We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin — San Jose Earthquakes · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.9% | Lost | |
| FC Dallas — Sporting Kansas City · MLS | 1 | 1.48 | 1.40 | +5.7% | Won | |
| Seattle Sounders — New York Red Bulls · MLS | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| Velez Sarsfield — Estudiantes L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.35 | 1.39 | -3.4% | Won | |
| San Marcos de Arica — Deportes Copiapo · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.18 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Minnesota United II — Colorado Rapids II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.67 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Sporting KC II — St. Louis City II · MLS Next Pro | 2 | 1.70 | 1.65 | +3.0% | Won | |
| Universidad de Chile — Coquimbo Unido · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Fluminense — Vasco DA Gama · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.38 | -11.6% | Won | |
| Rhode Island — Louisville City · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.1% | Lost | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies — Brooklyn · USL Championship | 1 | 1.31 | 1.30 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Charlotte — Houston Dynamo · MLS | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| Inter Miami — Atlanta United FC · MLS | 1 | 1.42 | 1.32 | +7.6% | Lost | |
| Columbus Crew — Colorado Rapids · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Toronto FC — Chicago Fire · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Philadelphia Union — CF Montreal · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.43 | +5.6% | Won | |
| Orlando City SC — San Diego · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.5% | Won | |
| Sporting JAX — Lexington · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.21 | +4.0% | Won | |
| Detroit City — Hartford Athletic · USL Championship | 1 | 1.74 | 1.93 | -9.8% | Lost | |
| Miami FC — Pittsburgh Riverhounds · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| Indy Eleven — Birmingham Legion · USL Championship | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.17 | +2.6% | Won | |
| Atletico San Luis — Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX VALUE → | X/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Cusco — UCV Moquegua · Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1.31 | 1.22 | +7.4% | Won | |
| Chico — Once Caldas · Primera A | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.5% | Won | |
| San Luis — Cobreloa · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.28 | +1.1% | Won | |
| Everton de Vina — U. Catolica · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Ceara — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Sao Paulo — Atletico-MG · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Deportivo Maldonado — Wanderers · Uruguay Primera Division VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.28 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Juventude — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.24 | +1.1% | Won | |
| Sport Huancayo — Sport Boys · Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1.69 | 1.85 | -8.6% | Won | |
| San Martin Tucuman — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.16 | — | — | Won | |
| Racing Cordoba — Deportivo Moron · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.32 | — | — | Lost | |
| Quilmes — San Martin S.J. · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | — | — | Won | |
| Patronato — Temperley · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.29 | — | — | Won | |
| Midland — Chacarita Juniors · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.17 | — | — | Won | |
| Godoy Cruz — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.29 | — | — | Won | |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.26 | — | — | Won | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.15 | — | — | Won | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — Deportivo Madryn · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.23 | — | — | Won | |
| Colegiales — Nueva Chicago · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.15 | — | — | Won | |
| Atletico Mitre — Chaco For Ever · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.24 | — | — | Won | |
| CA Estudiantes — Acassuso · Primera Nacional | 1 | 1.62 | — | — | Won | |
| Atlanta — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional | 1 | 1.70 | — | — | Won | |
| Almirante Brown — Ferro Carril Oeste · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.36 | — | — | Won | |
| Almagro — Deportivo Maipu · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.33 | — | — | Won | |
| All Boys — San Telmo · Primera Nacional | 1 | 1.71 | — | — | Lost | |
| Mercedes — Defensores de Cambaceres · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.26 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Yupanqui — Leones de Rosario · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Puerto Nuevo — Lugano · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.29 | — | — | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.