We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato — Midland · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — Deportivo Moron · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — All Boys · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.21 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| Chacarita Juniors — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.33 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Almirante Brown — Atletico Mitre · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.16 | +9.7% | Won | |
| Deportivo Madryn — Los Andes · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.0% | Won | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Valur Reykjavik — Keflavik · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +1.0% | Lost | |
| FH hafnarfjordur — Thor Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.1% | Lost | |
| Breidablik — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1 | 1.60 | 1.59 | +0.6% | Won | |
| IR Reykjavik — Völsungur · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.38 | 1.26 | +9.5% | Lost | |
| Ostersunds FK — IFK Norrkoping · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Norrby IF — United Nordic · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.5% | Lost | |
| Vestri — Afturelding · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.23 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Strommen — Stabaek · Norway 1. Division | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.18 | +1.7% | Lost | |
| Raufoss — Sogndal · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.6% | Won | |
| ODD Ballklubb — hodd · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.41 | 1.42 | -0.7% | Lost | |
| Moss — Sandnes ULF · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Kongsvinger — Stromsgodset · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Egersund — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Bryne — Asane · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.45 | 1.48 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Avai — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.44 | -10.7% | Won | |
| Osters IF — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.30 | -4.3% | Won | |
| Helsingborg — GIF Sundsvall · Superettan | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.21 | +1.1% | Won | |
| IK brage — IFK Varnamo · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Vila Nova — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.42 | -4.2% | Won | |
| Ceara — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.21 | -3.0% | Lost | |
| Almeria — Malaga · Segunda Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.37 | -6.7% | Won | |
| Chaco For Ever — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional | X/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.5% | Lost | |
| Nueva Chicago — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.23 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Almagro — Atlanta · Primera Nacional | X/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| San Telmo — Racing Cordoba · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.36 | 1.46 | -6.9% | Won | |
| Colegiales — Quilmes · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.30 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar — CA Estudiantes · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.38 | -2.6% | Lost | |
| Londrina — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.36 | -5.7% | Won | |
| Njardvik — Leiknir R. · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.45 | 1.48 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Bohemians — Dundalk · Premier Division | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.27 | -5.6% | Won | |
| Drogheda United — Shelbourne · Premier Division VALUE → | X/2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | -1.8% | Won | |
| UCD — Kerry · First Division Ireland | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.17 | -0.0% | Lost | |
| Cork City — Treaty United · First Division Ireland | 1 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Cobh Ramblers — Finn Harps · First Division Ireland | 1 | 1.55 | 1.59 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Bray Wanderers — Longford Town · First Division Ireland | 1 | 1.67 | 1.62 | +3.1% | Won | |
| Athlone Town — Wexford · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -2.4% | Lost | |
| Waterford — Shamrock Rovers · Premier Division | 2 | 1.56 | 1.77 | -11.9% | Won | |
| St Patrick's Athl. — Sligo Rovers · Premier Division | 1 | 1.29 | 1.22 | +5.7% | Won | |
| Galway United — Derry City · Premier Division | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.5% | Won | |
| Ranheim — Lyn · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.63 | 1.68 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Universidad de Chile — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.25 | -4.8% | Won | |
| Sport Recife — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.0% | Won | |
| AC Oulu — Mariehamn · Veikkausliiga | 1 | 1.40 | 1.38 | +1.4% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.