We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos — Brown DE Adrogue · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.26 | — | — | Won | |
| Deportivo Camioneros — Argentino Quilmes · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.13 | — | — | Won | |
| Dock Sud — Comunicaciones · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.27 | — | — | Lost | |
| Real Pilar — Talleres Remedios · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | X/2 | 1.27 | 1.25 | +2.2% | Won | |
| UAI Urquiza — Argentino de Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | X/2 | 1.33 | — | — | Lost | |
| Villa Dalmine — Arsenal Sarandi · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.26 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Villarreal — Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | 1 | 1.51 | 1.48 | +2.0% | Lost | |
| Eldense — Mallorca · Segunda Division | X/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Willem II — Excelsior · Eredivisie VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Deportes Santa Cruz — Union Espanola · Chile Primera B | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| ST Mirren — Celtic · Scottish Premiership | 2 | 1.53 | 1.40 | +9.3% | Won | |
| Swansea — Wrexham · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.35 | -3.1% | Lost | |
| Novorizontino — Avai · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1 | 1.45 | 1.48 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Goias — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.44 | -4.6% | Lost | |
| RB Bragantino — Bahia · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.28 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| Nice — Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.20 | +2.7% | Won | |
| St. Truiden — RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League | 1 | 1.65 | 1.54 | +7.1% | Won | |
| Standard Liege — Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.36 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Le Havre — Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -0.8% | Won | |
| AS Roma — Atalanta · Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.73 | 1.73 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Dunajska Streda — Slovan Bratislava · Slovak Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Grasshoppers — FC Zurich · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -0.9% | Lost | |
| Dynamo Dresden — VfL Bochum · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.33 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Longford Town — Kerry · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Levski Sofia — CSKA 1948 · Bulgaria First League VALUE → | 1 | 1.54 | 1.58 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Olimpija Ljubljana — Brinje-Grosuplje · Slovenia PrvaLiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.62 | 1.71 | -5.3% | Won | |
| Motor Lublin — Legia Warszawa · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -4.3% | Won | |
| Danubio — Penarol · Uruguay Primera Division | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.18 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Ajax — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.29 | -3.4% | Won | |
| HNK Rijeka — NK Osijek · Croatia HNL VALUE → | 1/X | 1.14 | 1.17 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Macva — Radnicki 1923 · Serbia Super Liga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Mladost Lucani — Radnicki NIS · Serbia Super Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.33 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Paks — Debreceni VSC · Hungary NB I | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.2% | Won | |
| AEK Athens FC — Aris Thessalonikis · Greek Super League | 1 | 1.37 | 1.32 | +3.8% | Won | |
| Saint Etienne — Montpellier · Ligue 2 VALUE → | 1 | 1.54 | 1.56 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Stabaek — Moss · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.35 | 1.35 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Centro Español — Sacachispas · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Victoriano Arenas — Argentino Rosario · Primera C | 1/X | 1.12 | 1.12 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Canuelas — Lujan · Primera C | X/2 | 1.26 | — | — | Lost | |
| Central Cordoba — El Porvenir · Primera C | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Carrarese — Empoli · Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.39 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Dinamo Bucuresti — FCSB · Romania Liga I | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.34 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Fenerbahçe — Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.38 | -9.3% | Lost | |
| Maritimo — Benfica · Primeira Liga | 2 | 1.26 | 1.18 | +6.8% | Won | |
| Alverca — SC Braga · Primeira Liga | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.19 | +1.6% | Won | |
| Tiszakecske FC — Szentlőrinc SE · Hungary NB II VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Gyirmot SE — Karcag SE · Hungary NB II VALUE → | 1 | 1.66 | 1.66 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Utrecht — GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.37 | -5.7% | Won | |
| AD Ceuta FC — Celta de Vigo II · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.26 | +2.2% | Lost | |
| Valladolid — FC Andorra · Segunda Division | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.36 | -1.1% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.