We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy — Nueva Chicago · Primera Nacional | 1 | 1.59 | 1.67 | -4.8% | Won | |
| SJK — VPS · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -4.3% | Won | |
| Gnistan — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Vestri — Ægir · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1 | 1.50 | 1.64 | -8.5% | Won | |
| Turku PS — KuPS · Veikkausliiga | X/2 | 1.19 | 1.16 | +2.4% | Won | |
| Ilves — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.66 | 1.65 | +0.6% | Won | |
| HJK Helsinki — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.33 | -1.8% | Lost | |
| IR Reykjavik — Grotta · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Grindavik — Fylkir · 1. Deild VALUE → | 2 | 1.68 | 1.59 | +5.7% | Won | |
| Fortaleza EC — America Mineiro · Brazil Serie B | 1 | 1.58 | 1.67 | -5.4% | Lost | |
| Vikingur Reykjavik — KR Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1 | 1.52 | 1.47 | +3.4% | Won | |
| Stjarnan — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.5% | Lost | |
| IA Akranes — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.8% | Won | |
| IFK Varnamo — Helsingborg · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Landskrona BoIS — United Nordic · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Londrina — Avai · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.37 | -4.6% | Won | |
| Criciuma — Ceara · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.17 | +5.9% | Won | |
| KA Akureyri — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +0.3% | Won | |
| IFK Norrkoping — Varbergs BoIS FC · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.8% | Won | |
| GIF Sundsvall — Osters IF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.7% | Won | |
| SJK Akatemia — Haka · Ykkösliiga VALUE → | 2 | 1.52 | 1.62 | -6.2% | Won | |
| Novorizontino — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Botafogo SP — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.34 | -10.3% | Won | |
| U. Catolica — Universidad de Concepcion · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.53 | 1.49 | +2.7% | Won | |
| Cuiaba — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.22 | +7.0% | Won | |
| Deportivo Maipu — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.1% | Lost | |
| Central Norte — San Telmo · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.16 | +2.7% | Won | |
| Malaga — Almeria · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Temperley — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.15 | +1.3% | Won | |
| Racing Cordoba — Chaco For Ever · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.15 | 1.16 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Atletico Mitre — Los Andes · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.34 | -6.1% | Lost | |
| Union La Calera — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.33 | -5.7% | Won | |
| Athletic Club — Goias · Brazil Serie B | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.40 | -3.0% | Lost | |
| Patronato — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.19 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Nueva Chicago — Chacarita Juniors · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — Acassuso · Primera Nacional | 1 | 1.41 | 1.42 | -0.7% | Won | |
| CA Estudiantes — All Boys · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.15 | 1.17 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Almirante Brown — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional VALUE → | X/2 | 1.34 | 1.42 | -5.1% | Lost | |
| Thor Akureyri — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Keflavik — FH hafnarfjordur · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.17 | 1.19 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Concepción — Deportes Limache · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.4% | Won | |
| MP — Klubi-04 · Ykkösliiga | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.35 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Sandviken — IK brage · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Stromsgodset — Raufoss · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.26 | 1.22 | +3.3% | Won | |
| Stabaek — Egersund · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Sogndal — Moss · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.23 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Sandnes ULF — Strommen · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.26 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Lyn — Bryne · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -1.0% | Won | |
| hodd — Kongsvinger · Norway 1. Division | 2 | 1.63 | 1.65 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Haugesund — Ranheim · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.4% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.