We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1937 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato — Everton de Vina · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Huachipato | 2.32 | 2.28 | 2.92 | -20.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gremio — Sao Paulo · Brazil Serie A | 1 · Gremio | 2.78 | 2.53 | 2.46 | +13.0% | Won | +1.78 | |
| KVC Westerlo — Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | 2 · Union St. Gilloise | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.54 | +20.1% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Nantes — RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2 | 1 · Nantes | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.78 | -1.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Spartak Trnava — Dukla Banská Bystrica · Slovak Super Liga | 1 · Spartak Trnava | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.26 | +11.1% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Servette FC — Grasshoppers · Swiss Super League | 1 · Servette FC | 1.67 | 1.65 | 1.53 | +9.2% | Won | +0.67 | |
| Dunav Ruse — Arda Kardzhali · Bulgaria First League | 2 · Arda Kardzhali | 2.15 | 2.04 | 2.00 | +7.5% | Won | +1.15 | |
| Liverpool Montevideo — Albion FC · Uruguay Primera Division | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.02 | 2.94 | +10.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda — Novi Pazar · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.14 | 1.11 | 1.09 | +4.6% | Won | +0.14 | |
| Mlada Boleslav — Sparta Praha · Czech Liga | 2 · Sparta Praha | 1.77 | 1.75 | 1.82 | -2.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Radnicki 1923 — Zemun · Serbia Super Liga | 1 · Radnicki 1923 | 1.39 | 1.34 | 1.29 | +7.8% | Won | +0.39 | |
| Guimaraes — Arouca · Primeira Liga | 1 · Guimaraes | 2.08 | 1.92 | 1.93 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| GO Ahead Eagles — Willem II · Eredivisie | 1 · GO Ahead Eagles | 1.79 | 1.66 | 1.52 | +17.8% | Won | +0.79 | |
| Standard Liege — Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | 2 · Cercle Brugge | 3.30 | 3.13 | 2.97 | +11.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kauno Žalgiris — Hegelmann Litauen · Lithuania A Lyga | 1 · Kauno Žalgiris | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.54 | -10.4% | Won | +0.38 | |
| OFK Beograd — Železničar Pančevo · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · Železničar Pančevo | 2.90 | 2.86 | 2.82 | +2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lausanne — BSC Young Boys · Swiss Super League | 2 · BSC Young Boys | 2.36 | 2.27 | 1.68 | +40.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| FF Jaro — VPS · Veikkausliiga | 2 · VPS | 2.06 | 1.86 | 1.85 | +11.4% | Won | +1.06 | |
| Farul Constanta — Csikszereda · Romania Liga I | 1 · Farul Constanta | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1.53 | +6.5% | Won | +0.63 | |
| JFK Ventspils — Super Nova 2 · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 · JFK Ventspils | 2.42 | 2.17 | 1.99 | +21.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom — Malženice · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 2.28 | 2.19 | 1.88 | +21.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Minija — Be1 NFA · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Minija | 1.55 | 1.51 | 1.36 | +14.0% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Bukovyna — Obolon'-Brovar · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Bukovyna | 2.10 | 2.01 | 1.93 | +8.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kaspiy — Ulytau · Kazakhstan Premier League | X · Draw | 3.51 | 3.20 | 2.95 | +19.0% | Won | +2.51 | |
| Teplice — Plzen · Czech Liga | 2 · Plzen | 1.79 | 1.77 | 1.88 | -4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Maritimo — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga | 1 · Maritimo | 2.85 | 2.79 | 2.02 | +41.1% | Won | +1.85 | |
| NEC Nijmegen — Telstar · Eredivisie | 1 · NEC Nijmegen | 1.52 | 1.44 | 1.45 | +4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kairat Almaty — Zhenys · Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 · Kairat Almaty | 1.40 | 1.28 | — | — | Won | +0.40 | |
| Njardvik — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1 · Njardvik | 1.76 | 1.61 | 1.52 | +15.8% | Won | +0.76 | |
| Grotta — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 · Throttur Reykjavik | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.70 | +5.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Stabaek — Lyn · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Stabaek | 1.47 | 1.45 | 1.41 | +4.3% | Won | +0.47 | |
| Inter Turku — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Inter Turku | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.88 | +1.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Central Espanol — Progreso · Uruguay Primera Division | 2 · Progreso | 3.35 | 3.25 | 3.11 | +7.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Zhetysu — Ordabasy · Kazakhstan Premier League | 2 · Ordabasy | 1.81 | 1.62 | 1.52 | +19.1% | Won | +0.81 | |
| BFC Daugavpils — Tukums · Latvia Virsliga | 1 · BFC Daugavpils | 1.96 | 1.89 | 1.75 | +12.0% | Won | +0.96 | |
| Orgryte IS — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan | 2 · AIK Stockholm | 2.10 | 1.90 | 2.54 | -17.3% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Slask Wroclaw — Cracovia Krakow · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Cracovia Krakow | 3.15 | 3.10 | 2.88 | +9.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Livyi Bereh — Kudrivka · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Livyi Bereh | 2.01 | 1.84 | 1.80 | +11.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Havelse — Stuttgart II · 3. Liga | 2 · Stuttgart II | 2.20 | 2.06 | 1.99 | +10.6% | Won | +1.20 | |
| FC Viktoria Köln — SSV Jahn Regensburg · 3. Liga | 1 · FC Viktoria Köln | 2.65 | 2.52 | 2.17 | +22.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| SV Wehen — Preußen Münster · 3. Liga | 2 · Preußen Münster | 2.80 | 2.64 | 3.11 | -10.0% | Won | +1.80 | |
| AC Oulu — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 · HJK Helsinki | 2.26 | 2.14 | 2.21 | +2.3% | Won | +1.26 | |
| Valerenga — Bodo/Glimt · Eliteserien | 2 · Bodo/Glimt | 1.57 | 1.48 | 1.52 | +3.3% | Won | +0.57 | |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II — Hubei Chufeng Heli · China League Two | 1 · Chengdu Rongcheng II | 2.45 | 2.23 | 2.08 | +17.8% | Won | +1.45 | |
| Wuhan Three Towns II — Jiangxi Liansheng · China League Two | 1 · Wuhan Three Towns II | 2.65 | 2.60 | 2.36 | +12.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| BIT — Shanghai Second · China League Two | 2 · Shanghai Second | 2.05 | 1.86 | 1.80 | +13.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Paju Citizen — Suwon City FC · K League 2 | 2 · Suwon City FC | 1.94 | 1.78 | 1.74 | +11.5% | Won | +0.94 | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC · K League 1 | 1 · Bucheon FC 1995 | 2.04 | 2.02 | 1.92 | +6.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Shanghai Port II — Shandong Taishan II · China League Two | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.92 | 2.65 | +17.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Comerciantes Unidos — Cusco · Peru Liga 1 | 2 · Cusco | 2.63 | 2.56 | 2.65 | -0.8% | Lost | -1.00 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.