC Kharkiv
Sat · 16:00 UTC Livyi Bereh – Bukovyna
Sat · 16:00 UTC Shakhtar Donetsk – Dynamo Kyiv
Sat · 16:00 UTC Zorya Luhansk – LNZ Cherkasy

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
25 Oct	Bukovyna – Kryvbas KR	0–0	21%
25 Oct	Chornomorets – Karpaty	0–0	20%
24 Oct	Shakhtar Donetsk – Zorya Luhansk	0–0	17%
24 Oct	Livyi Bereh – LNZ Cherkasy	0–0	29%
24 Oct	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – FC Kharkiv	1–2	60%
23 Oct	Veres Rivne – Kolos Kovalivka	0–2	42%
23 Oct	Polessya – Obolon'-Brovar	3–0	81%
23 Oct	Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka	3–1	85%
19 Oct	FC Kharkiv – Livyi Bereh	2–1	65%
18 Oct	Karpaty – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	2–2	23%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Ukraine Premier League

Across the matches we priced in Ukraine Premier League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.77%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is 1xBet at 4.87%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

1xBet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Tue, 27 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Polessya	10	8	1	1	23	8	+15	25
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	8	1	1	20	5	+15	25
3	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	18	7	+11	21
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	6	1	2	14	9	+5	19
5	Karpaty	10	4	4	2	17	8	+9	16
6	LNZ Cherkasy	10	4	3	3	10	9	+1	15
7	Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	12	13	-1	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	3	2	4	12	13	-1	11
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	2	3	5	10	14	-4	9
10	Bukovyna	10	1	6	3	7	12	-5	9
11	Veres Rivne	10	2	3	5	6	13	-7	9
12	Livyi Bereh	9	1	5	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Obolon'-Brovar	9	1	4	4	4	15	-11	7
14	Chornomorets	9	1	3	5	5	11	-6	6
15	Kryvbas KR	8	1	3	4	7	13	-6	6
16	Kudrivka	10	1	2	7	11	24	-13	5

Team stats this season

76 matches this season: 2.39 goals per game, 51% over 2.5, 43% both teams scored. xG — per match (from 1 matches); 10.0 corners and 4.4 cards per match (from 21 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	Corners	Cards
Kudrivka	10	1.10	2.40	80%	70%	20%	12.0	2.7
Polessya	10	2.30	0.80	70%	60%	40%	—	—
FC Kharkiv	9	2.00	0.78	67%	44%	44%	—	—
Dynamo Kyiv	9	1.56	1.00	67%	44%	44%	—	—
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	1.00	1.40	60%	30%	40%	4.3	2.3
Kolos Kovalivka	9	1.33	1.44	56%	56%	22%	7.5	2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk	10	2.00	0.50	50%	30%	60%	13.7	2.0
Karpaty	10	1.70	0.80	50%	50%	40%	8.3	3.3
Zorya Luhansk	10	1.20	1.30	50%	60%	20%	13.7	2.3
LNZ Cherkasy	10	1.00	0.90	50%	20%	50%	—	—
Kryvbas KR	8	0.88	1.63	50%	50%	13%	—	—
Obolon'-Brovar	9	0.44	1.67	44%	22%	44%	—	—
Bukovyna	10	0.70	1.20	40%	30%	50%	10.7	3.7
Chornomorets	9	0.56	1.22	33%	44%	33%	9.3	1.7
Veres Rivne	10	0.60	1.30	30%	40%	20%	9.5	2.3
Livyi Bereh	9	0.67	0.89	22%	44%	44%	—	—

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	1.4	67%	0%
2	Polessya	2.1	28.5%	0%
3	Dynamo Kyiv	3.7	3.3%	0%
4	Karpaty	5.6	0.4%	0%
5	LNZ Cherkasy	5.7	0.5%	0%
6	Zorya Luhansk	6	0.2%	0%
7	Bukovyna	7.2	0.1%	0.4%
8	Kolos Kovalivka	8.2	0%	0.5%
9	Livyi Bereh	9.9	0%	2.5%
10	Chornomorets	11.2	0%	5.5%
11	Kryvbas KR	11.3	0%	6.5%
12	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	11.7	0%	7.6%
13	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	12.4	0%	12.5%
14	Veres Rivne	12.4	0%	12.4%
15	Obolon'-Brovar	13.3	0%	21.5%
16	Kudrivka	14.5	0%	41.2%
17	FC Kharkiv	16.4	0%	89.3%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Ukraine Premier League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Ukraine Premier League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Ukraine Premier League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Ukraine Premier League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Ukraine Premier League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit