The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

4,992
Predictions logged
4746
Settled
228
Pending
72%
Hit rate
-0.9%
Avg CLV
73
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

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Flagged value — cumulative result

+54.7u -7.0u
Jun 2026 +53.70 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Sep 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

1941
Bets
49%
Win rate
+2.8%
ROI
+53.70
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.9%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
Jonava — Dainava · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → 1/2 1.26 1.26 +0.0% Lost
Septemvri Sofia — Botev Vratsa · Bulgaria First League VALUE → 1/X 1.37 1.38 -0.5% Lost
PK-35 — EIF · Ykkösliiga VALUE → 1 1.68 1.76 -4.5% Lost
Be1 NFA — Kauno Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → 1 1.33 1.29 +3.1% Won
JIPPO — Kooteepee · Ykkösliiga 1/2 1.30 1.29 +0.4% Won
Polessya — Kudrivka · Ukraine Premier League 1 1.23 1.21 +1.7% Won
SK Poltava — Inhulets · Ukraine Persha Liga 1/X 1.16 1.17 -1.0% Won
Paju Citizen — Daegu FC · K League 2 VALUE → 2 1.61 1.60 +0.6% Lost
Cheongju — Seoul E-Land FC · K League 2 VALUE → X/2 1.23 1.24 -1.4% Won
Kolos Kovalivka II — Lokomotiv Kyiv · Ukraine Persha Liga 1/2 1.25 1.25 +0.0% Won
Chornomorets — Livyi Bereh · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → X/2 1.28 1.28 +0.6% Won
Libertad — Emelec · Ecuador LigaPro 1/2 1.34 1.37 -2.7% Lost
America de Cali — Alianza Valledupar · Primera A VALUE → 1 1.39 1.31 +6.1% Won
Nautico Recife — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.26 1.23 +2.3% Won
SOL DE America — General Caballero · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1/X 1.15 1.27 -9.3% Won
Leones del Norte — Orense SC · Ecuador LigaPro 1/X 1.29 1.22 +6.4% Won
Deportivo Capiata — 3 de Noviembre · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1/2 1.21 1.25 -3.0% Won
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga VALUE → 1/X 1.28 1.22 +4.8% Won
Universidad Catolica — Aucas · Ecuador LigaPro 1/X 1.21 1.24 -2.6% Won
Toulouse — Lille · Ligue 1 X/2 1.33 1.27 +4.9% Won
Hibernian — Heart Of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership 1/2 1.33 1.32 +0.5% Won
FC Lugano — Servette FC · Swiss Super League 1/2 1.27 1.33 -4.6% Won
FC Basel 1893 — FC Sion · Swiss Super League VALUE → 1/2 1.28 1.31 -2.0% Won
FC Copenhagen — FC Nordsjaelland · Danish Superliga VALUE → 1/2 1.24 1.28 -3.5% Won
Gyori ETO FC — Ferencvarosi TC · Hungary NB I X/2 1.22 1.20 +1.7% Won
Beroe — Montana · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → 1/2 1.28 1.25 +1.8% Lost
Mjallby AIF — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan VALUE → 1/2 1.23 1.23 -0.3% Won
HIFK Helsinki — HPS · Kakkonen VALUE → 1 1.39 1.41 -1.4% Lost
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa — Dobrudzha · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → 1/2 1.20 1.23 -2.5% Won
Banga — Panevėžys · Lithuania A Lyga 1/X 1.16 1.17 -0.3% Lost
Atlantis — PEPO · Kakkonen 1/2 1.17 1.16 +0.5% Lost
Vihren — Etar Veliko Tarnovo · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → 1 1.60 1.56 +2.6% Won
CSKA Sofia II — Spartak Pleven · Bulgaria Second League 1 1.54 1.54 +0.0% Won
Santa Fe — Millonarios · Primera A VALUE → 1/2 1.31 1.38 -5.1% Won
Barcelona SC — Independiente del Valle · Ecuador LigaPro X/2 1.33 1.31 +1.5% Lost
Charleston Battery — Hartford Athletic · USL Championship 1 1.49 1.61 -7.5% Lost
Flamengo — Mirassol · Brazil Serie A VALUE → 1 1.27 1.24 +2.4% Won
Deportivo Cuenca — Guayaquil City FC · Ecuador LigaPro 1/X 1.18 1.13 +3.9% Won
Falkirk — Rangers · Scottish Premiership 2 1.60 1.52 +5.3% Won
Burnley — Middlesbrough · Championship VALUE → 1/2 1.29 1.30 -0.5% Lost
Macara — Manta FC · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → 1 1.53 1.48 +3.4% Won
Motherwell — Dundee Utd · Scottish Premiership 1/X 1.27 1.46 -13.0% Won
Dundee — ST Johnstone · Scottish Premiership VALUE → 1/2 1.30 1.34 -3.1% Lost
Kilmarnock — ST Mirren · Scottish Premiership VALUE → 1/2 1.32 1.30 +1.6% Won
Celtic — Aberdeen · Scottish Premiership 1 1.24 1.25 -0.8% Won
Burton Albion — AFC Wimbledon · League One VALUE → 1/X 1.25 1.41 -11.4% Won
Barnsley — Blackpool · League One VALUE → 1/2 1.29 1.28 +0.4% Won
QPR — Cardiff · Championship VALUE → 1/2 1.24 1.27 -2.5% Won
West Brom — Charlton · Championship VALUE → 1/X 1.20 1.17 +2.6% Won
Millwall — Wrexham · Championship VALUE → 1/2 1.32 1.36 -2.7% Won
1651–1700 / 4746

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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