We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin — Legia Warszawa · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -4.3% | Won | |
| Danubio — Penarol · Uruguay Primera Division | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.18 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Ajax — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.29 | -3.4% | Won | |
| HNK Rijeka — NK Osijek · Croatia HNL VALUE → | 1/X | 1.14 | 1.17 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Macva — Radnicki 1923 · Serbia Super Liga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Mladost Lucani — Radnicki NIS · Serbia Super Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.33 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Paks — Debreceni VSC · Hungary NB I | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.2% | Won | |
| AEK Athens FC — Aris Thessalonikis · Greek Super League | 1 | 1.37 | 1.32 | +3.8% | Won | |
| Saint Etienne — Montpellier · Ligue 2 VALUE → | 1 | 1.54 | 1.56 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Stabaek — Moss · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.35 | 1.35 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Centro Español — Sacachispas · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Victoriano Arenas — Argentino Rosario · Primera C | 1/X | 1.12 | 1.12 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Canuelas — Lujan · Primera C | X/2 | 1.26 | — | — | Lost | |
| Central Cordoba — El Porvenir · Primera C | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Carrarese — Empoli · Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.39 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Dinamo Bucuresti — FCSB · Romania Liga I | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.34 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Fenerbahçe — Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.38 | -9.3% | Lost | |
| Maritimo — Benfica · Primeira Liga | 2 | 1.26 | 1.18 | +6.8% | Won | |
| Alverca — SC Braga · Primeira Liga | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.19 | +1.6% | Won | |
| Tiszakecske FC — Szentlőrinc SE · Hungary NB II VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Gyirmot SE — Karcag SE · Hungary NB II VALUE → | 1 | 1.66 | 1.66 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Utrecht — GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.37 | -5.7% | Won | |
| AD Ceuta FC — Celta de Vigo II · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.26 | +2.2% | Lost | |
| Valladolid — FC Andorra · Segunda Division | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.36 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Rayo Vallecano — Racing Santander · La Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.32 | +1.6% | Won | |
| Hull City — Aston Villa · Premier League VALUE → | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Magallanes — Union San Felipe · Chile Primera B | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.16 | +1.9% | Won | |
| FC Schalke 04 — Bayern München · Bundesliga VALUE → | 2 | 1.18 | 1.22 | -3.3% | Lost | |
| Keflavik — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.24 | -1.3% | Won | |
| KV Mechelen — KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Volos NFC — Olympiakos Piraeus · Greek Super League | 2 | 1.21 | 1.27 | -4.7% | Lost | |
| The Town — Tacoma Defiance · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Opava — Dukla Praha · Czech FNL VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Tatran Prešov — Zlaté Moravce · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.67 | 1.69 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Radnik Surdulica — Cukaricki · Serbia Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.5% | Won | |
| Spartak Varna — CSKA Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 2 | 1.55 | 1.54 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Komárno — Skalica · Slovak Super Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.20 | +4.2% | Won | |
| Žilina — Podbrezová · Slovak Super Liga | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Zemplín Michalovce — AS Trencin · Slovak Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Artis — Plzen · Czech Liga | 2 | 1.48 | 1.50 | -1.3% | Won | |
| FC Vaduz — Lausanne · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.7% | Won | |
| BSC Young Boys — FC Luzern · Swiss Super League | 1 | 1.53 | 1.47 | +4.1% | Lost | |
| Aarhus — Silkeborg · Danish Superliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.49 | +1.3% | Lost | |
| Brann — Lillestrom · Eliteserien VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Inter — Napoli · Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.69 | 1.67 | +1.2% | Won | |
| MTK Budapest — Kisvarda FC · Hungary NB I | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Aluminij — Bravo · Slovenia PrvaLiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.32 | -2.6% | Lost | |
| Korona Kielce — Wisla Krakow · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.34 | -4.0% | Lost | |
| Vasteras SK FK — Sirius · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Lens — Lorient · Ligue 1 | 1 | 1.47 | 1.55 | -5.2% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.