We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haka — EIF · Ykkösliiga | 1 | 1.56 | 1.55 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Mjallby AIF — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Chengdu Better City — Chongqing Tongliang Long · China Super League | 1 | 1.36 | 1.24 | +9.7% | Lost | |
| Lahti — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.29 | -5.9% | Won | |
| Fredrikstad — Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.31 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Sichuan Jiuniu — Qingdao Youth Island · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.29 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Hangzhou Greentown — Qingdao Jonoon · China Super League | 1 | 1.56 | 1.45 | +7.6% | Won | |
| Sport Recife — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.24 | -4.2% | Won | |
| Juventude — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.15 | 1.21 | -4.6% | Won | |
| Njardvik — Grindavik · 1. Deild | 1 | 1.57 | 1.62 | -3.1% | Won | |
| IR Reykjavik — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.20 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Leiknir R. — Grotta · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Waterford — St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division | 2 | 1.52 | 1.58 | -3.8% | Lost | |
| Wexford — Kerry · First Division Ireland | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Bray Wanderers — UCD · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Athlone Town — Cobh Ramblers · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.6% | Won | |
| Finn Harps — Treaty United · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Cork City — Longford Town · First Division Ireland | 1 | 1.33 | 1.30 | +2.3% | Lost | |
| Dundalk — Drogheda United · Premier Division | 1 | 1.55 | 1.65 | -6.1% | Lost | |
| VPS — SJK · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.26 | +0.6% | Won | |
| PK-35 — KäPa · Ykkösliiga | 1 | 1.61 | 1.58 | +1.9% | Won | |
| Kooteepee — JäPS · Ykkösliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.39 | 1.32 | +5.3% | Won | |
| Shandong Luneng — Yunnan Yukun · China Super League | 1 | 1.57 | 1.70 | -7.6% | Won | |
| Ponte Preta — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | X/2 | 1.15 | 1.12 | +2.8% | Won | |
| Athletic Club — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.31 | +2.1% | Lost | |
| Botafogo SP — Avai · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.17 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Vila Nova — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.23 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Keflavik — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.20 | +3.1% | Lost | |
| BK Hacken — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.1% | Won | |
| IF Brommapojkarna — Gais · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -2.4% | Lost | |
| Nautico Recife — Juventude · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.35 | -6.7% | Won | |
| Deportivo Maipu — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Central Norte — San Miguel · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.1% | Won | |
| San Martin S.J. — Chacarita Juniors · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1 | 1.66 | 1.85 | -10.3% | Lost | |
| Midland — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.32 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Chaco For Ever — Acassuso · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.21 | -2.9% | Won | |
| Atletico Mitre — All Boys · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.22 | +2.8% | Won | |
| Patronato — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.31 | -2.3% | Lost | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — San Telmo · Primera Nacional | 1 | 1.56 | 1.58 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Deportivo Madryn — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.42 | -4.5% | Won | |
| CA Estudiantes — Racing Cordoba · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.15 | +6.6% | Won | |
| ODD Ballklubb — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.26 | -1.7% | Won | |
| MP — Haka · Ykkösliiga | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | -0.1% | Won | |
| IF Elfsborg — Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.24 | +1.9% | Won | |
| Kalmar FF — Orgryte IS · Allsvenskan | 1 | 1.51 | 1.39 | +8.6% | Won | |
| IFK Goteborg — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Shanghai Shenhua — Hangzhou Greentown · China Super League | 1 | 1.68 | 1.61 | +4.3% | Won | |
| Qingdao Jonoon — Chengdu Better City · China Super League | 2 | 1.66 | 1.57 | +5.7% | Lost | |
| Goias — Ceara · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.34 | -5.3% | Won | |
| Quilmes — Atlanta · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.32 | +1.0% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.