We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
20 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helsingborg — Orebro SK · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| U. Catolica — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Cobreloa — San Marcos de Arica · Chile Primera B | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Union La Calera — D. La Serena · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Defensa Y Justicia — Platense · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 | 1.23 | — | — | Won | |
| Encarnación — Benjamín Aceval · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.16 | +4.2% | Won | |
| Atletico Grau — FBC Melgar · Peru Liga 1 VALUE → | 1/X | 1.39 | 1.41 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Breidablik — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.23 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Paraguari AC — Resistencia · Paraguay Division Intermedia VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Arda Kardzhali — Botev Vratsa · Bulgaria First League | 1 | 1.51 | 1.50 | +0.7% | Won | |
| GIF Sundsvall — Norrby IF · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.32 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Dunav Ruse — Lokomotiv Sofia · Bulgaria First League | X/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Džiugas Telšiai — Hegelmann Litauen · Lithuania A Lyga | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Malženice — MFK Bytča · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.33 | 1.45 | -8.3% | Won | |
| Bukovyna — Dynamo Kyiv · Ukraine Premier League | 2 | 1.49 | 1.49 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| FK Liepaja — Riga · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → | 2 | 1.40 | 1.39 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| Monterrey — Atletico San Luis · Liga MX VALUE → | 1 | 1.49 | 1.60 | -6.9% | Lost | |
| Deportes Tolima — Cucuta · Primera A | 1 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Toluca — FC Juarez · Liga MX | 1 | 1.26 | 1.31 | -3.8% | Won | |
| Cienciano — Cusco · Peru Liga 1 | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Millonarios — Internacional de Bogota · Primera A | 1 | 1.40 | 1.48 | -5.4% | Lost | |
| Houston Dynamo FC II — Minnesota United II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1 | 1.65 | 1.63 | +1.2% | Lost | |
| New England II — Huntsville City · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.71 | 1.72 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II — Sporting KC II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.22 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Orlando City II — Crown Legacy · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.0% | Won | |
| St. Louis City — FC Dallas · MLS | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.30 | -3.1% | Lost | |
| Emelec — Leones del Norte · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.17 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Cerro Largo — Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguay Primera Division | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.30 | -2.9% | Won | |
| Curico Unido — Recoleta · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.9% | Lost | |
| Real Monarchs — Tacoma Defiance · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Colo Colo — A. Italiano · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.51 | 1.47 | +2.7% | Won | |
| Independiente Medellin — Llaneros · Primera A | 1 | 1.61 | 1.54 | +4.5% | Won | |
| Orense SC — Macara · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Portland Timbers II — Austin II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Fortaleza FC — Once Caldas · Primera A | X/2 | 1.30 | — | — | Won | |
| Deportivo Cali — Bucaramanga · Primera A | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Deportivo Pasto — Deportivo Pereira · Primera A | 1 | 1.39 | 1.50 | -7.3% | Lost | |
| Tigre — Barracas Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.18 | — | — | Won | |
| Instituto Cordoba — San Lorenzo · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.18 | — | — | Won | |
| Valur Reykjavik — IA Akranes · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.24 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Deportes Temuco — D. Puerto Montt · Chile Primera B | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Universidad de Concepcion — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.19 | +1.7% | Lost | |
| Águilas Doradas — Chico · Primera A | 1 | 1.59 | 1.56 | +1.9% | Lost | |
| Penarol — Club Nacional · Uruguay Primera Division | 1/X | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| CSKA Sofia — Cherno More Varna · Bulgaria First League | 1 | 1.49 | 1.47 | +1.4% | Won | |
| Nafta — Maribor · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 2 | 1.62 | 1.47 | +10.2% | Won | |
| ADT — Sport Huancayo · Peru Liga 1 | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Sparta Praha — Slavia Praha · Czech Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Aucas — Libertad · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.50 | 1.55 | -3.2% | Won | |
| Columbus Crew II — Chicago Fire II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.8% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.