Ykkösliiga

JIPPO EIF

The sharp market makes JIPPO the most likely outcome at 54% — fair odds of 1.84. No soft bookmaker is offering more than that fair price right now, so there is no value here — the honest call is to pass. Recent form — JIPPO: WDLLW; EIF: LWLWW.

Value check

No value

No measurable value here — the bookmaker odds do not beat the fair price. We pass.

Our prediction

1/X Home or draw 79%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

Market probability (1 / X / 2) 54% / 25% / 21%
Our model (1 / X / 2) 62% / 25% / 13%
Fair odds (pick) 1.26
Market odds (Pinnacle) 1.71 / 3.76 / 4.49
Best soft odds (1 / X / 2) 1.78 / 3.70 / 4.40
Edge Score 0
Market Gap
Confidence
Prediction result Won · X

Match context

The last 1 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 1–0–0 (JIPPO wins – draws – EIF wins).

JIPPO scored 1.4 and conceded 0.8 across their last 5 matches in our results database; EIF scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Why this price?

JIPPO
W D L L W
avg 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)
EIF
L W L W W
avg 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
11 Apr 2026 EIF 1–2 JIPPO

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

🔒 Immutable record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/X · Home or draw
Odds when logged 1.18
Closing odds 1.18
Prediction CLV -0.2%
Result Won
Record hash — integrity fingerprint 5909264e2ba180d1

Logged before kick-off. The hash is an integrity fingerprint of the logged values — if any of them changed, the hash would change too. Verify in the public record →

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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