We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.22 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Londrina — CRB · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Criciuma — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Temperley — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.25 | +2.1% | Won | |
| Nueva Chicago — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.19 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — Deportivo Moron · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.39 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional | X/2 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -1.4% | Lost | |
| Almirante Brown — Los Andes · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Almagro — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Longford Town — UCD · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Colegiales — Gimnasia Y Tiro · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.15 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| Leiknir R. — Völsungur · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.65 | 1.54 | +7.1% | Lost | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Bryne — Sandnes ULF · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.0% | Lost | |
| VPS — Mariehamn · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.35 | 1.28 | +5.5% | Won | |
| Grindavik — Vestri · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +0.3% | Lost | |
| IA Akranes — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.6% | Won | |
| hodd — Stromsgodset · Norway 1. Division | 2 | 1.42 | 1.47 | -3.4% | Lost | |
| FF Jaro — Ilves · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.25 | +1.5% | Won | |
| SJK — Turku PS · Veikkausliiga | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.25 | -4.7% | Won | |
| EIF — PK-35 · Ykkösliiga | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.32 | +1.5% | Won | |
| Halmstad — Vasteras SK FK · Allsvenskan | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.35 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Degerfors IF — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.35 | -3.5% | Won | |
| Tianjin Teda — Sichuan Jiuniu · China Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.36 | -4.2% | Won | |
| Egersund — Moss · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.26 | -2.9% | Won | |
| Lahti — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.35 | -4.9% | Won | |
| Dalian Zhixing — Wuhan Three Towns · China Super League | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.18 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Beijing Guoan — Shandong Luneng · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Qingdao Youth Island — SHANGHAI SIPG · China Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Shenyang Urban — Chongqing Tongliang Long · China Super League | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.33 | -4.4% | Won | |
| Njardvik — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.7% | Won | |
| IR Reykjavik — Afturelding · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.18 | +1.5% | Won | |
| Grotta — HK Kopavogur · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.19 | +2.1% | Won | |
| Ægir — Fylkir · 1. Deild VALUE → | 2 | 1.26 | 1.35 | -6.7% | Won | |
| FH hafnarfjordur — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -1.0% | Lost | |
| Shelbourne — Dundalk · Premier Division | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.32 | -5.4% | Won | |
| Treaty United — Kerry · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Finn Harps — Wexford · First Division Ireland | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.29 | -6.0% | Lost | |
| Cobh Ramblers — Cork City · First Division Ireland | 2 | 1.69 | 1.66 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Bray Wanderers — Athlone Town · First Division Ireland | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Sligo Rovers — Shamrock Rovers · Premier Division | 2 | 1.58 | 1.61 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Drogheda United — Bohemians · Premier Division VALUE → | X/2 | 1.17 | 1.21 | -3.2% | Won | |
| St Patrick's Athl. — Galway United · Premier Division | 1 | 1.40 | 1.43 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Derry City — Waterford · Premier Division | 1 | 1.42 | 1.51 | -6.0% | Lost | |
| Ranheim — Stabaek · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Sirius — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.20 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Raufoss — Strommen · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.28 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Kongsvinger — Sogndal · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.61 | 1.50 | +7.3% | Won | |
| Kooteepee — JIPPO · Ykkösliiga | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.27 | -2.0% | Won | |
| JäPS — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.28 | -2.9% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.