We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1936 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano — FC Zurich · Swiss Super League | 1 · FC Lugano | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.46 | +4.1% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Shandong Luneng — Tianjin Teda · China Super League | 1 · Shandong Luneng | 1.75 | 1.66 | 2.24 | -21.9% | Won | +0.75 | |
| Malmo FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan | 1 · Malmo FF | 1.61 | 1.60 | 1.49 | +8.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Henan Jianye — Qingdao Youth Island · China Super League | 1 · Henan Jianye | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.57 | +5.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sparta Rotterdam — Feyenoord · Eredivisie | 2 · Feyenoord | 1.85 | 1.74 | 1.60 | +15.6% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Zorya Luhansk — Kryvbas KR · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Zorya Luhansk | 1.95 | 1.76 | 1.70 | +14.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dalian Kewei — Rizhao Yuqi · China League Two | 1 · Dalian Kewei | 1.75 | 1.64 | 1.44 | +21.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Slovan Bratislava II — Šamorín · Slovakia 2. Liga | 2 · Šamorín | 2.50 | 2.26 | 2.32 | +7.8% | Won | +1.50 | |
| Monterey Bay — New Mexico United · USL Championship | 1 · Monterey Bay | 2.44 | 2.33 | 2.28 | +7.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Pasto — Deportivo Cali · Primera A | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.09 | 3.07 | +4.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| America de Cali — Atletico Nacional · Primera A | 1 · America de Cali | 2.55 | 2.54 | 2.41 | +5.8% | Won | +1.55 | |
| Colorado Rapids II — St. Louis City II · MLS Next Pro | 2 · St. Louis City II | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.75 | +12.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| El Paso Locomotive — Oakland Roots · USL Championship | 1 · El Paso Locomotive | 2.12 | 2.07 | 1.99 | +6.5% | Won | +1.12 | |
| FC Tulsa — Detroit City · USL Championship | 2 · Detroit City | 2.67 | 2.64 | 2.79 | -4.3% | Won | +1.67 | |
| Botafogo — Fluminense · Brazil Serie A | X · Draw | 3.50 | 3.18 | 3.19 | +9.7% | Won | +2.50 | |
| Carolina Core — Huntsville City · MLS Next Pro | 2 · Huntsville City | 3.35 | 3.18 | 2.88 | +16.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Loudoun United — Charleston Battery · USL Championship | 2 · Charleston Battery | 1.97 | 1.88 | 1.93 | +2.1% | Won | +0.97 | |
| Columbus Crew II — New York RB II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Columbus Crew II | 2.95 | 2.89 | 2.65 | +11.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Remo — Atletico-MG · Brazil Serie A | 2 · Atletico-MG | 2.57 | 2.50 | 2.82 | -8.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Juan Pablo II College — Atletico Grau · Peru Liga 1 | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.11 | 2.82 | +13.5% | Won | +2.20 | |
| Portland Timbers II — Los Angeles FC II · MLS Next Pro | 2 · Los Angeles FC II | 3.30 | 3.27 | 2.98 | +10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Quilmes — San Telmo · Primera Nacional | 1 · Quilmes | 1.66 | 1.64 | — | — | Won | +0.66 | |
| Godoy Cruz — Deportivo Maipu · Primera Nacional | 1 · Godoy Cruz | 1.82 | 1.79 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy — Chaco For Ever · Primera Nacional | 1 · Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.65 | 1.62 | — | — | Won | +0.65 | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — Atlanta · Primera Nacional | 1 · Ferro Carril Oeste | 2.00 | 1.97 | — | — | Won | +1.00 | |
| Deportivo Moron — Almagro · Primera Nacional | 1 · Deportivo Moron | 1.81 | 1.75 | — | — | Won | +0.81 | |
| Colon Santa Fe — Patronato · Primera Nacional | 1 · Colon Santa Fe | 1.75 | 1.62 | — | — | Won | +0.75 | |
| Agropecuario — Ciudad de Bolívar · Primera Nacional | 1 · Agropecuario | 1.95 | 1.94 | — | — | Won | +0.95 | |
| Acassuso — Midland · Primera Nacional | 2 · Midland | 2.43 | 2.33 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lugano — Victoriano Arenas · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.83 | — | — | Won | +1.90 | |
| Defensores de Cambaceres — Leandro N. Alem · Primera C | 1 · Defensores de Cambaceres | 2.62 | 2.49 | 2.25 | +16.4% | Won | +1.62 | |
| Argentino Rosario — Mercedes · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.86 | 2.56 | +15.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| El Porvenir — Yupanqui · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.05 | 2.70 | +20.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Berazategui — Centro Español · Primera C | 1 · Berazategui | 2.47 | 2.30 | 2.10 | +17.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Fénix — Central Ballester · Primera C | 1 · Fénix | 2.38 | 2.36 | — | — | Won | +1.38 | |
| General Lamadrid — Deportivo Español · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.84 | 2.54 | +18.1% | Won | +2.00 | |
| Sacachispas — Deportivo Paraguayo · Primera C | 1 · Sacachispas | 1.71 | 1.63 | — | — | Won | +0.71 | |
| Atletico Atlas — Canuelas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.86 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sportivo Barracas — Claypole · Primera C | 1 · Sportivo Barracas | 2.70 | 2.61 | — | — | Won | +1.70 | |
| Deportivo Merlo — Sportivo Italiano · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.86 | 2.48 | +21.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Argentino Quilmes — Real Pilar · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Argentino Quilmes | 2.90 | 2.70 | 2.51 | +15.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Comunicaciones — Villa San Carlos · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Comunicaciones | 2.07 | 1.92 | 1.83 | +13.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dock Sud — San Martín Burzaco · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.35 | 3.11 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Armenio — Villa Dalmine · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 2.88 | 2.76 | 2.52 | +14.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Defensores Unidos — Liniers · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.87 | 2.58 | +16.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Laferrere — Arsenal Sarandi · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.99 | — | — | Won | +2.05 | |
| Flandria — UAI Urquiza · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Flandria | 2.29 | 2.09 | 1.96 | +16.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estrela — Sporting CP · Primeira Liga | 2 · Sporting CP | 1.27 | 1.21 | 1.33 | -4.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| AZ Alkmaar — ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie | 1 · AZ Alkmaar | 1.66 | 1.49 | 1.37 | +21.2% | Won | +0.66 | |
| Huachipato — Everton de Vina · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Huachipato | 2.32 | 2.28 | 2.92 | -20.5% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.