We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton — Manchester United · Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.30 | +2.5% | Lost | |
| Juve Stabia — Pisa · Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.38 | 1.41 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Cesena — Mantova · Serie B | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.36 | -1.8% | Lost | |
| Estac Troyes — Strasbourg · Ligue 1 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.36 | -1.0% | Won | |
| FK Tobol Kostanay — Ulytau · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.15 | +1.5% | Won | |
| FC Astana — Yelimay Semey · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1 | 1.59 | 1.58 | +0.6% | Won | |
| TransINVEST Vilnius — Suduva Marijampole · Lithuania A Lyga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.2% | Won | |
| FK Jablonec — Slovan Liberec · Czech Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.38 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Zlin — Teplice · Czech Liga | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.36 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Parma — Monza · Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.39 | 1.47 | -5.5% | Won | |
| Frosinone — Venezia · Serie A | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.33 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Cracovia Krakow — Gornik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Heerenveen — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.26 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Telstar — Cambuur · Eredivisie | 1 | 1.60 | 1.75 | -8.6% | Lost | |
| Baník Ostrava II — Hanácká · Czech FNL | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.12 | +5.8% | Won | |
| Arka Gdynia — ŁKS Łódź · Poland I Liga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.4% | Lost | |
| Veres Rivne — Zorya Luhansk · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.29 | -3.7% | Lost | |
| Eibar — Granada CF · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Altay — Kaisar · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Petrolul Ploiesti — Corvinul Hunedoara · Romania Liga I | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.35 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Servette FC — FC ST. Gallen · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.31 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Sonderjyske — AC Horsens · Danish Superliga | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Tianjin Teda — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.34 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Orgryte IS — Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 2 | 1.24 | 1.22 | +1.6% | Lost | |
| Yunnan Yukun — Shenyang Urban · China Super League | 1 | 1.75 | 1.65 | +6.1% | Won | |
| Henan Jianye — Chengdu Better City · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.33 | -2.0% | Lost | |
| Hertha BSC — 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Cercle Brugge — Gent · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.34 | -3.2% | Won | |
| Würzburger Kickers — Stuttgart II · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.9% | Won | |
| VfL Osnabrück — Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.0% | Won | |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.3% | Won | |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk — Probiy Horodenka · Ukraine Persha Liga | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.16 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Mlada Boleslav — Baník Ostrava · Czech Liga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Birmingham — Wolves · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.37 | 1.34 | +1.9% | Lost | |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long — Shanghai Shenhua · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.7% | Won | |
| Groningen — Twente · Eredivisie | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.2% | Lost | |
| Gimpo Citizen — Seongnam FC · K League 2 | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.29 | +1.0% | Lost | |
| Suwon Bluewings — Asan Mugunghwa · K League 2 VALUE → | 1 | 1.58 | 1.58 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Gwangju FC · K League 1 | 1 | 1.58 | 1.57 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| FC Anyang — Gangwon FC · K League 1 VALUE → | X/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Tukums II — Leevon / PPK · Latvia 1. Liga | 2 | 1.52 | 1.52 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Bukovyna · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.29 | +3.2% | Lost | |
| Viktoria Žižkov — Příbram · Czech FNL VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Atlas — Atlante FC · Liga MX | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.25 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Las Vegas Lights — New Mexico United · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.23 | +5.1% | Won | |
| Portland Timbers — Minnesota United FC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — St. Louis City · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.47 | -4.8% | Lost | |
| Los Angeles FC II — Ventura County · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +0.4% | Lost | |
| Monterey Bay — Phoenix Rising · USL Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| Orange County SC — Sacramento Republic · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.31 | -3.5% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.