The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

5,080
Predictions logged
5012
Settled
48
Pending
72%
Hit rate
-0.8%
Avg CLV
14
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

20 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

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Flagged value — cumulative result

+55.5u -7.0u
Jun 2026 +44.77 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Sep 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

2037
Bets
48%
Win rate
+2.2%
ROI
+44.77
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.9%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
Vasteras SK FK — Orgryte IS · Allsvenskan 1 1.52 1.59 -4.4% Won
FF Jaro — SJK · Veikkausliiga 1/2 1.25 1.29 -2.9% Won
Defensa Y Justicia — Aldosivi · Argentina Liga Profesional 1/X 1.19 1.22 -2.8% Won
Santa Fe — Caracas FC · Copa Sudamericana 1 1.46 1.37 +6.6% Won
Boca Juniors — O'Higgins · Copa Sudamericana 1 1.26 1.40 -10.0% Won
Botafogo SP — Juventude · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.31 1.41 -6.6% Won
Cuiaba — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.28 1.27 +0.4% Lost
Athletic Club — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.28 1.28 -0.2% Won
Corinthians — Remo · Brazil Serie A 1 1.54 1.53 +0.7% Won
Botafogo — Vitoria · Brazil Serie A 1/X 1.16 1.21 -3.6% Won
Sarmiento Junin — Argentinos JRS · Argentina Liga Profesional X/2 1.22 1.23 -1.4% Won
Belgrano Cordoba — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → 1/X 1.33 1.36 -2.4% Won
Bolívar — Gremio · Copa Sudamericana 1 1.63 1.56 +4.5% Won
Leiknir R. — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild 2 1.62 1.74 -6.9% Won
Lanus — Cienciano · Copa Sudamericana 1 1.38 1.31 +5.3% Won
Nautico Recife — Londrina · Brazil Serie B 1 1.71 1.88 -9.0% Won
Chapecoense-sc — Flamengo · Brazil Serie A 2 1.50 1.37 +9.5% Won
Sao Paulo — Atletico Paranaense · Brazil Serie A 1/X 1.24 1.26 -1.6% Lost
Internacional — Cruzeiro · Brazil Serie A 1/X 1.33 1.42 -6.2% Lost
Sporting Cristal — RB Bragantino · Copa Sudamericana 1/2 1.32 1.33 -0.8% Lost
Goias — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.28 1.28 +0.2% Won
Operario-PR — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1 1.31 1.31 +0.0% Won
Ceara — CRB · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.23 1.33 -7.9% Lost
Coritiba — Palmeiras · Brazil Serie A X/2 1.30 1.23 +6.2% Won
Independiente Medellin — Vasco DA Gama · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → 1/2 1.35 1.41 -4.6% Lost
Bodo/Glimt — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien VALUE → 1 1.11 1.09 +1.8% Won
Lillestrom — Viking · Eliteserien VALUE → 1/2 1.27 1.28 -0.6% Won
Vila Nova — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.35 1.38 -2.0% Won
UCV — Santos · Copa Sudamericana X/2 1.21 1.17 +3.4% Won
Novorizontino — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.24 1.30 -4.8% Lost
Avai — America Mineiro · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.30 1.33 -1.9% Won
Atletico-MG — Bahia · Brazil Serie A 1/X 1.30 1.24 +4.1% Won
Club Nacional — Tigre · Copa Sudamericana 1/X 1.25 1.29 -2.7% Lost
Deportivo Madryn — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.30 1.31 -1.2% Won
Almagro — Gimnasia Y Tiro · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.27 1.27 +0.2% Lost
Falkenbergs FF — Helsingborg · Superettan 1/X 1.25 1.30 -4.2% Lost
KäPa — Klubi-04 · Ykkösliiga 1/2 1.29 1.29 +0.2% Won
Londrina — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.35 1.57 -14.0% Won
Quilmes — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.29 1.30 -0.8% Won
Patronato — Atlanta · Primera Nacional 1/2 1.40 1.41 -1.0% Won
Colegiales — Midland · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.27 1.28 -0.9% Won
Atletico Goianiense — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.20 1.34 -10.3% Won
HK Kopavogur — Vestri · 1. Deild 1/2 1.18 1.13 +4.2% Won
FH hafnarfjordur — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → 1/2 1.19 1.24 -3.5% Lost
Keflavik — IA Akranes · Urvalsdeild 1/2 1.26 1.27 -1.0% Won
Defensores De Belgrano — Los Andes · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.28 1.29 -1.4% Won
Chacarita Juniors — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.16 1.17 -1.2% Won
Acassuso — San Telmo · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.30 1.28 +1.9% Lost
Norrby IF — GIF Sundsvall · Superettan 1/X 1.25 1.29 -3.0% Won
Orgryte IS — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan 2 1.44 1.37 +5.1% Lost
4501–4550 / 5012

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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