We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galanta — Malženice · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.22 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Lokomotíva Zvolen — Pohronie · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.8% | Won | |
| BVSC — Nagykanizsai ULE · Hungary NB II VALUE → | 1 | 1.65 | 1.65 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Kazincbarcikai — Kecskeméti TE · Hungary NB II | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Kyzyl-Zhar — Atyrau · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| FS Jelgava — Super Nova · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Erzurumspor FK — Konyaspor · Süper Lig VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.40 | -5.4% | Won | |
| Dundee Utd — Falkirk · Scottish Premiership VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.33 | -5.2% | Won | |
| Rangers — Motherwell · Scottish Premiership VALUE → | 1 | 1.45 | 1.44 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Aberdeen — Kilmarnock · Scottish Premiership VALUE → | 1 | 1.72 | 1.70 | +1.2% | Lost | |
| Charleroi — Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Salford City — Port Vale · League Two | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.19 | +6.2% | Won | |
| Tranmere — Oldham · League Two VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Cheltenham — Grimsby · League Two VALUE → | X/2 | 1.28 | 1.38 | -7.3% | Won | |
| Exeter City — Walsall · League Two | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| Accrington ST — Crawley Town · League Two VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.8% | Won | |
| Swindon Town — Colchester · League Two | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.29 | +1.5% | Won | |
| Chesterfield — Barnet · League Two VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.7% | Lost | |
| Northampton — Newport County · League Two | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.19 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Fleetwood Town — Shrewsbury · League Two | 1/X | 1.23 | — | — | Won | |
| Bristol Rovers — Rotherham · League Two | 1 | 1.75 | 1.62 | +8.0% | Won | |
| Luton — Leyton Orient · League One VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.63 | +3.1% | Lost | |
| Wycombe — Milton Keynes Dons · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| Doncaster — Plymouth · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Bradford — Mansfield Town · League One VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.21 | +1.3% | Won | |
| Burton Albion — Cambridge United · League One | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.38 | -5.0% | Lost | |
| Barnsley — Stevenage · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Reading — Blackpool · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.26 | +1.0% | Won | |
| Leicester — Oxford United · League One | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.18 | +5.1% | Lost | |
| Huddersfield — Notts County · League One VALUE → | 1 | 1.69 | 1.72 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Portsmouth — Cardiff · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.7% | Won | |
| QPR — Middlesbrough · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Sheffield Utd — Norwich · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.1% | Won | |
| West Brom — Watford · Championship VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.21 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Millwall — Bolton · Championship VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.28 | -4.8% | Won | |
| West Ham — Derby · Championship | 1 | 1.39 | 1.37 | +1.5% | Won | |
| Burnley — Bristol City · Championship VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.31 | -5.2% | Lost | |
| Ægir — Grindavik · 1. Deild | 2 | 1.31 | 1.29 | +1.6% | Lost | |
| Vestri — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.19 | +2.8% | Won | |
| Njardvik — Afturelding · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.19 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| IR Reykjavik — Leiknir R. · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.64 | 1.82 | -9.9% | Won | |
| Grotta — Völsungur · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.2% | Won | |
| HK Kopavogur — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Asane — hodd · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| Stal Rzeszów — Polonia Warszawa · Poland I Liga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Stal Mielec — Odra Opole · Poland I Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.32 | -4.6% | Lost | |
| Miedz Legnica — Chrobry Głogów · Poland I Liga | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.26 | -1.8% | Won | |
| SC Paderborn 07 — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach — SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.31 | -2.8% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.