We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun — Henan Jianye · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Fortaleza EC — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | 1 | 1.36 | 1.23 | +10.6% | Won | |
| Cuiaba — America Mineiro · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.17 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Vikingur Reykjavik — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1 | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Thor Akureyri — KR Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 | 1.30 | 1.25 | +4.0% | Lost | |
| Lyn — Asane · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Botafogo SP — CRB · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.39 | -7.9% | Lost | |
| Afturelding — Ægir · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.26 | 1.20 | +5.0% | Won | |
| IA Akranes — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.0% | Won | |
| Nautico Recife — Goias · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.24 | -6.1% | Lost | |
| Fortaleza EC — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.22 | +1.1% | Won | |
| Athletic Club — Avai · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.23 | +3.0% | Won | |
| Juventude — Ceara · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.19 | +2.4% | Won | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1 | 1.41 | 1.34 | +5.2% | Won | |
| Thor Akureyri — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.21 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Stjarnan — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Keflavik — KR Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.18 | +0.5% | Won | |
| FH hafnarfjordur — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.22 | +1.5% | Lost | |
| Sandviken — Helsingborg · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Landskrona BoIS — IFK Varnamo · Superettan | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.26 | -3.2% | Won | |
| IFK Norrkoping — Norrby IF · Superettan | 1 | 1.44 | 1.44 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| KäPa — JäPS · Ykkösliiga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Dalian Zhixing — Shanghai Shenhua · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Qingdao Youth Island — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Criciuma — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B | 1 | 1.69 | 1.66 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Sligo Rovers — Shelbourne · Premier Division | X/2 | 1.18 | 1.22 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Sogndal — Egersund · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | -1.3% | Won | |
| AC Oulu — Lahti · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -3.1% | Lost | |
| Stromsgodset — ODD Ballklubb · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.61 | 1.54 | +4.5% | Lost | |
| Gnistan — VPS · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.35 | -2.2% | Lost | |
| Turku PS — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.6% | Won | |
| Völsungur — Grotta · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.16 | +1.3% | Lost | |
| United Nordic — Oddevold · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.33 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| GIF Sundsvall — Ostersunds FK · Superettan | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.27 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Throttur Reykjavik — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.61 | 1.53 | +5.2% | Lost | |
| Strommen — Moss · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Stabaek — Bryne · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.22 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Sandnes ULF — Raufoss · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.70 | 1.71 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Lyn — hodd · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Haugesund — Kongsvinger · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Asane — Ranheim · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Operario-PR — America Mineiro · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.3% | Won | |
| HJK Helsinki — KuPS · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Mariehamn — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | 2 | 1.38 | 1.29 | +7.0% | Won | |
| Varbergs BoIS FC — Osters IF · Superettan | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Ljungskile SK — Orebro SK · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.26 | -2.6% | Won | |
| JIPPO — EIF · Ykkösliiga | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.18 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Haka — Kooteepee · Ykkösliiga | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long — Tianjin Teda · China Super League VALUE → | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.26 | -5.1% | Won | |
| Beijing Guoan — Wuhan Three Towns · China Super League VALUE → | 1 | 1.31 | 1.26 | +4.0% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.