We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiuniu — Chengdu Better City · China Super League | 2 | 1.68 | 1.64 | +2.4% | Won | |
| Henan Jianye — SHANGHAI SIPG · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.36 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Ilves — SJK · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.4% | Lost | |
| Shenyang Urban — Shandong Luneng · China Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Novorizontino — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Leiknir R. — IR Reykjavik · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Grindavik — Ægir · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | -0.1% | Lost | |
| Fylkir — HK Kopavogur · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Afturelding — Njardvik · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.6% | Won | |
| Bohemians — St Patrick's Athl. · Premier Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.36 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Wexford — Treaty United · First Division Ireland | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.2% | Won | |
| UCD — Cobh Ramblers · First Division Ireland | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Kerry — Longford Town · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Cork City — Bray Wanderers · First Division Ireland | 1 | 1.62 | 1.58 | +2.5% | Won | |
| Athlone Town — Finn Harps · First Division Ireland VALUE → | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.17 | +1.1% | Won | |
| Dundalk — Waterford · Premier Division | 1 | 1.49 | 1.54 | -3.2% | Lost | |
| Derry City — Drogheda United · Premier Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.56 | 1.56 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Shamrock Rovers — Galway United · Premier Division | 1 | 1.42 | 1.46 | -2.7% | Won | |
| IK brage — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.32 | -3.6% | Won | |
| PK-35 — MP · Ykkösliiga | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.17 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Klubi-04 — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Qingdao Jonoon — Yunnan Yukun · China Super League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Cuiaba — Londrina · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.13 | +3.7% | Won | |
| Breidablik — Vikingur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.17 | +2.6% | Won | |
| America Mineiro — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | X/2 | 1.34 | 1.37 | -2.7% | Won | |
| Mariehamn — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Won | |
| FF Jaro — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.28 | +3.2% | Lost | |
| Inter Turku — SJK · Veikkausliiga | 1 | 1.56 | 1.63 | -4.3% | Lost | |
| VPS — AC Oulu · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.33 | +1.0% | Won | |
| Lahti — Turku PS · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.21 | -1.8% | Won | |
| KuPS — Ilves · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.64 | -7.9% | Won | |
| Ponte Preta — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | X/2 | 1.18 | 1.23 | -3.9% | Won | |
| KR Reykjavik — IA Akranes · Urvalsdeild | 1 | 1.45 | 1.50 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Shamrock Rovers — Derry City · Premier Division | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.24 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Shelbourne — Bohemians · Premier Division | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.38 | -2.9% | Won | |
| Orebro SK — Sandviken · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -2.1% | Lost | |
| Varbergs BoIS FC — Landskrona BoIS · Superettan | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.27 | -2.8% | Lost | |
| Oddevold — Ljungskile SK · Superettan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.0% | Lost | |
| Goias — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.34 | -8.3% | Lost | |
| Fram Reykjavik — Vikingur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 | 1.54 | 1.71 | -9.9% | Won | |
| São Bernardo — Juventude · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.44 | -4.6% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Maipu — Gimnasia Y Tiro · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Central Norte — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional | X/2 | 1.30 | 1.35 | -3.9% | Lost | |
| Ægir — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild VALUE → | 2 | 1.40 | 1.34 | +4.5% | Won | |
| HK Kopavogur — Grindavik · 1. Deild VALUE → | 1 | 1.56 | 1.55 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Grotta — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 2 | 1.62 | 1.56 | +3.8% | Won | |
| Temperley — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.29 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Club Atlético Güemes — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional | X/2 | 1.34 | 1.28 | +4.6% | Won | |
| CRB — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.40 | -7.1% | Won | |
| San Martin S.J. — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.2% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.