The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

5,080
Predictions logged
5012
Settled
48
Pending
72%
Hit rate
-0.8%
Avg CLV
14
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

20 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

Follow the live audit on Telegram

Flagged value — cumulative result

+55.5u -7.0u
Jun 2026 +44.77 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Sep 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

2037
Bets
48%
Win rate
+2.2%
ROI
+44.77
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.9%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
IR Reykjavik — Afturelding · 1. Deild VALUE → 1/2 1.20 1.18 +1.5% Won
Grotta — HK Kopavogur · 1. Deild 1/2 1.22 1.19 +2.1% Won
Ægir — Fylkir · 1. Deild VALUE → 2 1.26 1.35 -6.7% Won
FH hafnarfjordur — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild 1/2 1.21 1.22 -1.0% Lost
Shelbourne — Dundalk · Premier Division 1/2 1.25 1.32 -5.4% Won
Treaty United — Kerry · First Division Ireland 1/2 1.32 1.34 -1.9% Won
Finn Harps — Wexford · First Division Ireland X/2 1.21 1.29 -6.0% Lost
Cobh Ramblers — Cork City · First Division Ireland 2 1.69 1.66 +1.8% Won
Bray Wanderers — Athlone Town · First Division Ireland 1/X 1.21 1.21 +0.3% Won
Sligo Rovers — Shamrock Rovers · Premier Division 2 1.58 1.61 -1.9% Won
Drogheda United — Bohemians · Premier Division VALUE → X/2 1.17 1.21 -3.2% Won
St Patrick's Athl. — Galway United · Premier Division 1 1.40 1.43 -2.1% Won
Derry City — Waterford · Premier Division 1 1.42 1.51 -6.0% Lost
Ranheim — Stabaek · Norway 1. Division 1/2 1.23 1.24 -0.7% Won
Sirius — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan 1/X 1.18 1.20 -1.7% Won
Raufoss — Strommen · Norway 1. Division VALUE → 1/2 1.24 1.28 -3.1% Won
Kongsvinger — Sogndal · Norway 1. Division 1 1.61 1.50 +7.3% Won
Kooteepee — JIPPO · Ykkösliiga 1/X 1.25 1.27 -2.0% Won
JäPS — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga VALUE → 1/X 1.24 1.28 -2.9% Won
Yunnan Yukun — Henan Jianye · China Super League 1/2 1.28 1.30 -1.7% Won
Fortaleza EC — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B 1 1.36 1.23 +10.6% Won
Cuiaba — America Mineiro · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.21 1.17 +2.9% Won
Vikingur Reykjavik — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild VALUE → 1 1.15 1.15 +0.0% Won
Thor Akureyri — KR Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild 2 1.30 1.25 +4.0% Lost
Lyn — Asane · Norway 1. Division 1/2 1.21 1.22 -0.8% Won
Botafogo SP — CRB · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.28 1.39 -7.9% Lost
Afturelding — Ægir · 1. Deild 1 1.26 1.20 +5.0% Won
IA Akranes — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → 1/2 1.23 1.23 -0.0% Won
Nautico Recife — Goias · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.16 1.24 -6.1% Lost
Fortaleza EC — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.23 1.22 +1.1% Won
Athletic Club — Avai · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.27 1.23 +3.0% Won
Juventude — Ceara · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.22 1.19 +2.4% Won
Atletico Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1 1.41 1.34 +5.2% Won
Thor Akureyri — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → 1/2 1.19 1.21 -0.9% Won
Stjarnan — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild 1/2 1.21 1.21 +0.1% Won
Keflavik — KR Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild 1/2 1.19 1.18 +0.5% Won
FH hafnarfjordur — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild VALUE → 1/2 1.24 1.22 +1.5% Lost
Sandviken — Helsingborg · Superettan 1/2 1.26 1.28 -1.2% Won
Landskrona BoIS — IFK Varnamo · Superettan 1/X 1.22 1.26 -3.2% Won
IFK Norrkoping — Norrby IF · Superettan 1 1.44 1.44 +0.0% Lost
KäPa — JäPS · Ykkösliiga 1/2 1.31 1.31 -0.3% Won
Dalian Zhixing — Shanghai Shenhua · China Super League 1/2 1.28 1.27 +0.7% Won
Qingdao Youth Island — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League VALUE → 1/2 1.29 1.31 -1.7% Won
Criciuma — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B 1 1.69 1.66 +1.8% Won
Sligo Rovers — Shelbourne · Premier Division X/2 1.18 1.22 -3.1% Won
Sogndal — Egersund · Norway 1. Division VALUE → 1/2 1.23 1.25 -1.3% Won
AC Oulu — Lahti · Veikkausliiga VALUE → 1/2 1.29 1.33 -3.1% Lost
Stromsgodset — ODD Ballklubb · Norway 1. Division 1 1.61 1.54 +4.5% Lost
Gnistan — VPS · Veikkausliiga VALUE → 1/2 1.32 1.35 -2.2% Lost
Turku PS — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga VALUE → 1/2 1.27 1.32 -3.6% Won
4751–4800 / 5012

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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