🔔 Beta · free

Value Alerts: a free value bet finder for football

When a soft bookmaker prices a selection at least 5% above the market's fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed), we flag it once, the moment our data sees it. Every alert is logged here before kick-off and scored afterwards against the closing line, including the ones that lose.

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Open alerts

Prices move. Each alert shows the price when we saw it and, in the last column, whether a bookmaker still pays above the fair price now (best price read in the last 90 minutes against Pinnacle now). Open means the match has not started, not that the price is still there.

Match Gap Bookmaker Odds Fair Gap Seen Now
Tatran Prešov — Žilina II (1)
Slovakia 2. Liga ·
Bet365 · Seen
+9.1% Bet365 1.60 1.47 +9.1%
Not re-checked
Trabzonspor — Beşiktaş (2)
Süper Lig ·
888sport · Seen
+7.3% 888sport 2.40 2.24 +7.3%
Gone -1.4%
San Telmo — Defensores De Belgrano (X)
Primera Nacional ·
BetVictor · Seen
+5.8% BetVictor 2.75 2.60 +5.8%
Not re-checked
Celta de Vigo II — Tenerife (1)
Segunda Division ·
Unibet (SE) · Seen
+9.1% Unibet (SE) 2.95 2.71 +9.1%
Gone -5.0%
Rodez — Montpellier (X)
Ligue 2 ·
William Hill · Seen
+8.0% William Hill 3.40 3.15 +8.0%
Smaller now +1.6%
Getafe — Rayo Vallecano (2)
La Liga ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+7.1% Unibet (NL) 2.85 2.66 +7.1%
Gone -0.3%
VfB Stuttgart — Atletico Madrid (1)
UEFA Champions League ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.3% Unibet (NL) 3.05 2.90 +5.3%
Gone -1.3%
Avispa Fukuoka — Gamba Osaka (2)
J1 League ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+8.1% LeoVegas (SE) 3.00 2.78 +8.1%
Gone -4.4%
Como — Manchester United (2)
UEFA Champions League ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+8.3% Unibet (NL) 3.20 2.95 +8.3%
Gone -1.1%
FC Cincinnati — DC United (1)
MLS ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+6.6% LeoVegas (SE) 1.79 1.68 +6.6%
Not re-checked
Celtic — Celta Vigo (1)
UEFA Europa League ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.7% Unibet (NL) 2.88 2.73 +5.7%
Not re-checked
Ajax — Atalanta (1)
UEFA Conference League ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.3% Unibet (NL) 2.80 2.66 +5.3%
Not re-checked
Motor Lublin — Zaglebie Lubin (1)
Ekstraklasa ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+8.4% Unibet (NL) 2.14 1.97 +8.4%
Smaller now +2.2%
VfL Bochum — VfL Wolfsburg (1)
2. Bundesliga ·
Tipico · Seen
+5.1% Tipico 3.00 2.85 +5.1%
Not re-checked
Vitória SC — Maritimo (1)
Primeira Liga ·
William Hill · Seen
+8.0% William Hill 1.73 1.60 +8.0%
Gone -0.8%
Gimnasia M. — Platense (2)
Argentina Liga Profesional ·
Nordic Bet · Seen
+7.5% Nordic Bet 3.20 2.98 +7.5%
Gone -9.4%
Sport Recife — Criciuma (1)
Brazil Serie B ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+10.1% Unibet (NL) 2.45 2.23 +10.1%
Smaller now +0.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers — Auckland (1)
A-League ·
Nordic Bet · Seen
+7.4% Nordic Bet 2.65 2.47 +7.4%
Not re-checked
Piast Gliwice — Cracovia Krakow (2)
Ekstraklasa ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+9.4% Unibet (NL) 2.65 2.42 +9.4%
Gone -4.4%
1. FC Heidenheim — Energie Cottbus (1)
2. Bundesliga ·
Tipico · Seen
+6.4% Tipico 1.85 1.74 +6.4%
Not re-checked
Sudtirol — Sampdoria (X)
Serie B ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.3% Unibet (NL) 3.15 2.99 +5.3%
Not re-checked
Avellino — Padova (1)
Serie B ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.6% Unibet (NL) 2.33 2.21 +5.6%
Not re-checked
Modena — Cesena (1)
Serie B ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+7.0% Unibet (NL) 1.61 1.51 +7.0%
Not re-checked
Gaziantep FK — Erzurumspor FK (X)
Süper Lig ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+7.9% Unibet (NL) 3.30 3.06 +7.9%
Still above +6.6%
Lincoln — Burnley (2)
Championship ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+6.1% LeoVegas (SE) 2.55 2.40 +6.1%
Smaller now +1.9%
Racing Santander — Espanyol (2)
La Liga ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+6.9% Unibet (NL) 3.00 2.81 +6.9%
Smaller now +2.9%
Alverca — Arouca (X)
Primeira Liga ·
Coolbet · Seen
+5.7% Coolbet 3.50 3.31 +5.7%
Still above +5.7%
Samsunspor — Amed (2)
Süper Lig ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+7.3% Unibet (NL) 2.80 2.61 +7.3%
Smaller now +1.0%
Asteras Tripolis — Levadiakos (1)
Greek Super League ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+6.3% Unibet (NL) 2.18 2.05 +6.3%
Not re-checked
Valencia — Villarreal (2)
La Liga ·
1xBet · Seen
+5.1% 1xBet 2.17 2.06 +5.1%
Gone -3.0%
RAAL La Louvière — Zulte Waregem (1)
Jupiler Pro League ·
Unibet (SE) · Seen
+7.4% Unibet (SE) 3.40 3.17 +7.4%
Not re-checked
Mirassol — Sao Paulo (1)
Brazil Serie A ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+7.3% Unibet (NL) 2.48 2.31 +7.3%
Smaller now +4.6%
Columbus Crew — Toronto FC (1)
MLS ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+8.5% LeoVegas (SE) 1.82 1.68 +8.5%
Not re-checked
Orlando City SC — New York City FC (2)
MLS ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+11.8% LeoVegas (SE) 3.25 2.91 +11.8%
Not re-checked
Sporting Kansas City — Austin (1)
MLS ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+10.5% LeoVegas (SE) 2.45 2.22 +10.5%
Not re-checked
Real Salt Lake — St. Louis City (1)
MLS ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+8.5% LeoVegas (SE) 2.95 2.72 +8.5%
Not re-checked
San Diego — Seattle Sounders (2)
MLS ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+10.8% LeoVegas (SE) 3.45 3.11 +10.8%
Not re-checked
Slask Wroclaw — Wieczysta Kraków (2)
Ekstraklasa ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.6% Unibet (NL) 2.40 2.27 +5.6%
Still above +5.6%
FC Thun — FC Lugano (2)
Swiss Super League ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+6.6% Unibet (NL) 2.07 1.94 +6.6%
Not re-checked
Gais — IFK Goteborg (1)
Allsvenskan ·
Unibet (SE) · Seen
+9.3% Unibet (SE) 2.43 2.22 +9.3%
Smaller now +1.4%
NEC Nijmegen — Groningen (2)
Eredivisie ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+10.0% Unibet (NL) 3.10 2.82 +10.0%
Not re-checked
Cadiz — AD Ceuta FC (1)
Segunda Division ·
1xBet · Seen
+9.8% 1xBet 2.15 1.96 +9.8%
Gone -0.6%
Nublense — Coquimbo Unido (1)
Primera Division Chile ·
Coolbet · Seen
+6.8% Coolbet 3.25 3.04 +6.8%
Not re-checked
Nublense — Coquimbo Unido (2)
Primera Division Chile ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+8.8% LeoVegas (SE) 2.85 2.62 +8.8%
Not re-checked
Start — Sandefjord (1)
Eliteserien ·
LeoVegas (SE) · Seen
+5.8% LeoVegas (SE) 2.25 2.13 +5.8%
Not re-checked
Gent — Anderlecht (X)
Jupiler Pro League ·
Unibet (SE) · Seen
+5.5% Unibet (SE) 3.35 3.18 +5.5%
Not re-checked
Udinese — AC Milan (2)
Serie A ·
Unibet (NL) · Seen
+5.5% Unibet (NL) 1.85 1.75 +5.5%
Smaller now +2.4%
Universidad de Chile — Everton de Vina (1)
Primera Division Chile ·
Coolbet · Seen
+6.3% Coolbet 1.80 1.69 +6.3%
Not re-checked

Live record since launch

147 settled alerts · 60 won · average CLV +6.2% (± 1.5 pp at 95%) vs the devigged close · price re-checked within 60 minutes on 77 of 147 · flat-stake ROI +1.1% (± 20.8 pp at 95%)

The live record started on 24 September 2026. Until a few hundred alerts have settled, profit is mostly noise; closing line value (CLV) converges much faster, which is why we lead with it.

Full ledger below: all 147 settled alerts, newest first, voids included. The CSV includes each alert’s fingerprint and the data behind it; these are published only after settlement, so they show the file is consistent, not when an alert was sent: CSV

Match Odds CLV Result
Bahia — Flamengo (2)
Betclic (FR) ·
2.23 +11.8% ✅
FC Cincinnati — Columbus Crew (1)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
2.43 +5.1% ❌
San Martin S.J. — Temperley (1)
William Hill ·
2.40 +22.1% ❌
FC Cincinnati — Columbus Crew (2)
GTbets ·
3.49 +15.8% ✅
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Aldosivi (2)
Unibet (SE) ·
3.25 +5.5% ❌
Estudiantes L.P. — San Lorenzo (1)
1xBet ·
2.21 +0.7% ❌
Burgos — Sabadell (2)
Unibet (NL) ·
3.10 +5.5% ❌
Kifisia — Aris Thessalonikis (2)
Betsson ·
2.30 -7.6% ✅
Başakşehir — Gaziantep FK (1)
Nordic Bet ·
1.88 +1.8% ✅
Paris FC — Rennes (1)
Coolbet ·
2.37 +10.6% ✅
Cesena — Avellino (2)
1xBet ·
3.50 -1.6% ❌
Groningen — Ajax (2)
Unibet (NL) ·
1.83 -11.1% ✅
Halmstad — Hammarby FF (2)
Unibet (SE) ·
1.32 +7.5% ✅
MSV Duisburg — FC Viktoria Köln (2)
Tipico ·
3.40 +4.6% ❌
Panathinaikos — Asteras Tripolis (1)
Unibet (NL) ·
1.29 +5.9% ✅
Bournemouth — Sunderland (1)
Everygame ·
2.20 +5.5% ✅
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Rosenborg (1)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
2.80 +9.3% ❌
AD Ceuta FC — Oviedo (1)
Unibet (NL) ·
3.25 +7.6% ❌
Vasteras SK FK — Mjallby AIF (2)
Unibet (SE) ·
3.10 -0.3% ❌
United Nordic — Norrby IF (2)
1xBet ·
2.67 +13.7% ❌
Kasımpaşa — Samsunspor (2)
Unibet (NL) ·
2.75 -7.8% ❌
Wuhan Three Towns — Shanghai Shenhua (2)
1xBet ·
2.21 +16.8% ✅
Wuhan Three Towns — Shanghai Shenhua (1)
Unibet (NL) ·
3.25 -12.0% ❌
Petržalka — Slovan Bratislava II (1)
Bet365 ·
1.62 +5.0% ❌
Portland Timbers — Colorado Rapids (1)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
2.38 +19.2% ❌
Los Angeles Galaxy — San Diego (2)
GTbets ·
3.37 +12.7% ❌
Seattle Sounders — CF Montreal (1)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
1.61 +14.7% ❌
Houston Dynamo — FC Dallas (1)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
2.23 +4.2% ❌
FBC Melgar — Deportivo Garcilaso (1)
Bet365 ·
1.65 +15.0% ✅
Atletico Paranaense — Palmeiras (2)
GTbets ·
2.46 +5.5% ✅
America Mineiro — Operario-PR (1)
William Hill ·
3.30 +14.3% ✅
Colon Santa Fe — Almirante Brown (1)
William Hill ·
1.95 +21.6% ❌
Minnesota United FC — St. Louis City (2)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
2.75 -3.6% ❌
Macara — Independiente del Valle (2)
Bet365 ·
2.15 +18.3% ❌
Macara — Independiente del Valle (X)
Bet365 ·
3.25 -14.1% ❌
Acassuso — Deportivo Madryn (2)
Bet365 ·
2.60 -11.4% ❌
Villa San Carlos — Villa Dalmine (1)
Bet365 ·
3.25 +6.2% ✅
AIK Stockholm — IFK Goteborg (2)
Unibet (SE) ·
2.80 +9.7% ❌
FA Šiauliai II — Garliava (2)
Bet365 ·
2.10 +5.5% ✅
Würzburger Kickers — Waldhof Mannheim (2)
Unibet (NL) ·
2.10 +5.8% ❌
Eibar — Mallorca (X)
Coolbet ·
3.40 +6.3% ✅
Birmingham — QPR (1)
LeoVegas (SE) ·
2.06 +2.2% ✅
Thor Akureyri — Stjarnan (1)
Bet365 ·
3.25 +21.9% ✅
Accrington ST — Gillingham (1)
Unibet (NL) ·
2.55 +5.8% ✅
Port Vale — Chesterfield (2)
Unibet (NL) ·
2.80 +13.6% ❌
Plymouth — Huddersfield (2)
Unibet (NL) ·
2.60 -15.9% ✅
Hibernian — Falkirk (1)
William Hill ·
1.73 -1.6% ❌
Pardubice — Zlin (1)
Bet365 ·
1.65 +7.4% ✅
Kooteepee — Klubi-04 (1)
Bet365 ·
2.20 +7.4% ❌
Ascoli — Empoli (1)
Unibet (NL) ·
2.02 +12.2% ❌
← 1–50 / 147

The rule

Only fresh prices count (under 90 minutes old), and from 30 September 2026 (rule va-v2) exchange prices — Betfair Exchange, Matchbook — are not treated as a soft bookmaker's price. The fair price is Pinnacle with its margin removed (power method). A selection is judged once, the first time the best soft price beats the fair price by 2%; it becomes an alert only if, at that first moment, the gap is at least 5% and the odds are 3.50 or shorter. Gaps above 12% are treated as data errors, not value.

Why this rule

We replayed 6,882 settled matches exactly as the prices arrived. The rule was chosen on data up to mid-August 2026 and then checked once on later matches it had never seen: 478 alerts, average CLV +5.3% versus the devigged close (95% interval +4.5% to +6.1%). Taken one data refresh later, about an hour, the CLV was still +2.5%. Smaller gaps did not survive the delay, so we do not alert on them.

Closing Line Value (CLV) →

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Open @tipsaudit_bot and send /alerts. Send /alerts off to stop. Free during the beta.

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Read this before acting

Prices move: an alert may already be gone when you open it. Soft bookmakers restrict accounts that consistently beat the closing line. Positive CLV is evidence of value over many bets, not a promise that any bet wins or that you will make a profit. 18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Frequently asked

Is there a free value bet finder for football?

Yes. TipsAudit Value Alerts (beta) is free: when a bookmaker prices a football result at least 5% above the fair price — Pinnacle's odds with the margin removed — we flag it once, log it here before kick-off and score it afterwards against the closing line, losses included. You can follow the alerts on this page or in our Telegram bot.

Do value bets make money?

Nobody can promise that. A value flag only says a price was above the fair price when we saw it, and a bookmaker can limit accounts that take such prices. The honest test is closing line value: whether the price beat the market's final price. Value Alerts' own live record, since 24 September 2026: 147 settled alerts · 60 won · average CLV +6.2% (± 1.5 pp at 95%) vs the devigged close · price re-checked within 60 minutes on 77 of 147 · flat-stake ROI +1.1% (± 20.8 pp at 95%)

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