We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedz Legnica — Chrobry Głogów · Poland I Liga | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.26 | -1.8% | Won | |
| SC Paderborn 07 — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach — SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.31 | -2.8% | Lost | |
| Bayer Leverkusen — Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 1 | 1.46 | 1.36 | +7.4% | Won | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Sudtirol — Catanzaro · Serie B | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.36 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Ekranas — Garliava · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 2 | 1.54 | 1.54 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Aktobe — Zhenys · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.17 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Tacuary — Deportivo Santani · Paraguay Division Intermedia | X/2 | 1.16 | 1.17 | -1.5% | Won | |
| Zhetysu — Irtysh · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Atlético Tembetary — Encarnación · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Slovácko — Pardubice · Czech Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.34 | -3.4% | Lost | |
| Sigma Olomouc — Bohemians 1905 · Czech Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.69 | 1.69 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Slavia Praha — Zbrojovka Brno · Czech Liga | 1 | 1.29 | 1.28 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Oddevold — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.32 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Norrby IF — Landskrona BoIS · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.31 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Degerfors IF — Halmstad · Allsvenskan | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.30 | -5.2% | Won | |
| Gais — BK Hacken · Allsvenskan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Fiorentina — Torino · Serie A | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.31 | -7.7% | Lost | |
| Widzew Łódź — Radomiak Radom · Ekstraklasa | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.18 | +4.4% | Won | |
| FC Kharkiv — Obolon'-Brovar · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1 | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Real Sociedad II — Tenerife · Segunda Division | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.40 | -2.8% | Lost | |
| Prykarpattia — Oleksandria · Ukraine Persha Liga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.19 | +0.3% | Won | |
| JDFS Alberts — Smiltene · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.14 | 1.14 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Atmosfera — Tauras · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Kaspiy — Kairat Almaty · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 2 | 1.40 | 1.36 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Tukums — Ogre United · Latvia Virsliga | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.21 | +2.1% | Won | |
| FC Botosani — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · Romania Liga I | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Metz — Rodez · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.0% | Won | |
| Reims — Guingamp · Ligue 2 | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.16 | +7.6% | Won | |
| Waldhof Mannheim — Verl · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.26 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Hansa Rostock — SV Wehen · 3. Liga | 1 | 1.68 | 1.62 | +3.7% | Lost | |
| SV Meppen — FC Saarbrücken · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Preußen Münster — Havelse · 3. Liga | 1 | 1.60 | 1.69 | -5.3% | Won | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg — MSV Duisburg · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.28 | -3.7% | Won | |
| Shandong Luneng — Sichuan Jiuniu · China Super League VALUE → | 1 | 1.55 | 1.50 | +3.3% | Lost | |
| Dalian Zhixing — Qingdao Jonoon · China Super League VALUE → | 1 | 1.44 | 1.31 | +9.9% | Won | |
| SHANGHAI SIPG — Beijing Guoan · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.24 | +1.9% | Lost | |
| Newcastle — Bournemouth · Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -2.5% | Lost | |
| Peterborough — Sheffield Wednesday · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Wigan — Stockport County · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.25 | +2.2% | Won | |
| Lincoln — Southampton · Championship | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -1.0% | Lost | |
| Stoke City — Charlton · Championship | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.26 | +2.8% | Won | |
| Preston — Blackburn · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.34 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Valmiera / BSS — Metta / LU · Latvia 1. Liga | 1/2 | 1.17 | 1.15 | +1.1% | Lost | |
| Okzhetpes — Ordabasy · Kazakhstan Premier League | 2 | 1.54 | 1.56 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern — SV Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -3.6% | Won | |
| Holstein Kiel — 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.29 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| VfL Wolfsburg — Energie Cottbus · 2. Bundesliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.38 | 1.40 | -1.4% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.