We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Teda — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.34 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Orgryte IS — Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 2 | 1.24 | 1.22 | +1.6% | Lost | |
| Yunnan Yukun — Shenyang Urban · China Super League | 1 | 1.75 | 1.65 | +6.1% | Won | |
| Henan Jianye — Chengdu Better City · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.33 | -2.0% | Lost | |
| Hertha BSC — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Cercle Brugge — Gent · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.34 | -3.2% | Won | |
| Würzburger Kickers — Stuttgart II · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.9% | Won | |
| VfL Osnabrück — Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.0% | Won | |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk — Probiy Horodenka · Ukraine Persha Liga | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.16 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Mlada Boleslav — Baník Ostrava · Czech Liga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Birmingham — Wolves · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.37 | 1.34 | +1.9% | Lost | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long — Shanghai Shenhua · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.7% | Won | |
| Groningen — Twente · Eredivisie | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.2% | Lost | |
| Gimpo Citizen — Seongnam FC · K League 2 | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.29 | +1.0% | Lost | |
| Suwon Bluewings — Asan Mugunghwa · K League 2 VALUE → | 1 | 1.58 | 1.58 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 1 | 1 | 1.58 | 1.57 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| FC Anyang — Gangwon FC · K League 1 VALUE → | X/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Tukums II — Leevon / PPK · Latvia 1. Liga | 2 | 1.52 | 1.52 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Bukovyna · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.29 | +3.2% | Lost | |
| Viktoria Žižkov — Příbram · Czech FNL VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Atlas — Atlante FC · Liga MX | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.25 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Las Vegas Lights — New Mexico United · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.23 | +5.1% | Won | |
| Portland Timbers — Minnesota United FC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — St. Louis City · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.47 | -4.8% | Lost | |
| Los Angeles FC II — Ventura County · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +0.4% | Lost | |
| Monterey Bay — Phoenix Rising · USL Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| Orange County SC — Sacramento Republic · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.31 | -3.5% | Lost | |
| Real Salt Lake — Los Angeles FC · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.31 | -2.1% | Lost | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy — New England Revolution · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Universitario — Comerciantes Unidos · Peru Liga 1 VALUE → | 1 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Junior — Jaguares · Primera A | 1 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Tigres UANL — Necaxa · Liga MX VALUE → | 1 | 1.60 | 1.76 | -9.1% | Lost | |
| San Antonio — FC Tulsa · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.36 | -4.7% | Lost | |
| Austin — San Jose Earthquakes · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.9% | Lost | |
| FC Dallas — Sporting Kansas City · MLS | 1 | 1.48 | 1.40 | +5.7% | Won | |
| Seattle Sounders — New York Red Bulls · MLS | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| Velez Sarsfield — Estudiantes L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.35 | 1.39 | -3.4% | Won | |
| San Marcos de Arica — Deportes Copiapo · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.18 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Minnesota United II — Colorado Rapids II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.67 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Sporting KC II — St. Louis City II · MLS Next Pro | 2 | 1.70 | 1.65 | +3.0% | Won | |
| Universidad de Chile — Coquimbo Unido · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Fluminense — Vasco DA Gama · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.38 | -11.6% | Won | |
| Rhode Island — Louisville City · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.1% | Lost | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies — Brooklyn · USL Championship | 1 | 1.31 | 1.30 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Charlotte — Houston Dynamo · MLS | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| Inter Miami — Atlanta United FC · MLS | 1 | 1.42 | 1.32 | +7.6% | Lost | |
| Columbus Crew — Colorado Rapids · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Toronto FC — Chicago Fire · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Philadelphia Union — CF Montreal · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.43 | +5.6% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.