We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP — Nacional · Primeira Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.16 | — | — | Won | |
| FC Porto — Moreirense · Primeira Liga | 1 | 1.16 | 1.13 | +2.7% | Won | |
| Paris Saint Germain — Monaco · Ligue 1 | 1 | 1.43 | 1.34 | +6.7% | Lost | |
| Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga VALUE → | 2 | 1.39 | 1.48 | -6.1% | Lost | |
| Ipswich — Liverpool · Premier League | 2 | 1.58 | 1.65 | -4.2% | Won | |
| Nieciecza — Lechia Gdansk · Poland I Liga | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.27 | -5.6% | Won | |
| Sandefjord — Viking · Eliteserien | 2 | 1.67 | 1.87 | -10.7% | Lost | |
| Lommel United — Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League | 2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Treaty United — Wexford · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Cobh Ramblers — UCD · First Division Ireland VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -0.9% | Lost | |
| Bray Wanderers — Cork City · First Division Ireland VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| Finn Harps — Athlone Town · First Division Ireland VALUE → | X/2 | 1.19 | 1.20 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Genoa — Como · Serie A | X/2 | 1.17 | 1.15 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Novi Pazar — Železničar Pančevo · Serbia Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Las Palmas — Leganes · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.46 | -17.8% | Won | |
| Piast Gliwice — GKS Katowice · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.4% | Won | |
| VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 1 | 1.52 | 1.45 | +4.8% | Won | |
| Arda Kardzhali — Botev Plovdiv · Bulgaria First League | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.3% | Lost | |
| Nafta — Radomlje · Slovenia PrvaLiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.7% | Won | |
| NK Varazdin — Istra 1961 · Croatia HNL VALUE → | 1 | 1.69 | 1.80 | -6.1% | Lost | |
| Sparta Rotterdam — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.31 | -4.1% | Won | |
| Dunkerque — Clermont Foot · Ligue 2 | 1 | 1.71 | 1.97 | -13.2% | Lost | |
| Boulogne — Dijon · Ligue 2 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.37 | -3.0% | Lost | |
| PAU — Sochaux · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.39 | -2.8% | Lost | |
| Laval — RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.39 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Grenoble — Annecy · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.40 | -2.6% | Won | |
| FC Cajamarca — Cienciano · Peru Liga 1 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Independiente F.b.c. — Fernando De La Mora · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.26 | -1.5% | Won | |
| CFR 1907 Cluj — Farul Constanta · Romania Liga I | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.30 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Başakşehir — Galatasaray · Süper Lig VALUE → | 2 | 1.69 | 1.68 | +0.6% | Won | |
| BFA — Babrungas · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.2% | Lost | |
| Lyon — Auxerre · Ligue 1 | 1 | 1.53 | 1.42 | +7.7% | Won | |
| Viborg — Lyngby · Danish Superliga | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.5% | Won | |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 — Alemannia Aachen · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Osters IF — United Nordic · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.4% | Won | |
| IFK Norrkoping — Ljungskile SK · Superettan VALUE → | 1 | 1.52 | 1.41 | +7.8% | Lost | |
| Aalesund — Start · Eliteserien VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Fredrikstad — Bodo/Glimt · Eliteserien | 2 | 1.33 | 1.32 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Vasas — Nyiregyhaza · Hungary NB I | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Arminia Bielefeld — FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Hannover 96 — Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga | 1 | 1.59 | 1.52 | +4.6% | Lost | |
| PPJ — Kiffen · Kakkonen | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.15 | +2.0% | Won | |
| Ústí nad Labem — Slavia Praha II · Czech FNL | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.20 | +1.1% | Lost | |
| Vysočina Jihlava — Arsenal Česká Lípa · Czech FNL | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.17 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Vlašim — Třinec · Czech FNL VALUE → | 1 | 1.60 | 1.60 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Prostějov — Táborsko · Czech FNL | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.3% | Lost | |
| Karviná — Kladno · Czech FNL VALUE → | 1 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Warta Poznań · Poland I Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Liptovský Mikuláš — Inter Bratislava · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.0% | Lost | |
| Hegelmann II — FA Šiauliai II · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.19 | -0.8% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.